🏷️ Likely Rental
201 Mount Airy Ave · Waynesboro, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Here's a investment opportunity to add to your portfolio or get started in real estate investments for additional passive income. Both units of the property is currently occupied. The lower unit in a month to month lease, the upper unit is a 1 year lease that started Nov. 1st. 2025. Property sits in a quiet area of Waynesboro but close to downtown activities, many amenities are within walking distance for tenants. Properties do need some cosmetic updates and some repairs.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 319 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/?-bath multifamily listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $567 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.8% in Waynesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#280 in PA, #2,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Waynesboro Area SD (town): math 36% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #283 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 230 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 86% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 319 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $150k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 319 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.10%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $210,977
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -28.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $11,855
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $57,014
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17268
- Active inventory
- 230
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,074 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,881/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$436
- Net cashflow
- $567
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $652 | -5% $609 | +0% $567 | +5% $524 | +10% $482 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $403 | -5% $485 | +0% $567 | +5% $649 | +10% $731 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $642 | -0.5pp $605 | base $567 | +0.5pp $528 | +1.0pp $488 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $2,074 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,037 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,037 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,074 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Philadelphia Ave Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1985 | $2,200 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 8820 Hillside Way Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1536 | $2,100 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 228 Ridge Ave Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 457 Frick Ave Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2193 | $2,200 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 13061-13121 Welty Rd Unit 18B Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 12435 Jackson Ave Unit 12441 Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $1,995 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 12441 Jackson Ave Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $1,995 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $149,900 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 300 DOM
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2026-01-13status Active 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Here's a investment opportunity to add to your portfolio or get started in real estate investments for additional passive income. Both units of the property is currently occupied. The lower unit in a month to month lease, the upper unit is a 1 year lease that started Nov. 1st. 2025. Property sits in a quiet area of Waynesboro but close to downtown activities, many amenities are within walking distance for tenants. Properties do need some cosmetic updates and some repairs.
-
2026-01-09historical 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Here's a investment opportunity to add to your portfolio or get started in real estate investments for additional passive income. Both units of the property is currently occupied. The lower unit in a month to month lease, the upper unit is a 1 year lease that started Nov. 1st. 2025. Property sits in a quiet area of Waynesboro but close to downtown activities, many amenities are within walking distance for tenants. Properties do need some cosmetic updates and some repairs.
-
2025-11-05status Active 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Here's a investment opportunity to add to your portfolio or get started in real estate investments for additional passive income. Both units of the property is currently occupied. The lower unit in a month to month lease, the upper unit is a 1 year lease that started Nov. 1st. 2025. Property sits in a quiet area of Waynesboro but close to downtown activities, many amenities are within walking distance for tenants. Properties do need some cosmetic updates and some repairs.
-
2025-10-20historical Active Under Contract 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Here's a investment opportunity to add to your portfolio or get started in real estate investments for additional passive income. Both units of the property is currently occupied. The lower unit in a month to month lease, the upper unit is a 1 year lease that started Nov. 1st. 2025. Property sits in a quiet area of Waynesboro but close to downtown activities, many amenities are within walking distance for tenants. Properties do need some cosmetic updates and some repairs.
-
2025-07-28price $149,900 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Here's a investment opportunity to add to your portfolio or get started in real estate investments for additional passive income. Both units of the property is currently occupied. The lower unit in a month to month lease, the upper unit is a 1 year lease that started Nov. 1st. 2025. Property sits in a quiet area of Waynesboro but close to downtown activities, many amenities are within walking distance for tenants. Properties do need some cosmetic updates and some repairs.
-
2025-07-15$169,900 Active 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Here's a investment opportunity to add to your portfolio or get started in real estate investments for additional passive income. Both units of the property is currently occupied. The lower unit in a month to month lease, the upper unit is a 1 year lease that started Nov. 1st. 2025. Property sits in a quiet area of Waynesboro but close to downtown activities, many amenities are within walking distance for tenants. Properties do need some cosmetic updates and some repairs.
-
2025-07-09historical $169,900 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Here's a investment opportunity to add to your portfolio or get started in real estate investments for additional passive income. Both units of the property is currently occupied. The lower unit in a month to month lease, the upper unit is a 1 year lease that started Nov. 1st. 2025. Property sits in a quiet area of Waynesboro but close to downtown activities, many amenities are within walking distance for tenants. Properties do need some cosmetic updates and some repairs.
-
2025-01-27$169,900
-
2025-01-27historical
-
2006-02-17historical
-
2005-08-17
-
2003-03-28soldstatus $50,400
-
2003-03-03historical
-
2003-02-12$50,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,881 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,125 · $177/mo
- Expected delta
- +$244/yr (+$20/mo · 12.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,888
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,881
- − Insurance
- −$1,547
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,991
- − Management
- −$1,991
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $4,720
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,133
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,667/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waynesboro Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225110
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,445
- Composite
- 37.79/100
- National rank
- #4342
- State rank
- #283 of 539 in PA
Livability — Waynesboro
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #280
- US rank
- #2482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waynesboro, PA
- County
- Franklin County · 56,916 people
- City population
- 29,362
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,362
- Household income
- $73,161
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 539.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 157,827 people
- By 2030
- 158,933 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 159,060 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 155,132 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 138,545 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 112,321 · -28.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.20%
- Current HPI
- 189.6931
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+197.4% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-13 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-05 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-20 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-15 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-09 Coming Soon $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-27 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-02-17 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-08-17 Listed — MRIS
- 2003-03-28 Sold (MLS) $50,400 MRIS
- 2003-03-03 Delisted — MRIS
- 2003-02-12 Listed $50,400 MRIS
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,881 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…