530 S Edgewood Cir · West Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Quiet enjoyment indeed as this West Pensacola property is located at the end of a cul-de-sac, offering a peaceful setting. This house is move-in ready and perfect for your growing family. Nice big back yard for cookouts and more.
Key facts
- Big back yard
- Cul-de-sac
- 0.28 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with open parking
- Utilities: Electric service with circuit breakers; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: One-story concrete home; Resale property; Not attached to another property; County-maintained road access
- Construction: Concrete construction; Slab foundation; Composition roof; One level
- Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen not updated
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11' x 10'); Additional bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11' x 10')
- Flooring: Tile; Carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Bathrooms updated within the last 1–5 years
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Tile and carpet flooring; Updated bathroom sink and lighting
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $605 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 7.7% in West Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.01%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519 S Edgewood Cir | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 | 1,764 (+12%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $88 | 70 |
| 522 S Edgewood Cir | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,355 (-14%) | 1mo | $208,500 | $154 | 64 |
| 503 N New Warrington Rd | 0.43mi | 4/1.0 | 1,680 (+6%) | 1mo | $198,500 | $118 | 64 |
| 9 Janet St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,520 (-4%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $138 | 64 |
| 51 N 60th Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,544 (-2%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $194 | 61 |
| 5236 W Jackson St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,358 (-14%) | 3mo | $122,000 | $90 | 58 |
| 4606 Yorkshire Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,484 (-6%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $165 | 56 |
| 5535 Mayfair Cir | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,421 (-10%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $116 | 52 |
| 4998 Prieto Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,775 (+12%) | 9mo | $270,000 | $152 | 50 |
| 20 Gulf St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,360 (-14%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $110 | 48 |
| 11 Colby Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,632 (+3%) | 10mo | $233,000 | $143 | 48 |
| 46 Kennington Dr | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 1,420 (-10%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $99 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $14,150
- Equity at exit
- $24,155
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $69,693
- Equity at exit
- $14,007
Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32506
- Home prices YoY
- -22.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,137 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$850
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,993/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $605
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $697 | -5% $651 | +0% $605 | +5% $559 | +10% $514 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $436 | -5% $521 | +0% $605 | +5% $690 | +10% $774 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $687 | -0.5pp $646 | base $605 | +0.5pp $563 | +1.0pp $521 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,500
- Closing costs
- $4,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Gunn Cir Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1894 | $2,400 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4519 Martha Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5705 Admiral Doyle Rd Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1988 | $2,200 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 101 Vanderbilt Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 6700 Lake Charlene Dr Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1823 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 231 S 69th Ave Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2039 | $1,925 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 852 Garnet St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-23price $162,000
-
2026-03-12price $163,000
-
2026-01-27price $164,000
-
2025-12-03$169,000 Active
-
2017-08-25soldstatus $191,762
-
2015-10-07historical
-
2015-08-31$79,000
-
2009-11-11historical
-
2008-07-16soldstatus $1,218,900
-
2007-11-06$89,900
-
2005-01-24soldstatus $95,000
-
2004-08-30$95,000
-
2004-03-01soldstatus $92,700
-
1973-01-01soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,993 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,993 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,646
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,075
- − Property taxes
- −$1,993
- − Insurance
- −$810
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,052
- − Management
- −$2,052
- − Depreciation
- −$4,713
- Taxable income
- $4,952
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,189
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,074/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Pensacola
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #629
- US rank
- #12275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- City population
- 1,170
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,549
- Household income
- $62,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1359.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 18% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.86%
- Current HPI
- 247.6085
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.85%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+800.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — PARMLS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $162,000 PARMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $163,000 PARMLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $164,000 PARMLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $169,000 PARMLS
- 2017-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $191,762 Public Records
- 2015-10-07 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2015-08-31 Listed $79,000 PARMLS
- 2009-11-11 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2008-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $1,218,900 Public Records
- 2007-11-06 Listed $89,900 PARMLS
- 2005-01-24 Sold (MLS) $95,000 PARMLS
- 2004-08-30 Listed $95,000 PARMLS
- 2004-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $92,700 Public Records
- 1973-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,993 · +15.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…