🏷️ Likely Rental
106 Shady Oaks Ln · East Stroudsburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$48,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath 1983 Liberty mobile home located in the East Stroudsburg School District. Measuring approximately 76 feet long by 14 feet wide, this home offers a large living room, dining area, and a decent-sized kitchen with all appliances included. The primary bedroom features its own private bath. Outside, you'll find a shed for additional storage and a deck that could be restored or redesigned to fit your needs. Lot rent is $530 per month and includes water, sewer, trash, and road maintenance. This property does need work and is being sold as-is, cash only. With some vision and updates, this home has the potential to be transformed into an affordable full-time residence or i
Key facts
- Decent-sized kitchen
- Private bath
- Dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $470 (about $39.17/month); HOA covers water, sewer, trash and grounds maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single wide mobile home; Manufactured by Liberty; 14 ft wide by 76 ft long
- Construction: Metal skirting
- Exterior features: Shed(s); Located in Brookside Trailer Park; Zoned residential
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Refrigerator; Microwave
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Kerosene heating; Ceiling fans for cooling; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 36.9% vs local median 3.6% in East Stroudsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#108 in PA, #833 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
- East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.4%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 109.16%
- DSCR
- 5.86
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,000
- List price
- $48,000
- Delta
- -36.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.00×
- Total profit
- $80,584
- Equity at exit
- $7,157
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.23×
- Total profit
- $218,182
- Equity at exit
- $4,150
Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18301
- Rents YoY
- 10.4%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,979 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $360/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$39
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $1,223
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,250 | -5% $1,236 | +0% $1,223 | +5% $1,209 | +10% $1,195 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,066 | -5% $1,144 | +0% $1,223 | +5% $1,301 | +10% $1,379 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,247 | -0.5pp $1,235 | base $1,223 | +0.5pp $1,210 | +1.0pp $1,198 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,000
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Madison St Unit G3 East Stroudsburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,450 | $2.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 115 E 5th St East Stroudsburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,795 | $1.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 111 Lenox Ave Unit 3 & 4 East Stroudsburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 118 Barnum St East Stroudsburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,800 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1706 E Broad St East Stroudsburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,000 | $3.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 175 Prospect St Unit 175-1 East Stroudsburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $2,000 | $2.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $39 · $468/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-17status $48,000 Pending 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $48,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $48,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $48,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $48,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $48,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $48,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $48,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $48,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $48,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $48,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $48,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$48,000 Active 721-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $360 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $559 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$199/yr (+$17/mo · 55.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,747
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,689
- − Property taxes
- −$360
- − Insurance
- −$240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,900
- − Management
- −$1,900
- − HOA
- −$468
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $14,794
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,551
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,121/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Stroudsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208670
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,142
- Composite
- 30.13/100
- National rank
- #6332
- State rank
- #413 of 539 in PA
Livability — East Stroudsburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #833
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Stroudsburg, PA
- County
- Monroe County · 59,057 people
- City population
- 28,977
- Metro
- East Stroudsburg, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,977
- Household income
- $90,522
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 672.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.90%
- Current HPI
- 154.4762
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.44%
- Metro
- East Stroudsburg, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-05-13 Listed $48,000 PMAR
Property tax history
-3.6%/yrLatest (2026): $360 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…