6135 Sidney St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1-story, 2bed, 1bath fully fenced home with carport in Rossonian Court. May be sold with others, Ask about other homes in The White Portfolio. with MLS# 1990690, 24409647, 26696173, 49038010, 59916271, 49999437, 7468649, 74766011, 75960757, 8783915
Key facts
- 5,201 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1955
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $650 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 467 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,964/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 2532% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.23%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $343,613
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -66.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6625 Goforth St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,489 (-2%) | 4mo | $142,000 | $95 | 69 |
| 6326 Calhoun Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,453 (-4%) | 7mo | $299,000 | $206 | 58 |
| 3630 Alsace St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,524 (+0%) | 6mo | $289,999 | $190 | 56 |
| 4826 Culmore Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,501 (-1%) | 3mo | $279,000 | $186 | 53 |
| 6832 Goforth St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,392 (-8%) | 5mo | $98,000 | $70 | 48 |
| 3719 Zephyr St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,415 (-7%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $141 | 48 |
| 6614 Sherwood Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,701 (+12%) | 5mo | $149,900 | $88 | 46 |
| 6906 England St | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,600 (+5%) | 4mo | $309,900 | $194 | 45 |
| 6908 England St | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,600 (+5%) | 5mo | $309,900 | $194 | 44 |
| 6419 Madrid St | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,693 (+11%) | 3mo | $329,900 | $195 | 41 |
| 3618 Zephyr St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,684 (+11%) | 3mo | $299,900 | $178 | 40 |
| 3607 Zephyr St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,683 (+11%) | 4mo | $299,900 | $178 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $21,240
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $65,634
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77021
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 467
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,964 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$251 /mo · $3,010/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $650
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4515 Dewberry St Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $664 | $0.47 | 20d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5813 England St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1473 | $2,195 | $1.49 | 4d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3731 Alsace St Unit 1560804P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2002 | $3,387 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6731 New York St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2211 | $2,100 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6532 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 18d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 6528 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 6809 Conley St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1921 | $2,600 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3644 Griggs Rd Unit 1047940P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1399 | $2,161 | $1.54 | 2d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4705 Idaho St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1664 | $2,500 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7032 Conley St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $2,850 | $2.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 2165 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,402 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Apt 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,410 | $1.07 | 7d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3617 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,435 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3597 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,434 | $1.08 | 11d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,410 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4943 Culmore Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $651 | $0.38 | 5d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5116 Griggs Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,316 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6334 Culberson St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1822 | $2,311 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6336 Culberson St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1822 | $2,361 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4907 Marietta Ln Unit 1494902P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $3,278 | $2.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5154 Griggs Rd Unit CAVE Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,420 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6735 Peerless St Unit CUNIT A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1732 | $2,649 | $1.53 | 17d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6737 Peerless St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1732 | $2,649 | $1.53 | 17d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 7321 Conley St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1869 | $2,025 | $1.08 | 20d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7321 Conley St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $2,025 | $1.35 | 20d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3311 Daphne St Unit 1255369P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1797 | $6,544 | $3.64 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3311 Daphne St Unit 3311 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1800 | $7,500 | $4.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3615 Dreyfus St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2011 | $2,800 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3846 Seabrook St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1833 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5101 Martin Luther King Blvd Unit MO54 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,210 | $0.92 | 12d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3732 Seabrook St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1727 | $2,350 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3655 Seabrook St Unit 6 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,000 | $0.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2187 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,182 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,190 | $0.90 | 7d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 5571 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,214 | $0.92 | 11d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,190 | $0.90 | 5d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,210 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,225 | $0.93 | 11d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,214 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5317 Chennault Rd Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1608 | $1,999 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-03-24price $115,000 248-char remark
Show marketing remark (248 chars)
1-story, 2bed, 1bath fully fenced home with carport in Rossonian Court. May be sold with others, Ask about other homes in The White Portfolio. with MLS# 1990690, 24409647, 26696173, 49038010, 59916271, 49999437, 7468649, 74766011, 75960757, 8783915
-
2025-11-15$130,000 Active 248-char remark
Show marketing remark (248 chars)
1-story, 2bed, 1bath fully fenced home with carport in Rossonian Court. May be sold with others, Ask about other homes in The White Portfolio. with MLS# 1990690, 24409647, 26696173, 49038010, 59916271, 49999437, 7468649, 74766011, 75960757, 8783915
-
2024-06-03historical
-
2024-05-16price $159,994
-
2024-04-17price $159,995
-
2024-04-03price $169,995
-
2024-04-01price $189,995
-
2024-03-21price $195,995
-
2024-03-06$199,995 Active
-
2016-06-22soldstatus
-
2014-08-05soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,010 · $251/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,010 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,574
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$3,010
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,886
- − Management
- −$1,886
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $6,430
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,543
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,258/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,153
- Household income
- $45,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2532.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% White 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.22%
- Current HPI
- 230.2869
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.17%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-42.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $115,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-15 Listed $130,000 HARMLS
- 2024-06-03 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-05-16 Price Changed $159,994 HARMLS
- 2024-04-17 Price Changed $159,995 HARMLS
- 2024-04-03 Price Changed $169,995 HARMLS
- 2024-04-01 Price Changed $189,995 HARMLS
- 2024-03-21 Price Changed $195,995 HARMLS
- 2024-03-06 Listed $199,995 HARMLS
- 2016-06-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-08-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,010 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…