728 E Main St · Ionia, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable Handyman Special! 1800+ sq ft, 4 Bed, 2 Bath, 2-story home on nearly . 4 Acre lot. Offering a large open flow kitchen and Living room area. Home also features an enclosed front porch, and a large backyard that you're sure to love! Great location close to Parks and Schools. Hurry to show. Fast Possession!
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Open flow kitchen
- Enclosed front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 3.9% in Ionia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#276 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Ionia Public Schools (town): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #353 of 540 in MI (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 94 units permitted in Ionia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ionia County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.08%
- DSCR
- 2.16
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $182,972
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 614 E Washington St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+8%) | 2mo | $227,000 | $171 | 71 |
| 447 E Lincoln Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,282 (+4%) | 1mo | $228,000 | $178 | 70 |
| 514 Blanchard Ct | 0.30mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,208 (-2%) | 12mo | $203,500 | $168 | 68 |
| 647 E Washington St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,132 (-8%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $137 | 68 |
| 342 Pearl St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-7%) | 6mo | $159,900 | $140 | 66 |
| 442 E Jones St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-4%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $166 | 62 |
| 980 E Main St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,210 (-2%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $149 | 62 |
| 142 Mill St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-14%) | 4mo | $186,000 | $176 | 53 |
| 338 E Adams St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,124 (-8%) | 10mo | $140,056 | $125 | 53 |
| 526 N Jackson St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,287 (+5%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $136 | 52 |
| 313 Morse St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,406 (+14%) | 9mo | $103,000 | $73 | 52 |
| 310 E Adams St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,302 (+6%) | 14mo | $160,000 | $123 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $18,037
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 28.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $55,638
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48846
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,061/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $486
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $532 | -5% $509 | +0% $486 | +5% $464 | +10% $441 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $384 | -5% $435 | +0% $486 | +5% $538 | +10% $589 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $527 | -0.5pp $507 | base $486 | +0.5pp $466 | +1.0pp $445 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508 Jones St Ionia, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2025-12-30status Pending 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Affordable Handyman Special! 1800+ sq ft, 4 Bed, 2 Bath, 2-story home on nearly . 4 Acre lot. Offering a large open flow kitchen and Living room area. Home also features an enclosed front porch, and a large backyard that you're sure to love! Great location close to Parks and Schools. Hurry to show. Fast Possession!
-
2025-12-30status Pending 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Affordable Handyman Special! 1800+ sq ft, 4 Bed, 2 Bath, 2-story home on nearly . 4 Acre lot. Offering a large open flow kitchen and Living room area. Home also features an enclosed front porch, and a large backyard that you're sure to love! Great location close to Parks and Schools. Hurry to show. Fast Possession!
-
2025-12-30status Pending
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Affordable Handyman Special! 1800+ sq ft, 4 Bed, 2 Bath, 2-story home on nearly . 4 Acre lot. Offering a large open flow kitchen and Living room area. Home also features an enclosed front porch, and a large backyard that you're sure to love! Great location close to Parks and Schools. Hurry to show. Fast Possession!
-
2025-12-05$79,900 Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Affordable Handyman Special! 1800+ sq ft, 4 Bed, 2 Bath, 2-story home on nearly . 4 Acre lot. Offering a large open flow kitchen and Living room area. Home also features an enclosed front porch, and a large backyard that you're sure to love! Great location close to Parks and Schools. Hurry to show. Fast Possession!
-
2025-12-05$79,900 Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Affordable Handyman Special! 1800+ sq ft, 4 Bed, 2 Bath, 2-story home on nearly . 4 Acre lot. Offering a large open flow kitchen and Living room area. Home also features an enclosed front porch, and a large backyard that you're sure to love! Great location close to Parks and Schools. Hurry to show. Fast Possession!
-
2025-12-05$79,900 Active
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Affordable Handyman Special! 1800+ sq ft, 4 Bed, 2 Bath, 2-story home on nearly . 4 Acre lot. Offering a large open flow kitchen and Living room area. Home also features an enclosed front porch, and a large backyard that you're sure to love! Great location close to Parks and Schools. Hurry to show. Fast Possession!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,061 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,146 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$85/yr (+$7/mo · 8.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,061
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,248
- − Management
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $4,843
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,162
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,673/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ionia Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2619250
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,130
- Composite
- 26.12/100
- National rank
- #7283
- State rank
- #353 of 540 in MI
Livability — Ionia
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #276
- US rank
- #6795
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ionia, MI
- City population
- 21,940
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,940
Population outlook (Ionia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,958 people
- By 2030
- 63,321 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 61,544 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 58,682 · -8.2%
- By 2075
- 48,909 · -23.5%
- By 2100
- 35,867 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Ionia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.3% · R 65.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.0pp toward R · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -31.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.9 2020: R+30.3 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.8 2008: R+5.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.67%
- Current HPI
- 247.6648
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-30 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-30 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-30 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-05 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-05 Listed $79,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-05 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,061 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…