15 Ansonia St · Hartford, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Completely renovated home. Hardwood floors, new cabinets with granite counter top. New roof, new baths. It must see.
Key facts
- Thermal-pane windows
- Renovated kitchen
- Ample cabinet space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; 30-gallon hot water tank
- Home design: Single family home
- Construction: Frame construction; Wood foundation; Aluminum siding; Grey exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Built prior to public record (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Wrap-around deck; City views
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas fuel; Split system cooling
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; One fireplace; No basement; Split system cooling
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-250 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $266k (14.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (19.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $249k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Kennelly School (math 7% / reading 12%, grade F, #522 of 553 statewide, top 95%, 598 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools at 85% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 54 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,489/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 1897% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $250k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.45%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 1.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $149,241
- Equity at exit
- $279,273
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.13×
- Total profit
- $444,970
- Equity at exit
- $602,262
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06114
- Home prices YoY
- 4.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,489 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$461 /mo · $5,534/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $-250
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 452 Hillside Ave Hartford, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1233 | $2,700 | $2.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 97 Bates St Hartford, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2240 | $2,900 | $1.29 | 1d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3 Goshen St Hartford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $2,100 | $1.80 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $310,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $310,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $310,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $310,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$310,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,534 · $461/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,084 · $507/mo
- Expected delta
- +$550/yr (+$46/mo · 9.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,868
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$5,534
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,389
- − Management
- −$2,389
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable loss
- −$8,377
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,011
- After-tax cash flow
- $-985/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hartford School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901920
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,521
- Composite
- 13.54/100
- National rank
- #9514
- State rank
- #150 of 153 in CT
Livability — Hartford
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #3553
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hartford, CT
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- City population
- 121,162
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,458
- Household income
- $52,110
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1897.0
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 60% White 19% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 36% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- American 6% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 49% Russian/Polish/Slavic 8% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.02%
- Current HPI
- 356.5892
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.47%
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+282.7% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $310,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-06-12 Coming Soon $310,000 Smart MLS
- 2022-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2022-03-09 Sold (MLS) $250,000 Smart MLS
- 2021-11-19 Listed $234,900 Smart MLS
- 2021-10-09 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2021-07-18 Price Changed $244,000 Smart MLS
- 2021-05-29 Price Changed $249,000 Smart MLS
- 2021-05-28 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2021-04-17 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2021-04-10 Price Changed $234,900 Smart MLS
- 2021-04-10 Listed $134,900 Smart MLS
- 2020-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2013-02-22 Sold (MLS) $76,500 Smart MLS
- 2012-10-16 Listed $78,900 Smart MLS
- 2012-03-23 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2011-09-23 Listed $139,800 Smart MLS
- 2008-12-30 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2008-06-20 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2008-06-19 Listed $164,900 Smart MLS
- 2008-03-10 Listed $189,900 Smart MLS
- 2004-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $156,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-10 Sold (MLS) $156,000 Smart MLS
- 2004-05-16 Listed $164,000 Smart MLS
- 1997-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $5,534 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…