93 Castle Wood · Spout Springs, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GORGEOUS ONE level living on almost HALF an acre with a bright open floor plan and upgrades galore. Features a custom designer kitchen with new shaker cabinets, granite countertops, tile backsplash and Stainless Steel appliances. Beautiful wide plank laminate flooring throughout main living areas: PLUSH carpet and designer interior paint. HUGE Owners Suite. Move in and ENJOY! Staged photos for illustration only.
Key facts
- Thoughtful upgrades
- Single-level living
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property (RA-20 residential agricultural zoning)
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch with front porch; Cleared lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Free‑standing range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Granite countertops; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (5.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.1% in Spout Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Harnett County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #130 of 178 in NC (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Highland Elementary (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #694 of 1,410 statewide, top 53%, 891 students, 53% FRL); Highland Middle (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #256 of 475 statewide, top 55%, 875 students, 64% FRL); Overhills High (math 52% / reading 63%, grade C, #245 of 535 statewide, top 46%, 1,971 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 458 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,080 units permitted in Harnett County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harnett County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.31%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $175,104
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 Winding Rdg | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,198 (+4%) | 1mo | $203,000 | $169 | 83 |
| 165 Brent Wood | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+3%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $126 | 83 |
| 97 Brent Wood Ct | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-1%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $162 | 80 |
| 178 Castle Wood | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,189 (+3%) | 15mo | $192,450 | $162 | 78 |
| 279 Winding Rdg | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,191 (+3%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $134 | 77 |
| 369 Winding Rdg | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+3%) | 19mo | $184,000 | $155 | 71 |
| 453 Deer Vw | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+3%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $152 | 71 |
| 152 Castlewood | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-6%) | 19mo | $185,000 | $171 | 70 |
| 265 Winding Rdg | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,195 (+4%) | 16mo | $155,000 | $130 | 69 |
| 38 Bone Oak | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (+13%) | 2mo | $197,000 | $151 | 58 |
| 162 Deer Vw | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,047 (-9%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $148 | 49 |
| 67 Edenberry Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,304 (+13%) | 17mo | $145,000 | $111 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-9,115
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $27,325
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27332
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 458
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,694 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $651/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $265
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 Castle Wood Sanford, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,399 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 159 Pine Haven Dr Sanford, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 478 Washington Ln Cameron, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 96 Heritage Way Cameron, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,195 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 105 Valley Forge Way N Cameron, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,325 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $180,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $185,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $185,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$185,000 Active
-
2023-04-21soldstatus $168,000 Closed 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
GORGEOUS ONE level living on almost HALF an acre with a bright open floor plan and upgrades galore. Features a custom designer kitchen with new shaker cabinets, granite countertops, tile backsplash and Stainless Steel appliances. Beautiful wide plank laminate flooring throughout main living areas: PLUSH carpet and designer interior paint. HUGE Owners Suite. Move in and ENJOY! Staged photos for illustration only.
-
2023-04-21soldstatus $168,000 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
GORGEOUS ONE level living on almost HALF an acre with a bright open floor plan and upgrades galore. Features a custom designer kitchen with new shaker cabinets, granite countertops, tile backsplash and Stainless Steel appliances. Beautiful wide plank laminate flooring throughout main living areas: PLUSH carpet and designer interior paint. HUGE Owners Suite. Move in and ENJOY! Staged photos for illustration only.
-
2023-04-21soldstatus $168,000
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
GORGEOUS ONE level living on almost HALF an acre with a bright open floor plan and upgrades galore. Features a custom designer kitchen with new shaker cabinets, granite countertops, tile backsplash and Stainless Steel appliances. Beautiful wide plank laminate flooring throughout main living areas: PLUSH carpet and designer interior paint. HUGE Owners Suite. Move in and ENJOY! Staged photos for illustration only.
-
2023-02-24historical Contingent 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
GORGEOUS ONE level living on almost HALF an acre with a bright open floor plan and upgrades galore. Features a custom designer kitchen with new shaker cabinets, granite countertops, tile backsplash and Stainless Steel appliances. Beautiful wide plank laminate flooring throughout main living areas: PLUSH carpet and designer interior paint. HUGE Owners Suite. Move in and ENJOY! Staged photos for illustration only.
-
2023-02-04$179,900 Active 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
GORGEOUS ONE level living on almost HALF an acre with a bright open floor plan and upgrades galore. Features a custom designer kitchen with new shaker cabinets, granite countertops, tile backsplash and Stainless Steel appliances. Beautiful wide plank laminate flooring throughout main living areas: PLUSH carpet and designer interior paint. HUGE Owners Suite. Move in and ENJOY! Staged photos for illustration only.
-
2023-02-04$179,900 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
GORGEOUS ONE level living on almost HALF an acre with a bright open floor plan and upgrades galore. Features a custom designer kitchen with new shaker cabinets, granite countertops, tile backsplash and Stainless Steel appliances. Beautiful wide plank laminate flooring throughout main living areas: PLUSH carpet and designer interior paint. HUGE Owners Suite. Move in and ENJOY! Staged photos for illustration only.
-
2022-07-07soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $651 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,476 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- +$825/yr (+$69/mo · 126.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,329
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$651
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,626
- − Management
- −$1,626
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $206
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$49
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,132/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harnett County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702010
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,400
- Composite
- 29.88/100
- National rank
- #6397
- State rank
- #130 of 178 in NC
Livability — Spout Springs
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spout Springs, NC
- County
- Lee County · 76,725 people
- Metro
- Sanford, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,947
- Household income
- $78,447
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 632.0
Population outlook (Harnett County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 153,758 people
- By 2030
- 166,581 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 192,741 · +25.4%
- By 2050
- 218,332 · +42.0%
- By 2075
- 275,422 · +79.1%
- By 2100
- 313,511 · +103.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Harnett
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.1) · D 36.9% · R 62.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -25.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.1 2020: R+22.4 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.61%
- Current HPI
- 252.2719
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.87%
- Metro
- Sanford, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+236.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $185,000 LPRMLS
- 2023-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $168,000 Public Records
- 2023-04-21 Sold (MLS) $168,000 AMLSNC
- 2023-04-21 Sold (MLS) $168,000 TMLS
- 2023-02-24 Contingent — TMLS
- 2023-02-04 Listed $179,900 AMLSNC
- 2023-02-04 Listed $179,900 TMLS
- 2022-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $651 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…