🏗️ New Construction
Walters Plan · Thornwood, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,209,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The Walters immediately charms with a lovely two-story foyer that opens to views of an expansive two-story great room with rear yard access. The well-designed kitchen is enhanced by a large center island with breakfast bar, plenty of counter and cabinet space, and a sizable walk-in pantry. Defining the serene primary bedroom suite is a generous walk-in closet and an elegant primary bath with a dual-sink vanity, a luxe shower with a seat, and a private water closet. Central to a generous loft, secondary bedrooms, one with a roomy closet, the other with a walk-in closet, share a hall bath. Additional highlights include a large flex room, a sizable office off the foyer, easily accessible laund
Key facts
- Primary bath
- Large center island
- Walk in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $1,195,995
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces (2 garage spaces)
- Home design: Walters plan (new construction plan); Active listing
- Exterior features: Living area of 2681
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
- Interior features: Virtual tour available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $1.21M. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $1.21M).
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.7% in Thornwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#389 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Mount Pleasant Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #146 of 590 in NY (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.76%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-74,404
- Equity at exit
- $180,414
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $92,421
- Equity at exit
- $104,618
Cash invested: $338,799 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10595
- Home prices YoY
- -17.7%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,999 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,345
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,512 /mo · $18,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$504
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,730
- Net cashflow
- $1,907
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $302,499
- Closing costs
- $36,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Foxwood Ln Thornwood, NY | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2026 | $12,999 | $6.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 9 events
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2026-06-18days on market $1,209,995 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $1,209,995 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-16pricedays on market $1,209,995 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $1,195,995 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $1,195,995 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $1,195,995 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $1,195,995 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-07$1,195,995 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $155,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$67,779
- − Property taxes
- −$18,150
- − Insurance
- −$6,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$12,479
- − Management
- −$12,479
- − Depreciation
- −$35,200
- Taxable income
- $3,852
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$924
- After-tax cash flow
- $21,962/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
The home requires extensive repairs and updates, including a new roof, exterior siding and paint, and interior updates. These improvements would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of significant wear and tear.
- Major exterior siding — Signs of significant wear and tear.
- Major exterior paint — Signs of significant wear and tear.
Value-add opportunities
- Both New roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and functionality.
- Both New exterior siding and paint — New siding and paint would greatly enhance the home's curb appeal and value.
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating the kitchen and bathrooms would improve the home's functionality and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
- Both Flooring — New flooring would improve the home's overall appearance and functionality.
- Both Interior paint and updates — Updating the interior paint and adding some minor updates would improve the home's overall appearance and functionality.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Signs of significant wear and tear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · Signs of significant wear and tear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior paint · Signs of significant wear and tear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both New roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and functionality. ↑
- Both New exterior siding and paint — New siding and paint would greatly enhance the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating the kitchen and bathrooms would improve the home's functionality and appeal to potential buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Flooring — New flooring would improve the home's overall appearance and functionality. ↑
- Both Interior paint and updates — Updating the interior paint and adding some minor updates would improve the home's overall appearance and functionality. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mount Pleasant Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620160
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $109,054
- Composite
- 59.62/100
- National rank
- #911
- State rank
- #146 of 590 in NY
Livability — Thornwood
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #389
- US rank
- #6724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,180
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 9% Asian 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Armenian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Other Indo-European 9% Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
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Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.54%
- Current HPI
- 290.8983
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…