4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #116 · Topanga, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath 1963 home full of potential and opportunity! Situated on a spacious lot with room to expand, this property offers the perfect canvas to create your dream home. Thoughtfully updated with new drywall, recessed lighting, and a chef’s refrigerator, the home blends classic charm with modern touches. Tech-forward features include TVs in every room—even a mini TV in the bathroom. The bathroom was updated a few years ago, and the former primary bath was converted into an enlarged closet; plumbing hookups remain capped and accessible beneath the flooring for easy future restoration. Enjoy a 3-car carport and a large side yard ideal for gating for pets or outdoo
Key facts
- Updated drywall
- Chef's refrigerator
- Enlarged closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease amount: $1,200
- HOA & community: Park name: Woodland Park Estates; Community features include valley setting, biking and mountainous surroundings; Manager approval required for residency; Pets: call for details; Land lease in place
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with space for 3 vehicles; RV access/parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water; Water connected; Cable connected
- Home design: Mobile home (double-wide); Single-story; Mobile dimensions approximately 20' x 55'; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Pier jacks foundation; Shingle roof; Cement board skirting; Wood construction elements
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Wood fencing; Porch (front and rear); Porch with wood accents; Community pool; Cement board skirting; One shed on the property; 0–1 unit/acre lot characteristic; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Dishwasher; Water heater unit
- Bedrooms: Entry level: 1
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central cooling
- Interior features: One-level home; Front and rear porches
- Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included; Laundry located in carport
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $325k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $962 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $315k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.6% in Topanga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#846 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, schools A, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Las Virgenes Unified (suburban): math 55% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #58 of 517 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 182 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($133k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.68%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $355,100
- List price
- $325,000
- Delta
- -8.48%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #51 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,123 (+1%) | 11mo | $370,000 | $329 | 80 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #62 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,050 (-6%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $257 | 79 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #102 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (+0%) | 16mo | $228,000 | $204 | 77 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #130 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,160 (+4%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $164 | 74 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #23 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-7%) | 14mo | $329,000 | $316 | 67 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #31 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,250 (+12%) | 10mo | $385,000 | $308 | 62 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #110 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,027 (-8%) | 13mo | $360,000 | $351 | 61 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #40 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,255 (+12%) | 6mo | $425,000 | $339 | 60 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #32 | 0.12mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+12%) | 10mo | $350,000 | $280 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-3,242
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $30,320
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91364
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 182
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,061 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$406 /mo · $4,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$853
- Net cashflow
- $962
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,186 | -5% $1,074 | +0% $962 | +5% $850 | +10% $737 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $641 | -5% $801 | +0% $962 | +5% $1,122 | +10% $1,283 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,126 | -0.5pp $1,045 | base $962 | +0.5pp $878 | +1.0pp $792 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4413 Canoga Dr Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $4,995 | $3.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 22237 Buenaventura St Unit 2 Woodland Hills, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $3,299 | $3.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 22263 Buena Ventura St Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1350 | $6,450 | $4.78 | 19d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4532 Ensenada Dr Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,590 | $3.24 | 8d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 21905 Viscanio Rd Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $4,450 | $3.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1188 Aztec Topanga, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $4,500 | $3.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4406 Coloma Ave Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $3,395 | $4.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4973 Topanga Canyon Blvd Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $2,850 | $3.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5020 Topanga Canyon Blvd Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,700 | $4.62 | 5d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 22025 Lopez St Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $4,250 | $4.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 22632 Cass Ave Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $4,300 | $2.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5007 Canoga Ave Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $4,850 | $3.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 22034 Galvez St Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1331 | $4,200 | $3.16 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5177 Topanga Canyon Blvd Unit 1 Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,600 | $1.86 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 22849 MacFarlane Dr Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $3,800 | $2.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2421 Liberty Ln Topanga, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $6,500 | $5.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $325,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $325,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $325,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $325,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $325,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $325,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $325,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $325,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $325,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $325,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $325,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-29$325,000 Active 781-char remark
-
2026-04-11historical
-
2026-01-20$275,000 Active
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-11-11$299,999 Active
-
2025-10-27historical
-
2025-09-27$279,000 Active
-
2025-09-23historical
-
2025-08-26$279,000 Active
-
2025-08-14historical
-
2025-06-13$289,000 Active
-
2025-06-07historical
-
2025-03-13price $299,000
-
2025-02-13$333,000 Active
-
2024-12-28historical
-
2024-03-27price $295,000
-
2024-02-11price $300,000
-
2023-12-02$325,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,727
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$4,875
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,898
- − Management
- −$3,898
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable income
- $6,771
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,625
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,917/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming 2-bedroom home is in good condition with modern updates and a spacious lot. It has the potential for further improvements to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both Add smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Add smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Las Virgenes Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0621000
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $118,374
- Composite
- 59.63/100
- National rank
- #907
- State rank
- #58 of 517 in CA
Livability — Topanga
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #846
- US rank
- #23336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Topanga, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 6,315
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,748
- Household income
- $132,854
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 899.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 10% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 4% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -776.49%
- Current HPI
- 362.9341
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.51%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $325,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-11 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $275,000 CRMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-11-11 Listed $299,999 CRMLS
- 2025-10-27 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-09-27 Listed $279,000 CRMLS
- 2025-09-23 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-08-26 Listed $279,000 CRMLS
- 2025-08-14 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-06-13 Listed $289,000 CRMLS
- 2025-06-07 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-03-13 Price Changed $299,000 CRMLS
- 2025-02-13 Listed $333,000 CRMLS
- 2024-12-28 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-03-27 Price Changed $295,000 CRMLS
- 2024-02-11 Price Changed $300,000 CRMLS
- 2023-12-02 Listed $325,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…