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1649 Harper St
C+ Composite 63.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.2/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

1649 Harper St · Rocky Mount, NC 27801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 154 Days on market
Built 1970 4,399 sqft lot Est $105k · 5% over ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1649 Harper Street, a beautifully maintained home offering comfort, style, and convenience in one of Rocky Mount's established neighborhoods. This residence features an inviting floor plan with abundant natural light, well-designed living spaces, and thoughtful updates throughout. Enjoy a spacious kitchen ideal for everyday living, comfortable bedrooms, and a relaxing outdoor area perfect for entertaining or quiet evenings at home. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major thoroughfares, this property provides both ease of access and a peaceful residential setting. This move-in-ready home is a must-see for buyers seeking quality and value in Rocky Mount.

Key facts

  • 4,399 sq ft lot
  • Built 1970
  • Listed 154 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R6; Lot dimensions approximately 133 x 50; Lot approximately 0.1 acre
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with on-site, off-street parking; Asphalt and concrete surfaces; Open/outside parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water connected
  • Home design: Site-built house; One story; Central living area accessibility
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a house (no common walls)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Side porch; Fenced yard; Chain link fencing; Partially wooded yard; City street frontage (publicly maintained, asphalt/paved road)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Range hood; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan; Laminate counters
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, forced air, heat pump); Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Bathtub/shower combination; Ceiling fan(s); Dining L; Kitchen/dining room combination; Laminate countertops; Primary bedroom downstairs; Storage; Double pane windows; Window screens; Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry inside (in kitchen, lower level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.5% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Edgecombe County Public Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #163 of 178 in NC (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 50 units permitted in Edgecombe County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Edgecombe County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
11.08%
Cash-on-cash
17.11%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,760
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1558 Harper St 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,080 (0%) 11mo $95,000 $88 85
817 Corbett Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,075 (-0%) 2mo $90,000 $84 67
129 Lucas Cir 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,050 (-3%) 13mo $101,500 $97 65
1624 Fountain St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (-4%) 20mo $75,000 $72 59
1721 Fountain St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,209 (+12%) 13mo $143,000 $118 56
1709 Whitfield Ave 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,178 (+9%) 11mo $115,000 $98 52
1312 Beckman St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,020 (-6%) 23mo $133,500 $131 52
1004 Leggett Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,060 (-2%) 18mo $150,000 $142 50
1604 Robert Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 962 (-11%) 12mo $149,900 $156 50
1548 Fountain St 0.35mi 2/1.5 (-1) 936 (-13%) 9mo $33,792 $36 47
908 Shepard Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,160 (+7%) 20mo $103,000 $89 39
1548 Charter Dr 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 945 (-12%) 24mo $75,000 $79 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$10,109
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$44,688
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27801

Home prices YoY
-5.6%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,412 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $641/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$439

Break-even live

Break-even rent $856
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $110,000 Pending 154 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 154 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 150 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 148 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 147 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 146 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $110,000 Active 145 DOM
  9. 2026-05-02
    price $110,000
  10. 2026-04-05
    status Active
  11. 2026-03-09
    status Pending
  12. 2026-02-12
    price $115,000
  13. 2025-12-09
    listed $120,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$641 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$902 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$261/yr (+$22/mo · 40.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,939
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$641
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,355
− Management
−$1,355
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$3,676
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$882
After-tax cash flow
$4,387/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edgecombe County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3701320
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$35,711
Composite
19.85/100
National rank
#8696
State rank
#163 of 178 in NC

Livability — Rocky Mount

Score
70/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#7692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rocky Mount, NC
County
Edgecombe County · 37,913 people
City population
70,300
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
Population (ZIP)
19,532
Household income
$44,884
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
900.0

Population outlook (Edgecombe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,800 people
By 2030
44,396 · -7.1%
By 2040
37,562 · -21.4%
By 2050
31,495 · -34.1%
By 2075
20,943 · -56.2%
By 2100
13,674 · -71.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 70% White 24% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Edgecombe

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.7) · D 61.0% · R 38.3%
2008→2024 swing
-11.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 22.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.7 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+32.2 2012: D+36.4 2008: D+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.65%
Current HPI
296.3428
Rent YoY
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $110,000 TMLS
  • 2026-04-05 Relisted TMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $115,000 TMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $120,000 TMLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $641 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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