201 Fry St · Lake Charles, LA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$20,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Opportunity! This home has been gutted down to the studs and presents a flip or investment opportunity. The roof was replaced in 2021.
Key facts
- Roof replaced
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1970
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family house; Single story
- Exterior features: Back yard; City lot; Lot approximately 0.12 acres (54 x 96)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $749 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $20k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 55.2% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 364 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 55.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 174.67%
- DSCR
- 8.77
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $87,672
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 422 Bank St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-15%) | 2mo | $54,000 | $56 | 48 |
| 424 Bank St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-11%) | 13mo | $78,000 | $78 | 44 |
| 427 Ford St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,033 (-8%) | 18mo | $85,000 | $82 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.66×
- Total profit
- $48,507
- Equity at exit
- $2,982
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 22.68×
- Total profit
- $121,426
- Equity at exit
- $1,729
Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70601
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 364
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,212 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$105
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $354/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $749
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $760 | -5% $754 | +0% $749 | +5% $743 | +10% $737 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $653 | -5% $701 | +0% $749 | +5% $797 | +10% $844 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $759 | -0.5pp $754 | base $749 | +0.5pp $743 | +1.0pp $738 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,000
- Closing costs
- $600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1735 Saint John St Lake Charles, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 628 Division St Lake Charles, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1007 | $1,250 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 333 Mill St Lake Charles, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 758 | $750 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1505 7th St Lake Charles, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $900 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2701 Cline St Unit C Lake Charles, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $700 | $0.81 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1915 Legion St Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $950 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $20,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $20,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $20,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $20,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $20,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $20,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $20,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $20,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $20,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $20,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $20,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $20,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $20,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $20,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-05-01$20,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $354 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $354 · $29/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,549
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,120
- − Property taxes
- −$354
- − Insurance
- −$897
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,164
- − Management
- −$1,164
- − Depreciation
- −$582
- Taxable income
- $9,268
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,224
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,760/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lake Charles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #9820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Charles, LA
- County
- Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
- City population
- 133,538
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,872
- Household income
- $49,992
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1304.0
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 31% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.32%
- Current HPI
- 55.6127
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.18%
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — SWLAR
- 2026-05-01 Listed $20,000 SWLAR
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $354 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…