24313 SW 17th Ln · Newberry, FL 32669

$292,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,314 sqft · Land · 312 Days on market

Built 2024 4,356 sqft lot $83/mo HOA · 4% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.5/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• DSCR +4.1/10.0
• Rent growth +3.4/5.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE REDUCED!!! Move-in ready! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath Norfleet Home is located in the highly desirable CountryWay Town Square community, where small-town ambience meets everyday convenience. Built by one of the area’s premier builders, this home features a handsome brick front and an open, spacious floor plan that feels larger than its footprint. The interior showcases upgraded engineered wood flooring, 9’ ceilings, and an open-concept layout connecting the kitchen, dining, and family spaces. The kitchen includes a propane gas range, tankless water heater, refrigerator included, and abundant cabinetry—perfect for cooking and entertaining. Other highlights include an oversized one-car garage, covered porch, vinyl-fenced yard, front sprinkler system, and low-maintenance landscaping. The HOA maintains the front yard, with dues of $250 quarterly. Benefit from affordable Newberry utilities and low insurance costs typical of new construction homes. Enjoy top-notch community amenities including a pool, volleyball, Stonehouse Grill, Tortillas Tex-Mex, BIM Health Facility, and regular live concerts on the Town Square. Fantastic location—just 2.5 miles from downtown Newberry’s shops, grocery stores, restaurants, pharmacies, and sports facilities. Schools from preschool through high school are all within a mile. Natural springs and state parks are just 15–20 miles away, and easy access to SR 26, 235, and 41/27 makes travel to Gainesville, Alachua, High Springs, and Archer simple and convenient. Golf Cart promotion removed! Note: Home was briefly occupied short-term; builder is selling as a new home with full warranty to the buyer.

Key facts

• Covered porch
• Open floor plan
• Community with pool

Tags

• COMMUNITY WITH POOL
• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• COVERED PORCH
• FENCED YARD
• SPRINKLER SYSTEM
• PROPANE GAS STOVE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $292k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-56 ($-676/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $282k (3.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (21.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $230k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.0% in Newberry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#524 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
• Alachua (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #30 of 73 in FL (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Newberry Elementary School (math 43% / reading 48%, grade D-, #1,247 of 2,144 statewide, top 59%, 661 students, 44% FRL); Oak View Middle School (math 58% / reading 59%, grade B, #148 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 964 students, 49% FRL); Newberry High School (math 35% / reading 54%, grade F, #237 of 667 statewide, top 36%, 728 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 420 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,774 units permitted in Alachua County in 2024 (984 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Alachua County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 312 days — a 12% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $230,105 (21.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 312 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.33%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.15%
• DSCR: 1.01
• GRM: 10.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -17.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.39×
• Total profit: $-49,628
• Equity at exit: $43,538

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.48×
• Total profit: $-42,541
• Equity at exit: $25,247

Cash invested: $81,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32669

• Home prices YoY: -22.1%
• Rents YoY: 3.6%
• Active inventory: 420
• Price-to-rent: 10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,301 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,531
• Tax from tax record: −$72 /mo · $861/yr
• Insurance: −$122
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$83
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$483
• Net cashflow: $-56

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,372

Max offer price $282,056

Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $109	-5% $26	+0% $-56	+5% $-139	+10% $-222
Rent	-10% $-238	-5% $-147	+0% $-56	+5% $35	+10% $125
Rate	-1.0pp $91	-0.5pp $18	base $-56	+0.5pp $-132	+1.0pp $-209

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $73,000
• Closing costs: $8,760
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
25107 SW 9th Ln Newberry, FL	3.0	2.0	1449	$2,095	$1.45	15d	1	0.58mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $83 · $996/yr
• Likely covers: watergaslandscapingpool

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $292,000 Active 312 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $292,000 Active 309 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $292,000 Active 308 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $292,000 Active 307 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $292,000 Active 306 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $292,000 Active 304 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $292,000 Active 303 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $292,000 Active 301 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $292,000 Active 300 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $292,000 Active 299 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $292,000 Active 298 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $292,000 Active 295 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $292,000 Active 294 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $292,000 Active 293 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $292,000 Active 292 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $292,000 Active 291 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $292,000 Active 290 DOM
18. 2026-02-17
    price $292,000 1701-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1701 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED!!! Move-in ready! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath Norfleet Home is located in the highly desirable CountryWay Town Square community, where small-town ambience meets everyday convenience. Built by one of the area’s premier builders, this home features a handsome brick front and an open, spacious floor plan that feels larger than its footprint. The interior showcases upgraded engineered wood flooring, 9’ ceilings, and an open-concept layout connecting the kitchen, dining, and family spaces. The kitchen includes a propane gas range, tankless water heater, refrigerator included, and abundant cabinetry—perfect for cooking and entertaining. Other highlights include an oversized one-car garage, covered porch, vinyl-fenced yard, front sprinkler system, and low-maintenance landscaping. The HOA maintains the front yard, with dues of $250 quarterly. Benefit from affordable Newberry utilities and low insurance costs typical of new construction homes. Enjoy top-notch community amenities including a pool, volleyball, Stonehouse Grill, Tortillas Tex-Mex, BIM Health Facility, and regular live concerts on the Town Square. Fantastic location—just 2.5 miles from downtown Newberry’s shops, grocery stores, restaurants, pharmacies, and sports facilities. Schools from preschool through high school are all within a mile. Natural springs and state parks are just 15–20 miles away, and easy access to SR 26, 235, and 41/27 makes travel to Gainesville, Alachua, High Springs, and Archer simple and convenient. Golf Cart promotion removed! Note: Home was briefly occupied short-term; builder is selling as a new home with full warranty to the buyer.

19. 2026-02-17
    price $288,000 1701-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1701 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED!!! Move-in ready! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath Norfleet Home is located in the highly desirable CountryWay Town Square community, where small-town ambience meets everyday convenience. Built by one of the area’s premier builders, this home features a handsome brick front and an open, spacious floor plan that feels larger than its footprint. The interior showcases upgraded engineered wood flooring, 9’ ceilings, and an open-concept layout connecting the kitchen, dining, and family spaces. The kitchen includes a propane gas range, tankless water heater, refrigerator included, and abundant cabinetry—perfect for cooking and entertaining. Other highlights include an oversized one-car garage, covered porch, vinyl-fenced yard, front sprinkler system, and low-maintenance landscaping. The HOA maintains the front yard, with dues of $250 quarterly. Benefit from affordable Newberry utilities and low insurance costs typical of new construction homes. Enjoy top-notch community amenities including a pool, volleyball, Stonehouse Grill, Tortillas Tex-Mex, BIM Health Facility, and regular live concerts on the Town Square. Fantastic location—just 2.5 miles from downtown Newberry’s shops, grocery stores, restaurants, pharmacies, and sports facilities. Schools from preschool through high school are all within a mile. Natural springs and state parks are just 15–20 miles away, and easy access to SR 26, 235, and 41/27 makes travel to Gainesville, Alachua, High Springs, and Archer simple and convenient. Golf Cart promotion removed! Note: Home was briefly occupied short-term; builder is selling as a new home with full warranty to the buyer.

20. 2025-08-13
    listed $294,000 Active 1701-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1701 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED!!! Move-in ready! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath Norfleet Home is located in the highly desirable CountryWay Town Square community, where small-town ambience meets everyday convenience. Built by one of the area’s premier builders, this home features a handsome brick front and an open, spacious floor plan that feels larger than its footprint. The interior showcases upgraded engineered wood flooring, 9’ ceilings, and an open-concept layout connecting the kitchen, dining, and family spaces. The kitchen includes a propane gas range, tankless water heater, refrigerator included, and abundant cabinetry—perfect for cooking and entertaining. Other highlights include an oversized one-car garage, covered porch, vinyl-fenced yard, front sprinkler system, and low-maintenance landscaping. The HOA maintains the front yard, with dues of $250 quarterly. Benefit from affordable Newberry utilities and low insurance costs typical of new construction homes. Enjoy top-notch community amenities including a pool, volleyball, Stonehouse Grill, Tortillas Tex-Mex, BIM Health Facility, and regular live concerts on the Town Square. Fantastic location—just 2.5 miles from downtown Newberry’s shops, grocery stores, restaurants, pharmacies, and sports facilities. Schools from preschool through high school are all within a mile. Natural springs and state parks are just 15–20 miles away, and easy access to SR 26, 235, and 41/27 makes travel to Gainesville, Alachua, High Springs, and Archer simple and convenient. Golf Cart promotion removed! Note: Home was briefly occupied short-term; builder is selling as a new home with full warranty to the buyer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $861 · $72/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,424 · $202/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,563/yr (+$130/mo · 181.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,613
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,357
• − Property taxes: −$861
• − Insurance: −$2,258
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,209
• − Management: −$2,209
• − HOA: −$996
• − Depreciation: −$8,495
• Taxable loss: −$5,771
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,385
• After-tax cash flow: $709/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Alachua
• NCES district ID: 1200030
• Math proficiency: 49% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $42,683
• Composite: 43.31/100
• National rank: #3038
• State rank: #30 of 73 in FL

Livability — Newberry

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #524
• US rank: #9753

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Newberry, FL
• County: Alachua County · 218,005 people
• City population: 17,704
• Metro: Gainesville, FL
• Population (ZIP): 17,704
• Household income: $99,548
• Rent vs Own: 12.5% rent · 87.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 161.0

Population outlook (Alachua County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 289,834 people
• By 2030: 305,873 · +5.5%
• By 2040: 335,246 · +15.7%
• By 2050: 364,719 · +25.8%
• By 2075: 436,665 · +50.7%
• By 2100: 482,920 · +66.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 61% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 14% Black 13% Asian 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Alachua

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.7% · R 38.8% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -0.6pp no change · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: 21.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+21.0 2020: D+27.2 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+17.3 2008: D+21.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -74.83%
• Current HPI: 263.4335
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.57%
• Metro: Gainesville, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-0.7% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-17 Price Changed $292,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-17 Price Changed $288,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-08-13 Listed $294,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+15.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $861 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.