5201 172nd St · Urbandale, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +2.0/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$544,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your forever home by Destiny Homes in Urbandale's Bentley Ridge. This move in ready Belle plan is a spacious and flexible 1.5 story plan that is designed with family and modern living in mind. With just over 2600 square feet, this home offers 4 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, making it ideal for growing families or those who need extra space. The main level features an open-concept layout that connects the great room, kitchen, and dinette, creating a welcoming space for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen includes a large island, walk-in double sided pantry, and ample cabinetry for storage. A private primary suite is conveniently located on the main floor, complete with a generous walk-in closet and dual vanities in the bathroom. You'll also find a dedicated office near the front entry, a drop zone with built-in bench, and laundry space. Upstairs, the Belle offers three additional bedrooms-each with its own walk-in closet-a full bath with double sinks, and a spacious loft area perfect for a second living room, play space, or homework zone. (Bentley Ridge is located in the Waukee School District) All Destiny homes have a 2 year builder warranty. Striking the perfect balance between quality and efficiency, your path to homeownership starts right now! Ask about $2,000 in closing costs provided by preferred lender. All information obtained from seller and public records.
Key facts
- Dual vanities
- Large island
- Open-concept layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $545k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-24k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (53.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (59.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $223k (59.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 1.8% vs local median 2.4% in Urbandale — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in IA, #69 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
- Waukee Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #14 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Walnut Hills Elementary School (math 91% / reading 81%, grade A+, #26 of 616 statewide, top 4%, 625 students, 9% FRL); Waukee Middle School (math 83% / reading 81%, grade A+, #22 of 246 statewide, top 12%, 1,069 students, 12% FRL); Waukee High School (math 74% / reading 82%, grade A-, #53 of 336 statewide, top 16%, 1,268 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 15% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 381 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,503 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (630 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($176k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
- Dallas County population projected at +74% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($480k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 59% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.41% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -15.88%
- DSCR
- 0.29
- GRM
- 20.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $692,390
- List price
- $544,900
- Delta
- -20.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.81% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-8,927
- Equity at exit
- $302,433
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $87,260
- Equity at exit
- $516,778
Cash invested: $152,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50323
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 381
- Price-to-rent
- 20.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,230 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,858
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$681 /mo · $8,174/yr
- Insurance
- −$227
- HOA
- −$15
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$468
- Net cashflow
- $-2,019
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,642 | -5% $-1,831 | +0% $-2,019 | +5% $-2,207 | +10% $-2,396 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,195 | -5% $-2,107 | +0% $-2,019 | +5% $-1,931 | +10% $-1,843 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,745 | -0.5pp $-1,880 | base $-2,019 | +0.5pp $-2,160 | +1.0pp $-2,304 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $136,225
- Closing costs
- $16,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5440 154th Ct Urbandale, IA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2367 | $2,200 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $15 · $180/yr
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $544,900 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $549,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $549,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $549,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $549,900 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $549,900 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $549,900 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $549,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $549,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $549,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $549,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $549,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $549,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $549,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $549,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $549,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $549,900 Active 205 DOM
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2026-04-17$549,900 Active 1411-char remark
Show marketing remark (1411 chars)
Welcome to your forever home by Destiny Homes in Urbandale's Bentley Ridge. This move in ready Belle plan is a spacious and flexible 1.5 story plan that is designed with family and modern living in mind. With just over 2600 square feet, this home offers 4 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, making it ideal for growing families or those who need extra space. The main level features an open-concept layout that connects the great room, kitchen, and dinette, creating a welcoming space for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen includes a large island, walk-in double sided pantry, and ample cabinetry for storage. A private primary suite is conveniently located on the main floor, complete with a generous walk-in closet and dual vanities in the bathroom. You'll also find a dedicated office near the front entry, a drop zone with built-in bench, and laundry space. Upstairs, the Belle offers three additional bedrooms-each with its own walk-in closet-a full bath with double sinks, and a spacious loft area perfect for a second living room, play space, or homework zone. (Bentley Ridge is located in the Waukee School District) All Destiny homes have a 2 year builder warranty. Striking the perfect balance between quality and efficiency, your path to homeownership starts right now! Ask about $2,000 in closing costs provided by preferred lender. All information obtained from seller and public records.
-
2025-12-11price $549,900
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2025-11-06$558,550 Active
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2025-10-28historical
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2025-06-25price $565,400
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2025-06-13$558,550 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,761
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,523
- − Property taxes
- −$8,174
- − Insurance
- −$2,724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,141
- − Management
- −$2,141
- − HOA
- −$180
- − Depreciation
- −$15,852
- Taxable loss
- −$34,974
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,394
- After-tax cash flow
- $-15,834/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waukee Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930510
- Math proficiency
- 80% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,580
- Composite
- 70.94/100
- National rank
- #245
- State rank
- #14 of 289 in IA
Livability — Urbandale
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #69
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Urbandale, IA
- County
- Polk County · 453,298 people
- City population
- 49,196
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,265
- Household income
- $175,944
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 63.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,904 people
- By 2030
- 127,807 · +14.2%
- By 2040
- 160,576 · +43.5%
- By 2050
- 194,154 · +73.5%
- By 2075
- 271,895 · +143.0%
- By 2100
- 326,525 · +191.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Asian 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.8pp no change · 2008: -5.5pp · 2024: -4.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.8 2020: R+2.0 2016: R+9.6 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.81%
- Current HPI
- 199.789
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-1.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $549,900 Zillow
- 2025-12-11 Price Changed $549,900 DMMLS
- 2025-11-06 Listed $558,550 DMMLS
- 2025-10-28 Listing Removed — DMMLS
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $565,400 DMMLS
- 2025-06-13 Listed $558,550 DMMLS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…