CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
8204 Willowbrook Cir Unit C
D Composite 41.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

8204 Willowbrook Cir Unit C · Huntsville, AL 35802
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,830 sqft · Condo · 158 Days on market
Good condition $96/sqft · 16% below area Est $208k · 16% under $387/mo HOA · 23% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this very spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath, freshly painted upstairs condo, ideally located in a sought-after neighborhood known for its convenience and appeal.

Key facts

  • $387 HOA
  • Listed 158 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-273 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $136k (22.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (4.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Weatherly Heights Elementary School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #171 of 627 statewide, top 31%, 481 students, 42% FRL); Virgil Grissom High School (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #39 of 305 statewide, top 13%, 1,974 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 228 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,551 (22.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
4.42%
Cash-on-cash
-6.68%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$208,006
List price
$175,000
Delta
-15.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.0%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-43,617
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
-0.05×
Total profit
$-51,551
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35802

Home prices YoY
-30.7%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
228
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,676 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$387
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$-273

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,021
Max offer price $135,551
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-152 -5% $-212 +0% $-273 +5% $-333 +10% $-394
Rent -10% $-405 -5% $-339 +0% $-273 +5% $-206 +10% $-140
Rate -1.0pp $-184 -0.5pp $-228 base $-273 +0.5pp $-318 +1.0pp $-364

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1225 Willowbrook Dr SE Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1132 $1,238 $1.09 25d 21 0.13mi
9001 Mahogany Row SE Unit B Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 1250 $2,800 $2.24 46d 1 0.78mi
9003 Mahogany Row SE Unit C Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 1250 $2,800 $2.24 46d 1 0.80mi
1552 Four Mile Post Rd SE Huntsville, AL 2.0 2.5 1450 $1,650 $1.14 25d 1 0.86mi
1536 Four Mile Post Rd SE Huntsville, AL 2.0 2.5 1500 $1,695 $1.13 46d 1 0.89mi
9016 Mahogany Row SE Unit D Huntsville, AL 2.0 2.0 1300 $1,195 $0.92 16d 1 0.89mi
9018 Mahogany Row SE Unit B Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1332 $1,250 $0.94 46d 1 0.90mi
9802 Dolphin Dr SE Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.0 2160 $2,175 $1.01 46d 1 0.94mi
8711 Edgehill Dr SE Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 2263 $2,250 $0.99 46d 1 0.97mi
1 Legacy Farm Dr Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1120 $2,084 $1.86 16d 42 1.09mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$387 · $4,644/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $175,000 Active 158 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 152 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 150 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 147 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 146 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 145 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 144 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 140 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 139 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 138 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 137 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 136 DOM
  16. 2026-02-24
    price $175,000 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    Welcome to this very spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath, freshly painted upstairs condo, ideally located in a sought-after neighborhood known for its convenience and appeal.

  17. 2026-01-14
    listed $180,000 Active 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    Welcome to this very spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath, freshly painted upstairs condo, ideally located in a sought-after neighborhood known for its convenience and appeal.

  18. 2025-09-21
    listed $1,400
  19. 2025-09-16
    historical $1,400
  20. 2025-07-30
    listed $1,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,108
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,609
− Management
−$1,609
− HOA
−$4,644
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$6,147
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,475
After-tax cash flow
$-1,796/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained, freshly painted multi-family unit is in good condition and ready for a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping improvements to maximize its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Kitchen updates — Fresh updates can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Bathroom updates — Modernizing bathrooms can significantly boost both resale and rental value.
  • Both HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more tenants and buyers.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Kitchen updates — Fresh updates can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Bathroom updates — Modernizing bathrooms can significantly boost both resale and rental value.
  • Both HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more tenants and buyers.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntsville City
NCES district ID
0101800
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$48,264
Composite
28.84/100
National rank
#6647
State rank
#48 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huntsville

Score
82/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1082

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntsville, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
220,435
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,858
Household income
$76,324
Rent vs Own
46.0% rent · 54.0% own
Severe rent burden
1122.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 14% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -169.74%
Current HPI
382.3827
Rent YoY
▲ 4.08%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+12400.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $175,000 VMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $180,000 VMLS
  • 2025-09-21 Listed for Rent $1,400 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-09-16 Rental Removed $1,400 VMLS
  • 2025-07-30 Listed for Rent $1,400 VMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…