8204 Willowbrook Cir Unit C · Huntsville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this very spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath, freshly painted upstairs condo, ideally located in a sought-after neighborhood known for its convenience and appeal.
Key facts
- $387 HOA
- Listed 158 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-273 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $136k (22.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (4.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Weatherly Heights Elementary School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #171 of 627 statewide, top 31%, 481 students, 42% FRL); Virgil Grissom High School (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #39 of 305 statewide, top 13%, 1,974 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 228 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.68%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $208,006
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -15.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-43,617
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.05×
- Total profit
- $-51,551
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35802
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 228
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,676 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$387
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $-273
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-152 | -5% $-212 | +0% $-273 | +5% $-333 | +10% $-394 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-405 | -5% $-339 | +0% $-273 | +5% $-206 | +10% $-140 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-184 | -0.5pp $-228 | base $-273 | +0.5pp $-318 | +1.0pp $-364 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1225 Willowbrook Dr SE Huntsville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1132 | $1,238 | $1.09 | 25d | 21 | 0.13mi |
| 9001 Mahogany Row SE Unit B Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 46d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9003 Mahogany Row SE Unit C Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 46d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1552 Four Mile Post Rd SE Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1536 Four Mile Post Rd SE Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,695 | $1.13 | 46d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9016 Mahogany Row SE Unit D Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,195 | $0.92 | 16d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9018 Mahogany Row SE Unit B Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 46d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 9802 Dolphin Dr SE Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2160 | $2,175 | $1.01 | 46d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8711 Edgehill Dr SE Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2263 | $2,250 | $0.99 | 46d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1 Legacy Farm Dr Huntsville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1120 | $2,084 | $1.86 | 16d | 42 | 1.09mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $387 · $4,644/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $175,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-02-24price $175,000 165-char remark
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
Welcome to this very spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath, freshly painted upstairs condo, ideally located in a sought-after neighborhood known for its convenience and appeal.
-
2026-01-14$180,000 Active 165-char remark
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
Welcome to this very spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath, freshly painted upstairs condo, ideally located in a sought-after neighborhood known for its convenience and appeal.
-
2025-09-21$1,400
-
2025-09-16historical $1,400
-
2025-07-30$1,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,609
- − Management
- −$1,609
- − HOA
- −$4,644
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$6,147
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,475
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,796/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, freshly painted multi-family unit is in good condition and ready for a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping improvements to maximize its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Kitchen updates — Fresh updates can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both Bathroom updates — Modernizing bathrooms can significantly boost both resale and rental value.
- Both HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more tenants and buyers.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Kitchen updates — Fresh updates can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Bathroom updates — Modernizing bathrooms can significantly boost both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more tenants and buyers. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huntsville City
- NCES district ID
- 0101800
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,264
- Composite
- 28.84/100
- National rank
- #6647
- State rank
- #48 of 129 in AL
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntsville, AL
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 220,435
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,858
- Household income
- $76,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1122.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 14% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -169.74%
- Current HPI
- 382.3827
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.08%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+12400.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $175,000 VMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $180,000 VMLS
- 2025-09-21 Listed for Rent $1,400 BUILDIUM
- 2025-09-16 Rental Removed $1,400 VMLS
- 2025-07-30 Listed for Rent $1,400 VMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…