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206 S Berrien St
B- Composite 69.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

206 S Berrien St · Albion, MI 49224
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,608 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1890 3,964 sqft lot $28/sqft · 69% below area ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 5 bed home needing rehab but would be a great investment opportunity. Walking distance to collage would make a good rental property as well. Make an offer and make it a great home again.

Key facts

  • Rental property
  • 3,964 sq ft lot
  • Built 1890

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYWALKING DISTANCE TO COLLEGERENTAL PROPERTY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Traditional-style single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built in 1890
  • Exterior features: Public water

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms; Michigan-style basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $713 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.3% vs local median 8.3% in Albion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#328 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities D+, crime F.
  • Marshall Public Schools (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #268 of 540 in MI (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Marshall Middle School (math 22% / reading 40%, grade F, #329 of 493 statewide, top 67%, 547 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 5.0% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $43,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.25%
Cap rate
25.30%
Cash-on-cash
67.89%
DSCR
4.02
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$143,978
List price
$45,000
Delta
-68.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
505 Fitch St 0.45mi 4/2.0 1,630 (+1%) 4mo $170,000 $104 73
415 E Cass St 0.09mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,494 (-7%) 9mo $179,000 $120 71
511 Perry St 0.18mi 4/2.0 1,416 (-12%) 10mo $221,000 $156 63
704 E Erie St 0.31mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,680 (+4%) 10mo $165,900 $99 63
212 W Ash St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,564 (-3%) 8mo $47,000 $30 62
410 Elizabeth St 0.23mi 4/2.0 1,803 (+12%) 11mo $225,000 $125 60
105 S Eaton St 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-10%) 8mo $36,000 $25 54
706 N Monroe St 0.40mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,416 (-12%) 3mo $25,000 $18 52
418 Darrow St 0.29mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,800 (+12%) 10mo $180,000 $100 52
614 N Ann St 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,500 (-7%) 4mo $89,000 $59 50
501 W Cass St 0.52mi 4/2.0 1,820 (+13%) 7mo $124,900 $69 48
517 Mechanic St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,424 (-11%) 10mo $70,000 $49 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.4%
Equity multiple
4.03×
Total profit
$38,214
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
71.6%
Equity multiple
8.31×
Total profit
$92,156
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49224

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,462 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$187 /mo · $2,244/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$713

Break-even live

Break-even rent $559
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $875 -5% $859 +0% $713 +5% $700 +10% $687
Rent -10% $597 -5% $655 +0% $713 +5% $771 +10% $828
Rate -1.0pp $736 -0.5pp $724 base $713 +0.5pp $701 +1.0pp $689

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $45,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $45,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 32 DOM
    Show marketing remark (195 chars)

    Spacious 5 bed home needing rehab but would be a great investment opportunity. Walking distance to collage would make a good rental property as well. Make an offer and make it a great home again.

  6. 2026-06-15
    price $45,000 Active 31 DOM
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    Spacious 5 bed home needing rehab but would be a great investment opportunity. Walking distance to collage would make a good rental property as well. Make an offer and make it a great home again.

  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $52,000 Active 31 DOM
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    Spacious 5 bed home needing rehab but would be a great investment opportunity. Walking distance to collage would make a good rental property as well. Make an offer and make it a great home again.

  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $52,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $52,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $52,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $52,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $52,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $52,000 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $52,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $52,000 Active 19 DOM
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    Spacious 5 bed home needing rehab but would be a great investment opportunity. Walking distance to collage would make a good rental property as well. Make an offer and make it a great home again.

  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 18 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 17 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 16 DOM
  19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 15 DOM
  20. 2026-05-13
    listed $59,900 Active 196-char remark
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    Spacious 5 bed home needing rehab but would be a great investment opportunity. Walking distance to collage would make a good rental property as well. Make an offer and make it a great home again.

  21. 2026-05-13
    listed $59,900 Active 196-char remark
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    Spacious 5 bed home needing rehab but would be a great investment opportunity. Walking distance to collage would make a good rental property as well. Make an offer and make it a great home again.

  22. 2026-05-13
    listed $59,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    Spacious 5 bed home needing rehab but would be a great investment opportunity. Walking distance to collage would make a good rental property as well. Make an offer and make it a great home again.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,244 · $187/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,244 · $187/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,539
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$2,244
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,403
− Management
−$1,403
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$8,433
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,024
After-tax cash flow
$6,530/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall Public Schools
NCES district ID
2622970
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,020
Composite
30.93/100
National rank
#6112
State rank
#268 of 540 in MI

Livability — Albion

Score
70/100
State rank
#328
US rank
#8096

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albion, MI
Population (ZIP)
13,309

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,157 people
By 2030
126,691 · -2.7%
By 2040
118,517 · -8.9%
By 2050
109,855 · -15.6%
By 2075
90,486 · -30.5%
By 2100
70,766 · -45.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.85%
Current HPI
205.078
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $45,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $52,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $52,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $52,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $59,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+27.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,244 · +175.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…