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1652 Azalea Dr
B- Composite 67.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

1652 Azalea Dr · Birmingham, AL 35235
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1979 0.52 ac lot Est $158k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

One level living on dead end street with lots of wooded views abounding in this home. This home has a lot of major improvements which include: New HVAC 2019, New Roof 2019, New Gutters 2020, Kitchen Floor - 2020, New Garage Door 2020. This home also has a large fenced yard both on front, side and back of home ready for your furry friends. This home also has a full unfinished basement which is stubbed for a second bath and can be finished out for a lot more space. Make plans to see this one today!

Key facts

  • Dead end street
  • Oversized lot
  • 0.52 acre lot

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTDEAD END STREET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.52 acres; Subdivision: SPRING LAKE MANOR
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Rear garage entry; Driveway parking; 1 total garage space (basement level)
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet availability: unknown
  • Home design: Existing construction; Siding (other); Basement foundation; Not waterfront; No pool; No patio; No garden/patio
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Open deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Breakfast bar and eating area; Refrigerator; Some stainless appliances; Electric stove
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Concrete; Hardwood laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bath on main level; One half bath in basement; Tub/shower combo; Linen closet
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central cooling
  • Interior features: Handyman special; Ceilings: other (see remarks); Walk-up attic; Full unfinished basement with plumbing stubbed and concrete block
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement (utilities in garage); Dryer hookup: electric; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Huffman Academy (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #594 of 627 statewide, top 95%, 735 students, 79% FRL); Huffman High Schoolmagnet (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 1,147 students, 72% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 39% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $125k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.30%
Cash-on-cash
10.72%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$157,920
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1503 Wilderness Ln 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,209 (+8%) 1mo $135,000 $112 69
1608 Azalea Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,131 (+1%) 22mo $145,000 $128 68
1801 Molly Ln 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,176 (+5%) 5mo $249,000 $212 49
1709 Driftwood Ln 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,288 (+15%) 15mo $182,000 $141 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-92
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$37,290
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35235

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,508 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,056/yr
Insurance
$52
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$317
Net cashflow
$257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,183
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1753 Tall Oak Cir Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,225 $0.89 3d 1 0.07mi
1729 Tall Oak Cir Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1403 $1,630 $1.16 2d 1 0.11mi
1421 Brewster Cir Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1439 $1,525 $1.06 2d 1 0.31mi
1516 Highland Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1104 $1,675 $1.52 15d 1 0.34mi
1440 Hickory Ln Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1448 $1,625 $1.12 2d 1 0.57mi
1830 Christian St Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1468 $1,375 $0.94 3d 1 0.85mi
1748 Sonia Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1401 $1,395 $1.00 44d 1 0.95mi
1360 Orlando Cir NE Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1489 $1,455 $0.98 24d 1 1.14mi
1935 Springlake Ct Unit 1 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 1152 $1,095 $0.95 44d 1 1.18mi
1845 Stonehenge Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1358 $1,323 $0.97 15d 1 1.19mi
1340 Orlando Cir NE Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1329 $1,166 $0.88 24d 1 1.22mi
1817 Lyle Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1361 $1,605 $1.18 24d 1 1.24mi
1814 Valley Run Cir Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,350 $1.32 44d 1 1.24mi
341 Argonne Dr NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,300 $1.25 3d 1 1.36mi
2025 Brewster Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1369 $1,450 $1.06 24d 1 1.44mi
213 Meadwood Dr NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1194 $995 $0.83 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 335-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $125,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,056 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,056 · $171/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,102
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,056
− Insurance
−$1,292
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,448
− Management
−$1,448
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$1,220
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$293
After-tax cash flow
$2,794/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
20,526
Household income
$63,295
Rent vs Own
34.5% rent · 65.5% own
Severe rent burden
941.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 30% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.62%
Current HPI
204.6532
Rent YoY
▲ 5.39%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+237.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Coming Soon $125,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2020-12-02 Sold (MLS) $80,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-11-20 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-11-09 Price Changed $85,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-11-05 Listed $90,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-11-01 Coming Soon $90,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 2018-01-08 Sold (MLS) $68,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2017-12-15 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2017-11-02 Listed $69,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 1978-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,056 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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