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6135 Sidney St
B- Composite 69.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

6135 Sidney St · Houston, TX 77021
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,520 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 214 Days on market
Built 1955 5,201 sqft lot $76/sqft · 67% below area ↓ 42% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1-story, 2bed, 1bath fully fenced home with carport in Rossonian Court. May be sold with others, Ask about other homes in The White Portfolio. with MLS# 1990690, 24409647, 26696173, 49038010, 59916271, 49999437, 7468649, 74766011, 75960757, 8783915

Key facts

  • 5,201 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1955

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $650 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 467 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,964/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 2532% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.71%
Cap rate
13.08%
Cash-on-cash
24.23%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$343,613
List price
$115,000
Delta
-66.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6625 Goforth St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,489 (-2%) 4mo $142,000 $95 69
6326 Calhoun Rd 0.39mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,453 (-4%) 7mo $299,000 $206 58
3630 Alsace St 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,524 (+0%) 6mo $289,999 $190 56
4826 Culmore Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,501 (-1%) 3mo $279,000 $186 53
6832 Goforth St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,392 (-8%) 5mo $98,000 $70 48
3719 Zephyr St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,415 (-7%) 6mo $200,000 $141 48
6614 Sherwood Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,701 (+12%) 5mo $149,900 $88 46
6906 England St 0.68mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,600 (+5%) 4mo $309,900 $194 45
6908 England St 0.69mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,600 (+5%) 5mo $309,900 $194 44
6419 Madrid St 0.57mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,693 (+11%) 3mo $329,900 $195 41
3618 Zephyr St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,684 (+11%) 3mo $299,900 $178 40
3607 Zephyr St 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,683 (+11%) 4mo $299,900 $178 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$21,240
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$65,634
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77021

Home prices YoY
-23.6%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
467
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,964 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$251 /mo · $3,010/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$413
Net cashflow
$650

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,142
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4515 Dewberry St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 1400 $664 $0.47 20d 1 0.26mi
5813 England St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1473 $2,195 $1.49 4d 1 0.29mi
3731 Alsace St Unit 1560804P Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 2002 $3,387 $1.69 3d 1 0.56mi
6731 New York St Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 2211 $2,100 $0.95 43d 1 0.59mi
6532 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1484 $2,200 $1.48 18d 1 0.61mi
6528 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1484 $2,200 $1.48 43d 1 0.61mi
6809 Conley St Houston, TX 3.0 4.0 1921 $2,600 $1.35 43d 1 0.62mi
3644 Griggs Rd Unit 1047940P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1399 $2,161 $1.54 2d 1 0.74mi
4705 Idaho St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1664 $2,500 $1.50 17d 1 0.75mi
7032 Conley St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1220 $2,850 $2.34 43d 1 0.82mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 2165 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,402 $1.06 3d 1 0.85mi
3560 Dixie Dr Apt 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,410 $1.07 7d 1 0.85mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3617 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,435 $1.09 43d 1 0.85mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3597 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,434 $1.08 11d 1 0.85mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,410 $1.07 5d 1 0.85mi
4943 Culmore Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 1700 $651 $0.38 5d 1 0.90mi
5116 Griggs Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1131 $1,316 $1.16 43d 1 0.94mi
6334 Culberson St Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 1822 $2,311 $1.27 2d 1 0.94mi
6336 Culberson St Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 1822 $2,361 $1.30 5d 1 0.94mi
4907 Marietta Ln Unit 1494902P Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1593 $3,278 $2.06 14d 1 0.98mi
5154 Griggs Rd Unit CAVE Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,420 $1.07 3d 1 0.98mi
6735 Peerless St Unit CUNIT A Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 1732 $2,649 $1.53 17d 1 1.11mi
6737 Peerless St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 1732 $2,649 $1.53 17d 1 1.11mi
7321 Conley St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1869 $2,025 $1.08 20d 1 1.14mi
7321 Conley St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1501 $2,025 $1.35 20d 1 1.14mi
3311 Daphne St Unit 1255369P Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 1797 $6,544 $3.64 2d 1 1.16mi
3311 Daphne St Unit 3311 Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 1800 $7,500 $4.17 43d 1 1.17mi
3615 Dreyfus St Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 2011 $2,800 $1.39 43d 1 1.17mi
3846 Seabrook St Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 1833 $2,300 $1.25 43d 1 1.22mi
5101 Martin Luther King Blvd Unit MO54 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,210 $0.92 12d 1 1.23mi
3732 Seabrook St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1727 $2,350 $1.36 24d 1 1.27mi
3655 Seabrook St Unit 6 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1600 $1,000 $0.62 43d 1 1.27mi
5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2187 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,182 $0.89 3d 1 1.32mi
5514 Griggs Rd Unit 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,190 $0.90 7d 1 1.32mi
5514 Griggs Rd Unit 5571 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,214 $0.92 11d 1 1.32mi
5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,190 $0.90 5d 1 1.32mi
5514 Griggs Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,210 $0.92 43d 1 1.33mi
5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,225 $0.93 11d 1 1.33mi
5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,214 $0.92 3d 1 1.33mi
5317 Chennault Rd Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1608 $1,999 $1.24 43d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 214 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 213 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 212 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 211 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 209 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $115,000 Active 205 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 204 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 203 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 200 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 197 DOM
  11. 2026-03-24
    price $115,000 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    1-story, 2bed, 1bath fully fenced home with carport in Rossonian Court. May be sold with others, Ask about other homes in The White Portfolio. with MLS# 1990690, 24409647, 26696173, 49038010, 59916271, 49999437, 7468649, 74766011, 75960757, 8783915

  12. 2025-11-15
    listed $130,000 Active 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    1-story, 2bed, 1bath fully fenced home with carport in Rossonian Court. May be sold with others, Ask about other homes in The White Portfolio. with MLS# 1990690, 24409647, 26696173, 49038010, 59916271, 49999437, 7468649, 74766011, 75960757, 8783915

  13. 2024-06-03
    historical
  14. 2024-05-16
    price $159,994
  15. 2024-04-17
    price $159,995
  16. 2024-04-03
    price $169,995
  17. 2024-04-01
    price $189,995
  18. 2024-03-21
    price $195,995
  19. 2024-03-06
    listed $199,995 Active
  20. 2016-06-22
    soldstatus
  21. 2014-08-05
    soldstatus
  22. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,010 · $251/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,010 · $251/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,574
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$3,010
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,886
− Management
−$1,886
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$6,430
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,543
After-tax cash flow
$6,258/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
26,153
Household income
$45,574
Rent vs Own
58.2% rent · 41.8% own
Severe rent burden
2532.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% White 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.22%
Current HPI
230.2869
Rent YoY
▲ 2.17%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-42.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $115,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-15 Listed $130,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-06-03 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-05-16 Price Changed $159,994 HARMLS
  • 2024-04-17 Price Changed $159,995 HARMLS
  • 2024-04-03 Price Changed $169,995 HARMLS
  • 2024-04-01 Price Changed $189,995 HARMLS
  • 2024-03-21 Price Changed $195,995 HARMLS
  • 2024-03-06 Listed $199,995 HARMLS
  • 2016-06-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-08-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,010 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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