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D+ Composite 45.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

216 Roosevelt Ave · West Memphis, AR 72301
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,731 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1994 Est $185k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

For MLS purposes only

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (11.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bragg Elementary School (math 24% / reading 15%, grade F, #383 of 454 statewide, top 86%, 534 students, 100% FRL); West Junior High School (math 19% / reading 25%, grade F, #175 of 201 statewide, top 88%, 507 students, 100% FRL); The Academies of West Memphis Charter School (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #265 of 292 statewide, top 91%, 952 students, 100% FRL, charter) — zoned schools at 100% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $175k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,265 (11.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.12%
Cash-on-cash
2.94%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,217
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
232 Ross Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,775 (+2%) 5mo $177,500 $100 79
502 W Barton Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,766 (+2%) 12mo $200,000 $113 67
1007 N Avalon St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+4%) 9mo $170,000 $94 64
519 S Roselawn Dr 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,780 (+3%) 8mo $100,000 $56 60
128 Ross Ave 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,486 (-14%) 14mo $194,900 $131 54
618 S Roselawn 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,537 (-11%) 1mo $140,000 $91 52
1108 N Redding St 0.57mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,712 (-1%) 17mo $115,000 $67 50
200 Gibson Ave 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,498 (-14%) 17mo $162,000 $108 47
702 W Barton Ave 0.62mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,665 (-4%) 15mo $184,900 $111 45
424 N Roselawn Dr 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,554 (-10%) 9mo $185,000 $119 44
203 Pearce St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,947 (+12%) 19mo $208,000 $107 42
451 S Roselawn Drive Dr 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,989 (+15%) 6mo $212,500 $107 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.7%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-20,753
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-8,403
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72301

Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,543 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,295/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$120

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,391
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $219 -5% $170 +0% $120 +5% $71 +10% $21
Rent -10% $-2 -5% $59 +0% $120 +5% $181 +10% $242
Rate -1.0pp $208 -0.5pp $165 base $120 +0.5pp $75 +1.0pp $29

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
911 N Avalon St Unit Future applicants West Memphis, AR 2.0 2.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 0d 1 0.42mi
1398 E Barton Ave West Memphis, AR 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,550 $1.24 13d 1 1.21mi
905 Maple Dr West Memphis, AR 4.0 2.0 1176 $1,495 $1.27 26d 1 1.28mi
905 Maple Dr West Memphis, AR 4.0 2.0 1176 $1,699 $1.44 4d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-03-26
    status Pending
  2. 2025-05-13
    historical
  3. 2023-07-18
    price $470,000
  4. 2023-05-25
    price $498,000
  5. 2023-02-24
    listed $510,000 Active
  6. 2003-02-28
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,295 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,295 · $108/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,512
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,295
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,481
− Management
−$1,481
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$1,514
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$363
After-tax cash flow
$1,805/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Memphis School District
NCES district ID
0508040
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$29,382
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9647
State rank
#224 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Memphis

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Memphis, AR
City population
24,182
Population (ZIP)
24,182

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.63%
Current HPI
182.7665
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+526.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Pending EARA
  • 2025-05-13 Delisted EARA
  • 2023-07-18 Price Changed $470,000 EARA
  • 2023-05-25 Price Changed $498,000 EARA
  • 2023-02-24 Listed $510,000 EARA
  • 2003-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,295 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…