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506 Blanchard St
B- Composite 67.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$68,000

506 Blanchard St · Las Vegas, NM 87701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,154 sqft · Other · 4 Days on market
Built 1930 3,450 sqft lot ↓ 51% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cute adobe/frame home located a short distance from the Old Town Plaza. There are 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, which is the original adobe section, dining room, spacious kitchen with lots of wood cabinets, and laundry room. This could be a nice starter home or an investment rental property. This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Come take a look, see what you think!

Key facts

  • Adobe frame home
  • Laundry room
  • Spacious kitchen

Tags

ADOBE FRAME HOMEORIGINAL ADOBE SECTIONSPACIOUS KITCHENLOTS OF WOOD CABINETSLAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $594 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#22 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, commute F.
  • West Las Vegas Public Schools (town): math 10% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #76 of 95 in NM (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Miguel County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.91%
Cap rate
16.78%
Cash-on-cash
37.44%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.4%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$26,809
Equity at exit
$10,139
10-year hold
IRR
40.3%
Equity multiple
4.78×
Total profit
$72,046
Equity at exit
$5,879

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87701

Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $577/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$594

Break-even live

Break-even rent $548
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
221 Railroad Ave Las Vegas, NM 1.0 1.0 800 $1,300 $1.62 21d 1 0.78mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-03-11
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-06
    listed $68,000 Active
  3. 2025-10-21
    price $120,000
  4. 2025-09-29
    price $135,000
  5. 2025-08-05
    listed $140,000 Active
  6. 2001-10-29
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$577 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$577 · $48/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,600
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$577
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$6,400
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,536
After-tax cash flow
$5,592/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Las Vegas Public Schools
NCES district ID
3501560
Math proficiency
10%
Reading proficiency
25%
Median HH income
$27,499
Composite
17.01/100
National rank
#14192
State rank
#76 of 95 in NM

Livability — Las Vegas

Score
70/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#8084

Category grades

Amenities A Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Las Vegas, NM
Population (ZIP)
17,864

Population outlook (San Miguel County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,750 people
By 2030
24,399 · -5.2%
By 2040
21,705 · -15.7%
By 2050
19,188 · -25.5%
By 2075
15,030 · -41.6%
By 2100
12,418 · -51.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 77% Two or more races 28% White 16% Native American 3% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
55% English-only · Spanish 42%

Political lean MEDSL · San Miguel

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.9) · D 62.9% · R 35.0% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-32.7pp toward R · 2008: 60.6pp · 2024: 27.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.9 2020: D+38.7 2016: D+46.4 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+60.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.60%
Current HPI
166.7301
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-51.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Pending NMMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $68,000 NMMLS
  • 2025-10-21 Price Changed $120,000 Santa Fe MLS
  • 2025-09-29 Price Changed $135,000 Santa Fe MLS
  • 2025-08-05 Listed $140,000 Santa Fe MLS
  • 2001-10-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $577 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…