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5401 Avenue M
C- Composite 51.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

5401 Avenue M · Birmingham, AL 35208
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1925 5,227 sqft lot $88/sqft · 36% above area Est $77k · 36% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Please be respectful and DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANT or be on the premises without the owner's listing agent's, or property management's prior approval. Great investment opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1200 sq. ft. home offers consistent monthly rental income. Ideal for investors looking to expand their portfolio with a cash-flowing property. New roof & water heater in 2024, A/C less than 10yrs. old per the seller. Hardwoods throughout, except for kitchen and bathrooms.

Key facts

  • Water heater
  • Hardwoods throughout
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFWATER HEATERHARDWOODS THROUGHOUT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $105k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.23%
Cash-on-cash
10.49%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$77,347
List price
$105,000
Delta
35.75%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1508 W 51st St 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,264 (+5%) 2mo $30,000 $24 70
5528 Avenue Q 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,252 (+4%) 2mo $52,900 $42 68
1407 57th Pl W 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,084 (-10%) 4mo $79,000 $73 67
5621 Avenue Q 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,136 (-5%) 1mo $72,000 $63 65
1569 Meadow Ln 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,192 (-1%) 2mo $50,000 $42 64
821 46th St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,254 (+4%) 0mo $116,000 $93 62
940 47th Street Ensley 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-8%) 0mo $49,000 $45 62
5604 Terrace O 0.34mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,072 (-11%) 2mo $80,000 $75 60
5625 Avenue Q 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,103 (-8%) 3mo $22,000 $20 59
6144 Court M 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,066 (-11%) 2mo $76,000 $71 54
5541 Court P 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,035 (-14%) 1mo $35,000 $34 49
5800 Court Q 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,024 (-15%) 2mo $111,000 $108 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$4,508
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$48,107
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35208

Home prices YoY
-18.1%
Rents YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,164 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $821/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $839
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5710 Monte Sano Dr Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 0.27mi
5604 Terrace O Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1072 $1,325 $1.24 43d 1 0.32mi
5717 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1029 $1,250 $1.21 43d 1 0.33mi
4716 Court M Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 932 $1,200 $1.29 43d 1 0.34mi
5725 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 957 $1,073 $1.12 23d 1 0.34mi
5712 Monte Sano Rd Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 43d 1 0.35mi
5516 Avenue P Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 888 $1,000 $1.13 43d 1 0.36mi
5316 Court I Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1284 $1,200 $0.93 43d 1 0.37mi
5808 Court O Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1227 $1,100 $0.90 43d 1 0.41mi
1429 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 768 $750 $0.98 43d 1 0.42mi
1112 47th St W Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1166 $975 $0.84 43d 1 0.42mi
5713 Avenue P Unit P Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 19d 1 0.43mi
1037 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1299 $1,000 $0.77 43d 1 0.43mi
5300 Avenue I Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1360 $1,500 $1.10 1d 1 0.43mi
1340 Pineview Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1116 $1,075 $0.96 43d 1 0.44mi
829 51st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1203 $1,340 $1.11 3d 1 0.46mi
1341 Pineview Rd Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1409 $1,300 $0.92 43d 1 0.47mi
1632 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1337 $1,100 $0.82 43d 1 0.47mi
1632 51st St W Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1337 $1,000 $0.75 1d 1 0.47mi
1556 Burgin Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1168 $1,100 $0.94 19d 1 0.48mi
1556 Burgin Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,100 $0.94 21d 1 0.48mi
1410 46th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 43d 1 0.49mi
5709 Court H Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.5 1455 $1,400 $0.96 1d 1 0.49mi
1606 49th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1136 $1,100 $0.97 43d 1 0.53mi
1515 45th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1440 $875 $0.61 3d 1 0.56mi
5219 Court Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1082 $1,200 $1.11 19d 1 0.56mi
920 47th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1070 $895 $0.84 3d 1 0.58mi
5219 Court G Unit G Fairfield, AL 3.0 1.0 1140 $950 $0.83 23d 1 0.58mi
1272 Meadow Ln Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 744 $800 $1.08 43d 1 0.59mi
5832 Court Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 912 $950 $1.04 44d 1 0.60mi
5820 Court Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 902 $1,200 $1.33 43d 1 0.60mi
5320 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1116 $1,250 $1.12 43d 1 0.60mi
5406 Court G Unit G Fairfield, AL 3.0 2.0 1449 $1,199 $0.83 11d 1 0.60mi
1509 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1260 $1,123 $0.89 11d 1 0.62mi
5211 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 756 $775 $1.03 43d 1 0.63mi
5503 Myron Massey Blvd Fairfield, AL 3.0 2.0 1119 $1,200 $1.07 43d 1 0.63mi
1436 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1435 $1,495 $1.04 1d 1 0.63mi
813 46th St Fairfield, AL 2.0 1.0 1100 $825 $0.75 10d 1 0.68mi
4619 Terrace Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1198 $900 $0.75 43d 1 0.70mi
1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 23d 1 0.70mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $105,000 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 44 DOM
  14. 2026-04-17
    listed $110,000 Active 483-char remark
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    Please be respectful and DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANT or be on the premises without the owner's listing agent's, or property management's prior approval. Great investment opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1200 sq. ft. home offers consistent monthly rental income. Ideal for investors looking to expand their portfolio with a cash-flowing property. New roof & water heater in 2024, A/C less than 10yrs. old per the seller. Hardwoods throughout, except for kitchen and bathrooms.

  15. 2025-09-05
    historical $1,095
  16. 2025-08-14
    price $1,095
  17. 2025-05-01
    price $1,195
  18. 2025-04-09
    price $1,200
  19. 2025-03-26
    price $1,250
  20. 2025-02-19
    price $1,275
  21. 2025-01-15
    listed $1,300
  22. 2023-03-17
    soldstatus $55,000 Sold 130-char remark
    Show marketing remark (130 chars)

    3 Bedroom 2 Bath home sits on corner lot, has tons of potential. Needs Rehab. Will be sold "as-is. " List date 2/14/2023

  23. 2023-03-17
    soldstatus $59,000
    Show marketing remark (130 chars)

    3 Bedroom 2 Bath home sits on corner lot, has tons of potential. Needs Rehab. Will be sold "as-is. " List date 2/14/2023

  24. 2023-02-21
    historical Contingent 130-char remark
    Show marketing remark (130 chars)

    3 Bedroom 2 Bath home sits on corner lot, has tons of potential. Needs Rehab. Will be sold "as-is. " List date 2/14/2023

  25. 2022-02-14
    listed $64,000 Active 130-char remark
    Show marketing remark (130 chars)

    3 Bedroom 2 Bath home sits on corner lot, has tons of potential. Needs Rehab. Will be sold "as-is. " List date 2/14/2023

  26. 2022-02-03
    price $835
  27. 2016-04-26
    soldstatus $54,000
  28. 2016-03-04
    soldstatus $13,000 Sold
  29. 2016-02-02
    status Pending
  30. 2016-01-15
    listed $24,900 Active
  31. 2001-07-24
    soldstatus $68,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$821 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$821 · $68/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,970
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$821
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,118
− Management
−$1,118
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$1,453
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$349
After-tax cash flow
$2,735/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
13,412
Household income
$38,561
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
573.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.99%
Current HPI
153.414
Rent YoY
▲ 7.24%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.6% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $110,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-09-05 Rental Removed $1,095 GALMLS
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $1,095 GALMLS
  • 2025-05-01 Price Changed $1,195 GALMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Price Changed $1,200 GALMLS
  • 2025-03-26 Price Changed $1,250 GALMLS
  • 2025-02-19 Price Changed $1,275 GALMLS
  • 2025-01-15 Listed for Rent $1,300 GALMLS
  • 2023-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
  • 2023-03-17 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-02-21 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-02-14 Listed $64,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-02-03 Price Changed $835 RENT.
  • 2016-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2016-03-04 Sold (MLS) $13,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2016-02-02 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2016-01-15 Listed $24,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2001-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $821 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…