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2211 Rocky Branch Rd
C Composite 56.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.1/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

2211 Rocky Branch Rd · Dothan, AL 36303
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,050 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1971 10,876 sqft lot $109/sqft · 38% above area Est $109k · 5% over ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect for first-time buyers or savvy investors, this charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers comfort, functionality, and extra storage space. An enclosed rear addition—while not included in the recorded square footage—provides a spacious laundry area and abundant storage, making everyday living even more convenient. Recent updates include improvements to the kitchen and new flooring in several rooms, giving the home a fresh and inviting feel. Whether you're looking for an affordable place to call home or a smart addition to your rental portfolio, this property offers excellent potential. Don’t miss your chance to see this one before it’s gone!

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Built 1971
  • Listed 34 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residential; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: Storage; Aluminum-framed windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located outside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Morris Slingluff Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #508 of 627 statewide, top 84%, 290 students, 94% FRL); Dothan Preparatory Academy (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #163 of 257 statewide, top 64%, 1,133 students, 78% FRL); Dothan High School (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #163 of 305 statewide, top 54%, 1,454 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 59% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 233 active listings in the ZIP; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,453 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.17%
Cash-on-cash
10.26%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$109,053
List price
$114,900
Delta
5.36%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
317 Young America Dr 0.10mi 3/0.5 1,050 (0%) 0mo $52,250 $50 91
322 NW Young America Dr 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,162 (+11%) 21mo $127,000 $109 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,074
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$21,714
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36303

Active inventory
233
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,353 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,724/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$275

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,005
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $355 -5% $315 +0% $275 +5% $235 +10% $196
Rent -10% $168 -5% $222 +0% $275 +5% $329 +10% $382
Rate -1.0pp $333 -0.5pp $304 base $275 +0.5pp $245 +1.0pp $215

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $114,900 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,900 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $114,900 Active 33 DOM
    Show marketing remark (678 chars)

    Perfect for first-time buyers or savvy investors, this charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers comfort, functionality, and extra storage space. An enclosed rear addition—while not included in the recorded square footage—provides a spacious laundry area and abundant storage, making everyday living even more convenient. Recent updates include improvements to the kitchen and new flooring in several rooms, giving the home a fresh and inviting feel. Whether you're looking for an affordable place to call home or a smart addition to your rental portfolio, this property offers excellent potential. Don’t miss your chance to see this one before it’s gone!

  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 33 DOM
    Show marketing remark (678 chars)

    Perfect for first-time buyers or savvy investors, this charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers comfort, functionality, and extra storage space. An enclosed rear addition—while not included in the recorded square footage—provides a spacious laundry area and abundant storage, making everyday living even more convenient. Recent updates include improvements to the kitchen and new flooring in several rooms, giving the home a fresh and inviting feel. Whether you're looking for an affordable place to call home or a smart addition to your rental portfolio, this property offers excellent potential. Don’t miss your chance to see this one before it’s gone!

  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 25 DOM
    Show marketing remark (678 chars)

    Perfect for first-time buyers or savvy investors, this charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers comfort, functionality, and extra storage space. An enclosed rear addition—while not included in the recorded square footage—provides a spacious laundry area and abundant storage, making everyday living even more convenient. Recent updates include improvements to the kitchen and new flooring in several rooms, giving the home a fresh and inviting feel. Whether you're looking for an affordable place to call home or a smart addition to your rental portfolio, this property offers excellent potential. Don’t miss your chance to see this one before it’s gone!

  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $119,900 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $132,900 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    price $132,900 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $137,900 Active 18 DOM
    Show marketing remark (678 chars)

    Perfect for first-time buyers or savvy investors, this charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers comfort, functionality, and extra storage space. An enclosed rear addition—while not included in the recorded square footage—provides a spacious laundry area and abundant storage, making everyday living even more convenient. Recent updates include improvements to the kitchen and new flooring in several rooms, giving the home a fresh and inviting feel. Whether you're looking for an affordable place to call home or a smart addition to your rental portfolio, this property offers excellent potential. Don’t miss your chance to see this one before it’s gone!

  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $137,900 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $137,900 Active 16 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $137,900 Active 15 DOM
  19. 2026-05-15
    listed $139,900 Active 678-char remark
    Show marketing remark (678 chars)

    Perfect for first-time buyers or savvy investors, this charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers comfort, functionality, and extra storage space. An enclosed rear addition—while not included in the recorded square footage—provides a spacious laundry area and abundant storage, making everyday living even more convenient. Recent updates include improvements to the kitchen and new flooring in several rooms, giving the home a fresh and inviting feel. Whether you're looking for an affordable place to call home or a smart addition to your rental portfolio, this property offers excellent potential. Don’t miss your chance to see this one before it’s gone!

  20. 2026-05-15
    listed $139,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (678 chars)

    Perfect for first-time buyers or savvy investors, this charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers comfort, functionality, and extra storage space. An enclosed rear addition—while not included in the recorded square footage—provides a spacious laundry area and abundant storage, making everyday living even more convenient. Recent updates include improvements to the kitchen and new flooring in several rooms, giving the home a fresh and inviting feel. Whether you're looking for an affordable place to call home or a smart addition to your rental portfolio, this property offers excellent potential. Don’t miss your chance to see this one before it’s gone!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,241
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$1,724
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,299
− Management
−$1,299
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$1,566
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$376
After-tax cash flow
$2,926/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dothan City
NCES district ID
0101230
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,279
Composite
24.56/100
National rank
#7640
State rank
#73 of 129 in AL

Livability — Dothan

Score
64/100
State rank
#146
US rank
#13662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dothan, AL
County
Houston County · 47,783 people
City population
47,783
Metro
Dothan, AL
Population (ZIP)
30,173
Household income
$54,147
Rent vs Own
41.3% rent · 58.7% own
Severe rent burden
1156.0

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,280 people
By 2030
112,668 · +2.2%
By 2040
116,149 · +5.3%
By 2050
117,805 · +6.8%
By 2075
118,577 · +7.5%
By 2100
110,940 · +0.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 41% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.35%
Current HPI
182.6482
Rent YoY
Metro
Dothan, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $114,900 SAMLS
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $114,900 WBR
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $117,900 WBR
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $119,900 SAMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $119,900 WBR
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $132,900 SAMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $132,900 WBR
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $137,900 SAMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $137,900 WBR
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $139,900 WBR
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $139,900 SAMLS

Property tax history

+22.7%/yr

Latest (2021): $142 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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