422 2nd St SE · Wadena, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Don't miss this affordable fixer-upper located in the heart of Wadena. This home has great potential and has a new roof. Located on a nice corner lot.
Key facts
- New roof
- Corner lot
- 6,969 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No dedicated parking or garage
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Oil heat
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half story; Pitched asphalt roof (age 8 years or less)
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete perimeter foundation; Roof: asphalt, pitched
- Exterior features: Wood exterior; Porch; Corner lot; Road frontage on city paved streets; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms total (one on the main level, one on the upper level)
- Bathrooms: Upper-level full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; No central air
- Interior features: Kitchen/dining room combination; Porch; Main floor bedroom; Unfinished partial basement with block walls
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($826 rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 3.3% in Wadena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#433 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Wadena-Deer Creek School District (town): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #235 of 301 in MN (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Wadena County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wadena County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.99%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,516
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- -67.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $12,669
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.70×
- Total profit
- $37,760
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56482
- Home prices YoY
- -7.6%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $826 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $526/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$173
- Net cashflow
- $326
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-08$49,900 Active
-
2021-12-29historical
-
2020-12-29$46,900 Active
-
2005-02-01soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $526 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $542 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- +$16/yr (+$1/mo · 3.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,906
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$526
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$792
- − Management
- −$792
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $3,299
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$792
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,119/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wadena-Deer Creek School District
- NCES district ID
- 2700022
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,917
- Composite
- 32.56/100
- National rank
- #5683
- State rank
- #235 of 301 in MN
Livability — Wadena
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #433
- US rank
- #10325
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wadena, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,494
Population outlook (Wadena County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,856 people
- By 2030
- 13,689 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 13,382 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 13,062 · -5.7%
- By 2075
- 12,185 · -12.1%
- By 2100
- 10,297 · -25.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wadena
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.6% · R 75.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.1pp toward R · 2008: -17.4pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+45.7 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+17.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.45%
- Current HPI
- 223.9404
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
-20.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $36,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-28 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listed $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-29 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-29 Listed $46,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2026): $526 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…