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2440 CR 522
D Composite 42.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0

$250,000

2440 CR 522 · Bushnell, FL 33585
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,104 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 163 Days on market
Built 1910 0.69 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Old Florida Charm. Step back in time and discover the rare opportunity to own a piece of authentic Old Florida. Nestled on a scenic yard in the heart of Sumterville, this vacant land features a charming Florida Cracker-style home. Enjoy the serenity of rural living while remaining seconds away from 301 and a short drive to The Villages, Wildwood and Bushnell. Perfect for restoration, new construction or investment potential. This is your chance to own a true slice of Old Florida- a property filled with character, history, and unlimited possibilities. Schedule your private showing today.

Key facts

  • Scenic yard
  • Rural living
  • New construction

Tags

FLORIDA CRACKER-STYLE HOMESCENIC YARDRURAL LIVINGRESTORATION POTENTIALNEW CONSTRUCTIONINVESTMENT POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Partially furnished; One well and one septic on the property; Living area approximately 1,104 square feet
  • Financial info: Tax information not included per instructions
  • HOA & community: No HOA; Community has street lights

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security details provided
  • Utilities: Well water; Private sewer; Private utilities; sewer available; water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on approximately 0.69 acres (about 1/2 to less than 1 acre)
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Paved road access; Street lights in the community

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating specified; No cooling specified
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Wood-burning fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-915/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (5.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (28.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (28.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.2% in Bushnell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#835 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,500 (28.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.31%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$25,142
Equity at exit
$112,411
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$96,190
Equity at exit
$173,238

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33585

Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,795 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $950/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$-76

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,892
Max offer price $236,525
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $65 -5% $-6 +0% $-76 +5% $-147 +10% $-218
Rent -10% $-218 -5% $-147 +0% $-76 +5% $-5 +10% $66
Rate -1.0pp $50 -0.5pp $-13 base $-76 +0.5pp $-141 +1.0pp $-207

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1729 Nebraska Loop Bushnell, FL 3.0 2.0 1263 $1,795 $1.42 22d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $250,000 Active 163 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 162 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 161 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 160 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 159 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $250,000 Active 157 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 156 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $250,000 Active 154 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 153 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 152 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 151 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 146 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 145 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 144 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $250,000 Active 143 DOM
  16. 2026-01-07
    listed $250,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$950 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,075 · $173/mo
Expected delta
+$1,125/yr (+$94/mo · 118.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,540
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$950
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,723
− Management
−$1,723
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$5,383
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,292
After-tax cash flow
$377/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter
NCES district ID
1201800
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,240
Composite
51.74/100
National rank
#1682
State rank
#11 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bushnell

Score
58/100
State rank
#835
US rank
#20676

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,424

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
161,172 people
By 2030
180,083 · +11.7%
By 2040
209,892 · +30.2%
By 2050
234,186 · +45.3%
By 2075
284,602 · +76.6%
By 2100
317,039 · +96.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 17% Cuban 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $950 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…