5213 5th Ave · Koppel, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover easy living in this cute 2-bedroom, 2-bath, 2 kitchen home featuring a welcoming front porch and a semi-enclosed rear patio ideal for year-round enjoyment. Possible 3rd bedroom but more likely a home office or den. Lower level offers family room with wood burning stove, kitchen and full bathroom. The fully fenced backyard offers a safe and private outdoor space, while convenient alley parking and detached garage adds everyday practicality. Situated in a prime location with quick access to Ellwood City, Chippewa, major highways—including the PA Turnpike—restaurants, and shopping, this home is perfect for anyone seeking comfort and convenience.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Alley parking
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($940 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#463 in PA, #4,234 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
- Big Beaver Falls Area SD (suburban): math 16% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #467 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $439 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $60k implies a 380% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.19%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $102,149
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -41.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4407 W 4th Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.5 | 960 (+5%) | 23mo | $145,000 | $151 | 62 |
| 3338 3rd Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+14%) | 6mo | $77,700 | $75 | 58 |
| 3705 3rd Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 956 (+4%) | 10mo | $119,900 | $125 | 57 |
| 2413 2nd Ave | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,006 (+10%) | 23mo | $120,000 | $119 | 48 |
| 2411 2nd Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 984 (+7%) | 23mo | $95,000 | $97 | 48 |
| 113 Pine Valley Rd | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,040 (+14%) | 20mo | $152,271 | $146 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $12,495
- Equity at exit
- $15,261
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $37,661
- Equity at exit
- $16,698
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16136
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $940 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,777/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $255
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $60,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $60,000 671-char remark
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
Discover easy living in this cute 2-bedroom, 2-bath, 2 kitchen home featuring a welcoming front porch and a semi-enclosed rear patio ideal for year-round enjoyment. Possible 3rd bedroom but more likely a home office or den. Lower level offers family room with wood burning stove, kitchen and full bathroom. The fully fenced backyard offers a safe and private outdoor space, while convenient alley parking and detached garage adds everyday practicality. Situated in a prime location with quick access to Ellwood City, Chippewa, major highways—including the PA Turnpike—restaurants, and shopping, this home is perfect for anyone seeking comfort and convenience.
-
2026-02-05price $65,000 671-char remark
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
Discover easy living in this cute 2-bedroom, 2-bath, 2 kitchen home featuring a welcoming front porch and a semi-enclosed rear patio ideal for year-round enjoyment. Possible 3rd bedroom but more likely a home office or den. Lower level offers family room with wood burning stove, kitchen and full bathroom. The fully fenced backyard offers a safe and private outdoor space, while convenient alley parking and detached garage adds everyday practicality. Situated in a prime location with quick access to Ellwood City, Chippewa, major highways—including the PA Turnpike—restaurants, and shopping, this home is perfect for anyone seeking comfort and convenience.
-
2026-01-06price $70,000 671-char remark
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
Discover easy living in this cute 2-bedroom, 2-bath, 2 kitchen home featuring a welcoming front porch and a semi-enclosed rear patio ideal for year-round enjoyment. Possible 3rd bedroom but more likely a home office or den. Lower level offers family room with wood burning stove, kitchen and full bathroom. The fully fenced backyard offers a safe and private outdoor space, while convenient alley parking and detached garage adds everyday practicality. Situated in a prime location with quick access to Ellwood City, Chippewa, major highways—including the PA Turnpike—restaurants, and shopping, this home is perfect for anyone seeking comfort and convenience.
-
2025-12-02$75,000 Active 671-char remark
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
Discover easy living in this cute 2-bedroom, 2-bath, 2 kitchen home featuring a welcoming front porch and a semi-enclosed rear patio ideal for year-round enjoyment. Possible 3rd bedroom but more likely a home office or den. Lower level offers family room with wood burning stove, kitchen and full bathroom. The fully fenced backyard offers a safe and private outdoor space, while convenient alley parking and detached garage adds everyday practicality. Situated in a prime location with quick access to Ellwood City, Chippewa, major highways—including the PA Turnpike—restaurants, and shopping, this home is perfect for anyone seeking comfort and convenience.
-
1967-04-01soldstatus $12,500
-
1961-08-01soldstatus $11,570
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,777 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,777 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,278
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$1,777
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$902
- − Management
- −$902
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $2,290
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$550
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,507/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Big Beaver Falls Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203630
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,686
- Composite
- 21.85/100
- National rank
- #8241
- State rank
- #467 of 539 in PA
Livability — Koppel
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #463
- US rank
- #4234
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Koppel, PA
- City population
- 797
- Population (ZIP)
- 797
Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,976 people
- By 2030
- 161,449 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 151,752 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 141,155 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 118,142 · -28.4%
- By 2100
- 91,740 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Scottish 2% Serbian 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaver
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.73%
- Current HPI
- 182.0225
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+418.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $60,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $65,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $70,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-12-02 Listed $75,000 West Penn MLS
- 1967-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
- 1961-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,570 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,777 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…