1565 M-63 #65 · Benton, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +2.0/30.0
- Schools +0.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -2.4
$56,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 1995
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $57k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-209 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $27k (53.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($886 rent vs $57k).
- Recommended offer: $27k (53.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 1.9% vs local median 2.9% in Benton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Benton Harbor Area Schools (urban): math 4% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #732 of 760 in MI (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fair Plain Middle School (math 0% / reading 4%, grade F, #493 of 493 statewide, top 100%, 288 students, 97% FRL); Fair Plain Middle School (math 0% / reading 4%, grade F, #493 of 493 statewide, top 100%, 288 students, 97% FRL); Benton Harbor High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #704 of 713 statewide, top 100%, 495 students, 97% FRL).
- Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $393 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 58% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -15.72%
- DSCR
- 0.30
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,919
- List price
- $56,900
- Delta
- -64.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1565 N M-63 #53 | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 904 (-5%) | 3mo | $44,700 | $49 | 80 |
| 1565 M-63 #49 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (-12%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $107 | 79 |
| 1565 M-63 #94 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,086 (+14%) | 5mo | $24,000 | $22 | 70 |
| 1565 M-63 #60 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-23%) | 3mo | $30,000 | $41 | 69 |
| 1565 M-63 #63 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 747 (-21%) | 5mo | $67,600 | $90 | 67 |
| 542 Campbell Ave | 0.92mi | 2/1.0 | 945 (-0%) | 13mo | $41,900 | $44 | 49 |
| 745 N Shore Dr | 1.01mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-5%) | 5mo | $129,000 | $143 | 48 |
| 600 Benson Rd | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 1,176 (+24%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $191 | 48 |
| 932 Enders Ave | 0.79mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,002 (+6%) | 14mo | $155,000 | $155 | 39 |
| 1201 Summer St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,049 (+10%) | 8mo | $176,000 | $168 | 39 |
| 680 Waukonda Ave | 1.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+6%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $139 | 36 |
| 591 N Winans St | 1.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-12%) | 15mo | $109,000 | $130 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -45.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.39×
- Total profit
- $-22,181
- Equity at exit
- $8,484
- IRR
- -74.9%
- Equity multiple
- -1.20×
- Total profit
- $-35,089
- Equity at exit
- $4,920
Cash invested: $15,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 2.4 mo (42%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $29,000 ($36/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 22 d
- This list price
- 100% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +368.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 49022
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $886 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$298
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$71 /mo · $854/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$515
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $-209
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-169 | -5% $-189 | +0% $-209 | +5% $-228 | +10% $-248 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-279 | -5% $-244 | +0% $-209 | +5% $-174 | +10% $-139 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-180 | -0.5pp $-194 | base $-209 | +0.5pp $-223 | +1.0pp $-238 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,225
- Closing costs
- $1,707
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1003 Colonial Dr Unit 2 Benton Harbor, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1003 Colonial Dr Unit 1 Benton Harbor, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 139d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with a monthly fee of $515
Exterior
- Utilities
- Public water
- Home design
- Single-family residenceOne story
- Construction
- Vinyl siding
- Exterior features
- Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingElectric heating
- Interior features
- Five total rooms
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-07-01days on market $56,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $56,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $56,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $56,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $56,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $56,900 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $56,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $56,900 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $56,900 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $56,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $56,900 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $56,900 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $56,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $56,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $56,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $56,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $56,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $56,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $56,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $56,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $56,900 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $56,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $56,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $56,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $56,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $56,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-03-22price $56,900
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2026-03-22price $56,900
-
2026-03-22price $56,900
-
2026-01-04$65,000 Active
-
2026-01-04$65,000 Active
-
2026-01-04$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,626
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,187
- − Property taxes
- −$854
- − Insurance
- −$284
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$850
- − Management
- −$850
- − HOA
- −$6,180
- − Depreciation
- −$1,655
- Taxable loss
- −$3,235
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$776
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,728/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in average condition with some cosmetic repairs needed. It has a good layout and could benefit from fresh paint and updated appliances to increase its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor exterior siding — Some wear and tear
- Minor interior walls — Some wear and tear
- Minor kitchen appliances — Black appliances
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in curb appeal ↑
- Resale Replace carpets — Fresh carpets can make a home more appealing to potential buyers ↑
- Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make a home more attractive to potential buyers ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Benton Harbor Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2604830
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,038
- Composite
- 7.53/100
- National rank
- #14787
- State rank
- #732 of 760 in MI
Livability — Benton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Berrien · 149,273 people
- Metro
- Niles, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,796
- Household income
- $39,859
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Berrien County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 149,273 people
- By 2030
- 145,211 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 135,435 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 125,543 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 103,986 · -30.3%
- By 2100
- 82,256 · -44.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Berrien
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.9 2020: R+7.4 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.6 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -309.81%
- Current HPI
- 209.9723
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-12.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $56,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $56,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $56,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-04 Listed $56,900 Greater Lansing AoR
- 2026-01-04 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-04 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…