10110 Forum West Dr #625 · Houston, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Rent growth +0.8/5.0
$42,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- $300 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1981
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community pool; Association managed by RANDALL MANAGMENT; Association fee $300 monthly (includes water, sewer, trash)
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story; Built in 1981; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick and wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (12 x 12)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: One fireplace; Total of 1 room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $42k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-384/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $36k (13.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($842 rent vs $42k).
- Recommended offer: $36k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Alief ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #717 of 826 in TX (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Olle Middle (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,301 of 1,662 statewide, top 79%, 1,067 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 74% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-6.6%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $290 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $307 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 36% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.52%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.73% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-6,895
- Equity at exit
- $10,683
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.12×
- Total profit
- $-13,144
- Equity at exit
- $11,689
Cash invested: $11,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77036
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Rents YoY
- -6.6%
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $842 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$220
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,118/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$300
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$177
- Net cashflow
- $-32
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,500
- Closing costs
- $1,260
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10107 Forum Park Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $770 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 10107 Forum Park Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $770 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 10286 Forum West Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 553 | $830 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 10286 Forum West Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 553 | $830 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 10101 Forum Park Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $859 | $1.04 | 1d | 21 | 0.26mi |
| 9898 Forum Park Dr Unit 6406 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 10009 Forum Park Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 543 | $819 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 10009 Forum Park Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 543 | $819 | $1.51 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 10101 W Sam Houston Pkwy S Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 809 | $850 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 10225 Bissonnet St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 992 | $795 | $0.80 | 1d | 49 | 0.38mi |
| 13 South Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $894 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 9502 Woodfair Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 711 | $640 | $0.90 | 3d | 31 | 0.62mi |
| 9502 Woodfair Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 636 | $640 | $1.01 | 43d | 31 | 0.62mi |
| 10440 South Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 773 | $965 | $1.25 | 1d | 27 | 0.63mi |
| 9430 Concourse Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $842 | $1.17 | 12d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 9445 Concourse Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 715 | $603 | $0.84 | 1d | 21 | 0.76mi |
| 9475 W Sam Houston Pkwy S Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $773 | $1.07 | 5d | 18 | 0.79mi |
| 14 W Sam Houston Pkwy S Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 619 | $779 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 14 W Sam Houston Pkwy S Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 619 | $779 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 9303 Woodfair Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 791 | $795 | $1.01 | 43d | 42 | 0.87mi |
| 10300 S Wilcrest Dr Unit 10351 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $733 | $1.13 | 12d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10300 S Wilcrest Dr Unit 10374 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $741 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10300 S Wilcrest Dr Unit 10374 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $779 | $1.20 | 12d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10411 South Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 757 | $899 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 9907 Club Creek Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 510 | $795 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 9907 Club Creek Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 510 | $795 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 9901 Club Creek Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $645 | $0.75 | 1d | 13 | 0.99mi |
| 9255 W Sam Houston Pkwy S Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,049 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 8600 S Course Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 706 | $675 | $0.96 | 1d | 31 | 1.15mi |
| 10000 Club Creek Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 670 | $808 | $1.20 | 10d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 10934 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $1,303 | $1.94 | 10d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 1162 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $1,264 | $1.88 | 5d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 10940 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $1,299 | $1.93 | 12d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 324 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $1,264 | $1.88 | 7d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 1112 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $1,261 | $1.87 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $1,253 | $1.86 | 12d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9001 S Braeswood Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 739 | $604 | $0.82 | 1d | 26 | 1.22mi |
| 9001 S Braeswood Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 739 | $728 | $0.99 | 43d | 26 | 1.22mi |
| 10256 Lands End Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 659 | $929 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 10250 Lands End Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,089 | $1.45 | 24d | 16 | 1.33mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $300 · $3,600/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-06$42,000 Active 673-char remark
-
2026-04-29historical $42,000 673-char remark
-
2025-11-28historical
-
2025-06-19$67,500 Active
-
2025-05-22historical
-
2024-12-15$70,000 Active
-
2024-11-23historical
-
2024-10-02$70,000 Active
-
2011-12-22soldstatus
-
2011-12-07historical
-
2011-10-24$7,500
-
2010-11-10historical
-
2010-09-23$16,500
-
2009-05-12historical
-
2008-10-06$8,000
-
1994-12-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,118 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,118 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,107
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,353
- − Property taxes
- −$1,118
- − Insurance
- −$1,008
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$809
- − Management
- −$809
- − HOA
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$1,222
- Taxable loss
- −$810
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$194
- After-tax cash flow
- $-190/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alief ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807830
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,775
- Composite
- 21.29/100
- National rank
- #8391
- State rank
- #717 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,770
- Household income
- $45,716
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4374.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 71% Two or more races 28% Black 11% Asian 9% White 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 33% Cuban 3%
- Foreign-born
- 55% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 20% English-only · Spanish 66% Chinese 5% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.73%
- Current HPI
- 221.1045
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -6.62%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+425.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2026-05-25 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-19 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $42,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-29 Coming Soon $42,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-28 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-06-19 Listed $67,500 HARMLS
- 2025-05-22 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-12-15 Listed $70,000 HARMLS
- 2024-11-23 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-10-02 Listed $70,000 HARMLS
- 2011-12-22 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2011-12-07 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2011-10-24 Listed $7,500 HARMLS
- 2010-11-10 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2010-09-23 Listed $16,500 HARMLS
- 2009-05-12 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2008-10-06 Listed $8,000 HARMLS
- 1994-12-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,118 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…