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1401 Ash St
B+ Composite 76.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$137,500

1401 Ash St · Gautier, MS 39564
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 988 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 275 Days on market
Built 1981 0.25 ac lot $139/sqft · 22% below area Est $177k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tiny home in Ocean Springs School District . Move in ready, sold fully furnished. The house could be 3 bedrooms, one of the rooms needs a closet. Only cash or conventional financing due to lower ceilings. Otherwise house is very adorable. Possible AirBnB if purchasing as an investment home. Owner is willing to do Owner Financing.

Key facts

  • Possible airbnb
  • Move in ready
  • Fully furnished

Tags

MOVE IN READYFULLY FURNISHEDPOSSIBLE AIRBNB

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.2% in Gautier — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#89 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, employment D.
  • Ocean Springs School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #1 of 130 in MS (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 714 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $951 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
11.37%
Cash-on-cash
18.14%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,665
List price
$137,500
Delta
-22.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1401 Ash St 0.00mi 3/1.0 988 (0%) 1mo $137,500 $139 99
1324 Ash St 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,128 (+14%) 6mo $169,000 $150 64
1333 Magnolia St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,128 (+14%) 14mo $169,000 $150 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.0%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-15,123
Equity at exit
$20,502
10-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-11,272
Equity at exit
$11,888

Cash invested: $38,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39564

Home prices YoY
-26.8%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
714
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,758 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$721
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $345/yr
Insurance
$57
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$155

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,562
Max offer price $137,500
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $233 -5% $194 +0% $155 +5% $116 +10% $78
Rent -10% $16 -5% $86 +0% $155 +5% $225 +10% $294
Rate -1.0pp $225 -0.5pp $190 base $155 +0.5pp $120 +1.0pp $84

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,375
Closing costs
$4,125
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Tiny home in Ocean Springs School District . Move in ready, sold fully furnished. The house could be 3 bedrooms, one of the rooms needs a closet. Only cash or conventional financing due to lower ceilings. Otherwise house is very adorable. Possible AirBnB if purchasing as an investment home. Owner is willing to do Owner Financing.

  2. 2026-03-10
    price $137,500 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Tiny home in Ocean Springs School District . Move in ready, sold fully furnished. The house could be 3 bedrooms, one of the rooms needs a closet. Only cash or conventional financing due to lower ceilings. Otherwise house is very adorable. Possible AirBnB if purchasing as an investment home. Owner is willing to do Owner Financing.

  3. 2026-01-22
    price $139,900 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Tiny home in Ocean Springs School District . Move in ready, sold fully furnished. The house could be 3 bedrooms, one of the rooms needs a closet. Only cash or conventional financing due to lower ceilings. Otherwise house is very adorable. Possible AirBnB if purchasing as an investment home. Owner is willing to do Owner Financing.

  4. 2025-09-15
    status Active 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Tiny home in Ocean Springs School District . Move in ready, sold fully furnished. The house could be 3 bedrooms, one of the rooms needs a closet. Only cash or conventional financing due to lower ceilings. Otherwise house is very adorable. Possible AirBnB if purchasing as an investment home. Owner is willing to do Owner Financing.

  5. 2025-08-29
    status Pending 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Tiny home in Ocean Springs School District . Move in ready, sold fully furnished. The house could be 3 bedrooms, one of the rooms needs a closet. Only cash or conventional financing due to lower ceilings. Otherwise house is very adorable. Possible AirBnB if purchasing as an investment home. Owner is willing to do Owner Financing.

  6. 2025-08-08
    price $149,900 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Tiny home in Ocean Springs School District . Move in ready, sold fully furnished. The house could be 3 bedrooms, one of the rooms needs a closet. Only cash or conventional financing due to lower ceilings. Otherwise house is very adorable. Possible AirBnB if purchasing as an investment home. Owner is willing to do Owner Financing.

  7. 2025-07-23
    listed $159,900 Active 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Tiny home in Ocean Springs School District . Move in ready, sold fully furnished. The house could be 3 bedrooms, one of the rooms needs a closet. Only cash or conventional financing due to lower ceilings. Otherwise house is very adorable. Possible AirBnB if purchasing as an investment home. Owner is willing to do Owner Financing.

  8. 2020-08-26
    soldstatus
  9. 2020-08-24
    soldstatus 121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    Looking for the perfect flip or investment property? A true Handyman Special! Priced to Sell!! Sold ''As Is', Where Is''.

  10. 2020-07-24
    listed $59,900 121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    Looking for the perfect flip or investment property? A true Handyman Special! Priced to Sell!! Sold ''As Is', Where Is''.

  11. 2015-01-21
    historical
  12. 2014-09-15
    listed $60,000
  13. 2007-07-20
    soldstatus
  14. 2007-03-16
    listed $66,000
  15. 2006-03-30
    soldstatus
  16. 2006-03-15
    listed $28,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$345 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,086 · $91/mo
Expected delta
+$741/yr (+$62/mo · 214.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,100
− Mortgage interest
−$7,702
− Property taxes
−$345
− Insurance
−$5,806
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,688
− Management
−$1,688
− Depreciation
−$4,000
Taxable loss
−$130
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$31
After-tax cash flow
$1,896/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ocean Springs School District
NCES district ID
2803360
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$60,485
Composite
53.35/100
National rank
#1477
State rank
#1 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gautier

Score
66/100
State rank
#89
US rank
#11250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jackson County · 82,196 people
City population
17,225
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
43,240
Household income
$78,596
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
734.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
146,926 people
By 2030
148,442 · +1.0%
By 2040
149,631 · +1.8%
By 2050
148,723 · +1.2%
By 2075
147,845 · +0.6%
By 2100
144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.77%
Current HPI
204.2244
Rent YoY
▲ 1.31%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+391.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $137,500 MLSU
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $139,900 MLSU
  • 2025-09-15 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-08-29 Pending MLSU
  • 2025-08-08 Price Changed $149,900 MLSU
  • 2025-07-23 Listed $159,900 MLSU
  • 2020-08-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-08-24 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2020-07-24 Listed $59,900 MLSU
  • 2015-01-21 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2014-09-15 Listed $60,000 MLSU
  • 2007-07-20 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2007-03-16 Listed $66,000 MLSU
  • 2006-03-30 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2006-03-15 Listed $28,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $345 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…