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19649 69th Ave #2
C+ Composite 60.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.6/30.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

19649 69th Ave #2 · New York, NY 11365
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 650 sqft · Condo · 64 Days on market
Built 1952

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Location, Location, Heart Of Fresh Meadows, Beautiful Garden Styled Coop., Top Floor, Garden View, Excellent Condition, Near Buses, Supermarket, Schools, Seeing Is Believing., Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr

Key facts

  • Ev charging station
  • Near supermarkets
  • Near restaurants

Tags

UPGRADED KITCHENEV CHARGING STATIONNEAR PARKSNEAR SCHOOLNEAR SUPERMARKETSNEAR RESTAURANTS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage; On-street parking; 1 garage space; Parking fee required
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Trash collection (public); Water connected
  • Home design: Stock cooperative; Two total stories; Entry on level 2
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Original details; Common basement; Basement present; Total of 4 rooms; Two-story building (unit on entry level 2)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $135k; list at $215k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $202,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.57%
Cash-on-cash
8.12%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-4,992
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$59,290
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11365

Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,396 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax est. 1.5%
$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
Insurance
$90
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$503
Net cashflow
$341

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,965
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $489 -5% $415 +0% $341 +5% $266 +10% $192
Rent -10% $151 -5% $246 +0% $341 +5% $435 +10% $530
Rate -1.0pp $449 -0.5pp $395 base $341 +0.5pp $285 +1.0pp $228

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5839 196th Pl Fresh Meadows, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $2,750 $3.67 25d 1 0.40mi
67-05H 186th Ln Fresh Meadows, NY 2.0 1.0 700 $3,100 $4.43 25d 1 0.50mi
73-49 188th St Unit 2 Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $2,000 $3.08 25d 1 0.50mi
178-05 69th Ave Unit 2 Flushing, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $2,700 $3.60 25d 1 0.91mi
8737 Marengo St #1 Hollis, NY 1.0 1.0 720 $1,950 $2.71 11d 1 1.34mi
196-42 44th Ave #2 Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $2,200 $3.67 5d 1 1.35mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $215,000 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $215,000 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $215,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $215,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $215,000 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $215,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $215,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-04-15
    listed $215,000 Active
  13. 2015-04-28
    soldstatus $135,000 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Location, Location, Heart Of Fresh Meadows, Beautiful Garden Styled Coop., Top Floor, Garden View, Excellent Condition, Near Buses, Supermarket, Schools, Seeing Is Believing., Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr

  14. 2014-05-05
    listed $150,000 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Location, Location, Heart Of Fresh Meadows, Beautiful Garden Styled Coop., Top Floor, Garden View, Excellent Condition, Near Buses, Supermarket, Schools, Seeing Is Believing., Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,755
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$3,225
− Insurance
−$1,872
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,300
− Management
−$2,300
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable income
$759
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$182
After-tax cash flow
$3,907/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
42,322
Household income
$81,258
Rent vs Own
53.6% rent · 46.4% own
Severe rent burden
1876.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 43% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 11% Black 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 4% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
46% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
41% English-only · Chinese 26% Spanish 13% Korean 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -298.48%
Current HPI
314.4015
Rent YoY
▲ 6.24%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+43.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $215,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-28 Sold (MLS) $135,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-05-05 Listed $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…