34 Pollux Cir W · Portsmouth, VA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$255,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MUST SEE!!! This beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern updates and a spacious living area. Home comes with beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms. This home is conveniently located near NNSY, shopping, restaurants, Rivers Casino, and major commuter routes. This move-in-ready property features stunning granite countertops, brand-new Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, new ceiling fans and light fixtures. Major upgrades include a new roof, windows, HVAC system and durable LVP flooring throughout main living area and bathrooms. Situated on a large lot. Make this your new home and enjoy everything it has to offer!! Won't last!!
Key facts
- New ceiling fans
- Renovated kitchen
- New light fixtures
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $256k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($717/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (4.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $240k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Simonsdale Elementary (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #827 of 1,108 statewide, top 77%, 612 students, 100% FRL); William E. Waters Middle (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B, #160 of 342 statewide, top 48%, 534 students, 99% FRL); Manor High (math 48% / reading 75%, grade B-, #240 of 319 statewide, top 75%, 1,236 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 60% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.9%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,446/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 580% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($240k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $256k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.12%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $245,371
- List price
- $255,500
- Delta
- 4.13%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4408 Winchester Dr | 0.54mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,449 (-5%) | 1mo | $348,900 | $142 | 57 |
| 4323 Caroline Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 2,300 (-11%) | 1mo | $306,000 | $133 | 48 |
| 4125 Caroline Ave | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 2,209 (-14%) | 8mo | $340,000 | $154 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-24,568
- Equity at exit
- $38,096
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $42,762
- Equity at exit
- $22,091
Cash invested: $71,540 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23701
- Rents YoY
- 11.9%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,446 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,340
- Tax from tax record
- −$360 /mo · $4,320/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$514
- Net cashflow
- $60
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $204 | -5% $132 | +0% $60 | +5% $-13 | +10% $-85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-134 | -5% $-37 | +0% $60 | +5% $156 | +10% $253 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $188 | -0.5pp $125 | base $60 | +0.5pp $-6 | +1.0pp $-74 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,875
- Closing costs
- $7,665
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4205 Dartmouth St Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2100 | $2,400 | $1.14 | 19d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 119 Jacquelyn Dr Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 119 Jacquelyn Dr Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3817 High St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1999 | $2,300 | $1.15 | 12d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1507 Hodges Ferry Rd Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1827 | $1,650 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 310 Sycamore Rd Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2759 | $2,895 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-17status $255,500 Under Contract 88 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $255,500 Active Under Contract 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $255,500 Active Under Contract 87 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $255,500 Active Under Contract 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $255,500 Active Under Contract 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $255,500 Active Under Contract 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $255,500 Active Under Contract 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $255,500 Active Under Contract 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $255,500 Active Under Contract 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $255,500 Active Under Contract 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $255,500 Active Under Contract 72 DOM
-
2026-05-15historical Active Under Contract 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
MUST SEE!!! This beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern updates and a spacious living area. Home comes with beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms. This home is conveniently located near NNSY, shopping, restaurants, Rivers Casino, and major commuter routes. This move-in-ready property features stunning granite countertops, brand-new Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, new ceiling fans and light fixtures. Major upgrades include a new roof, windows, HVAC system and durable LVP flooring throughout main living area and bathrooms. Situated on a large lot. Make this your new home and enjoy everything it has to offer!! Won't last!!
-
2026-05-04price $255,500 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
MUST SEE!!! This beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern updates and a spacious living area. Home comes with beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms. This home is conveniently located near NNSY, shopping, restaurants, Rivers Casino, and major commuter routes. This move-in-ready property features stunning granite countertops, brand-new Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, new ceiling fans and light fixtures. Major upgrades include a new roof, windows, HVAC system and durable LVP flooring throughout main living area and bathrooms. Situated on a large lot. Make this your new home and enjoy everything it has to offer!! Won't last!!
-
2026-04-22price $259,500 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
MUST SEE!!! This beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern updates and a spacious living area. Home comes with beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms. This home is conveniently located near NNSY, shopping, restaurants, Rivers Casino, and major commuter routes. This move-in-ready property features stunning granite countertops, brand-new Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, new ceiling fans and light fixtures. Major upgrades include a new roof, windows, HVAC system and durable LVP flooring throughout main living area and bathrooms. Situated on a large lot. Make this your new home and enjoy everything it has to offer!! Won't last!!
-
2026-04-17price $269,900 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
MUST SEE!!! This beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern updates and a spacious living area. Home comes with beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms. This home is conveniently located near NNSY, shopping, restaurants, Rivers Casino, and major commuter routes. This move-in-ready property features stunning granite countertops, brand-new Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, new ceiling fans and light fixtures. Major upgrades include a new roof, windows, HVAC system and durable LVP flooring throughout main living area and bathrooms. Situated on a large lot. Make this your new home and enjoy everything it has to offer!! Won't last!!
-
2026-04-10price $274,900 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
MUST SEE!!! This beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern updates and a spacious living area. Home comes with beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms. This home is conveniently located near NNSY, shopping, restaurants, Rivers Casino, and major commuter routes. This move-in-ready property features stunning granite countertops, brand-new Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, new ceiling fans and light fixtures. Major upgrades include a new roof, windows, HVAC system and durable LVP flooring throughout main living area and bathrooms. Situated on a large lot. Make this your new home and enjoy everything it has to offer!! Won't last!!
-
2026-03-27price $279,900 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
MUST SEE!!! This beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern updates and a spacious living area. Home comes with beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms. This home is conveniently located near NNSY, shopping, restaurants, Rivers Casino, and major commuter routes. This move-in-ready property features stunning granite countertops, brand-new Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, new ceiling fans and light fixtures. Major upgrades include a new roof, windows, HVAC system and durable LVP flooring throughout main living area and bathrooms. Situated on a large lot. Make this your new home and enjoy everything it has to offer!! Won't last!!
-
2026-03-26status Active 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
MUST SEE!!! This beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern updates and a spacious living area. Home comes with beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms. This home is conveniently located near NNSY, shopping, restaurants, Rivers Casino, and major commuter routes. This move-in-ready property features stunning granite countertops, brand-new Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, new ceiling fans and light fixtures. Major upgrades include a new roof, windows, HVAC system and durable LVP flooring throughout main living area and bathrooms. Situated on a large lot. Make this your new home and enjoy everything it has to offer!! Won't last!!
-
2026-03-26historical 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
MUST SEE!!! This beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern updates and a spacious living area. Home comes with beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms. This home is conveniently located near NNSY, shopping, restaurants, Rivers Casino, and major commuter routes. This move-in-ready property features stunning granite countertops, brand-new Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, new ceiling fans and light fixtures. Major upgrades include a new roof, windows, HVAC system and durable LVP flooring throughout main living area and bathrooms. Situated on a large lot. Make this your new home and enjoy everything it has to offer!! Won't last!!
-
2026-03-20$285,000 Active 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
MUST SEE!!! This beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern updates and a spacious living area. Home comes with beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms. This home is conveniently located near NNSY, shopping, restaurants, Rivers Casino, and major commuter routes. This move-in-ready property features stunning granite countertops, brand-new Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, new ceiling fans and light fixtures. Major upgrades include a new roof, windows, HVAC system and durable LVP flooring throughout main living area and bathrooms. Situated on a large lot. Make this your new home and enjoy everything it has to offer!! Won't last!!
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2025-12-19soldstatus $110,000 Sold
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2025-07-23price $110,000
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2025-05-20$120,000
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2025-05-20historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,320 · $360/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,320 · $360/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,355
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,312
- − Property taxes
- −$4,320
- − Insurance
- −$2,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,348
- − Management
- −$2,348
- − Depreciation
- −$7,433
- Taxable loss
- −$3,482
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$836
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,552/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portsmouth City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103000
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,152
- Composite
- 39.01/100
- National rank
- #4071
- State rank
- #107 of 131 in VA
Livability — Portsmouth
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #5381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portsmouth, VA
- County
- Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
- City population
- 96,366
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,298
- Household income
- $62,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 580.0
Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,730 people
- By 2030
- 96,760 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 96,573 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 95,606 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 93,579 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 83,756 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 39% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -218.96%
- Current HPI
- 310.8218
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.92%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+112.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $255,500 REINMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $259,500 REINMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $269,900 REINMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $274,900 REINMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $279,900 REINMLS
- 2026-03-26 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $285,000 REINMLS
- 2025-12-19 Sold (MLS) $110,000 REINMLS
- 2025-07-23 Price Changed $110,000 REINMLS
- 2025-05-20 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2025-05-20 Listed $120,000 REINMLS
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,320 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…