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106 Shady Oaks Ln 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 79.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$48,000

106 Shady Oaks Ln · East Stroudsburg, PA 18301
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 910 sqft · Manufactured public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1983 $53/sqft · 36% below area Est $75k · 36% under $39/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath 1983 Liberty mobile home located in the East Stroudsburg School District. Measuring approximately 76 feet long by 14 feet wide, this home offers a large living room, dining area, and a decent-sized kitchen with all appliances included. The primary bedroom features its own private bath. Outside, you'll find a shed for additional storage and a deck that could be restored or redesigned to fit your needs. Lot rent is $530 per month and includes water, sewer, trash, and road maintenance. This property does need work and is being sold as-is, cash only. With some vision and updates, this home has the potential to be transformed into an affordable full-time residence or i

Key facts

  • Decent-sized kitchen
  • Private bath
  • Dining area

Tags

LARGE LIVING ROOMDINING AREADECENT-SIZED KITCHENPRIVATE BATHSHED FOR ADDITIONAL STORAGEDECK THAT COULD BE RESTORED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $470 (about $39.17/month); HOA covers water, sewer, trash and grounds maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single wide mobile home; Manufactured by Liberty; 14 ft wide by 76 ft long
  • Construction: Metal skirting
  • Exterior features: Shed(s); Located in Brookside Trailer Park; Zoned residential

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Kerosene heating; Ceiling fans for cooling; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $48,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$75,000) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $48k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $48k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 36.9% vs local median 3.6% in East Stroudsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#108 in PA, #833 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
  • East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.4%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $46,560 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.12%
Cap rate
36.86%
Cash-on-cash
109.16%
DSCR
5.86
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$75,000
List price
$48,000
Delta
-36.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.00×
Total profit
$80,584
Equity at exit
$7,157
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.23×
Total profit
$218,182
Equity at exit
$4,150

Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18301

Rents YoY
10.4%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,979 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$252
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $360/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$39
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$416
Net cashflow
$1,223

Break-even live

Break-even rent $431
Max offer price $48,000
Occupancy floor 33%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,250 -5% $1,236 +0% $1,223 +5% $1,209 +10% $1,195
Rent -10% $1,066 -5% $1,144 +0% $1,223 +5% $1,301 +10% $1,379
Rate -1.0pp $1,247 -0.5pp $1,235 base $1,223 +0.5pp $1,210 +1.0pp $1,198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,000
Closing costs
$1,440
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
106 Madison St Unit G3 East Stroudsburg, PA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,450 $2.07 45d 1 0.42mi
115 E 5th St East Stroudsburg, PA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,795 $1.89 3d 1 0.54mi
111 Lenox Ave Unit 3 & 4 East Stroudsburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1100 $1,850 $1.68 44d 1 0.73mi
118 Barnum St East Stroudsburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1094 $1,800 $1.65 44d 1 0.80mi
1706 E Broad St East Stroudsburg, PA 2.0 1.0 650 $2,000 $3.08 44d 1 0.83mi
175 Prospect St Unit 175-1 East Stroudsburg, PA 2.0 1.0 928 $2,000 $2.16 44d 1 1.22mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$39 · $468/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrash

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $48,000 Pending 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $48,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $48,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $48,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $48,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $48,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $48,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $48,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $48,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $48,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $48,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $48,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $48,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $48,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-13
    listed $48,000 Active 721-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$360 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$559 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$199/yr (+$17/mo · 55.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,747
− Mortgage interest
−$2,689
− Property taxes
−$360
− Insurance
−$240
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,900
− Management
−$1,900
− HOA
−$468
− Depreciation
−$1,396
Taxable income
$14,794
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,551
After-tax cash flow
$11,121/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Stroudsburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4208670
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$57,142
Composite
30.13/100
National rank
#6332
State rank
#413 of 539 in PA

Livability — East Stroudsburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#108
US rank
#833

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Stroudsburg, PA
County
Monroe County · 59,057 people
City population
28,977
Metro
East Stroudsburg, PA
Population (ZIP)
28,977
Household income
$90,522
Rent vs Own
26.0% rent · 74.0% own
Severe rent burden
672.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.90%
Current HPI
154.4762
Rent YoY
▲ 10.44%
Metro
East Stroudsburg, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $48,000 PMAR

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $360 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…