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15 Ansonia St
D Composite 42.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$310,000

15 Ansonia St · Hartford, CT 06114
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,516 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1922 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Completely renovated home. Hardwood floors, new cabinets with granite counter top. New roof, new baths. It must see.

Key facts

  • Thermal-pane windows
  • Renovated kitchen
  • Ample cabinet space

Tags

RENOVATED KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESAMPLE CABINET SPACEHARDWOOD FLOORSTHERMAL-PANE WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; 30-gallon hot water tank
  • Home design: Single family home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Wood foundation; Aluminum siding; Grey exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Built prior to public record (year not provided)
  • Exterior features: Wrap-around deck; City views

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas fuel; Split system cooling
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; One fireplace; No basement; Split system cooling

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $310k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-250 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $266k (14.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (19.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $249k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kennelly School (math 7% / reading 12%, grade F, #522 of 553 statewide, top 95%, 598 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools at 85% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 54 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,489/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 1897% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $250k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $248,904 (19.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.33%
Cash-on-cash
-3.45%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 1.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$149,241
Equity at exit
$279,273
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
6.13×
Total profit
$444,970
Equity at exit
$602,262

Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06114

Home prices YoY
4.7%
Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,489 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,626
Tax from tax record
$461 /mo · $5,534/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$523
Net cashflow
$-250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,805
Max offer price $265,896
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,500
Closing costs
$9,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
452 Hillside Ave Hartford, CT 4.0 1.0 1233 $2,700 $2.19 23d 1 0.18mi
97 Bates St Hartford, CT 3.0 2.0 2240 $2,900 $1.29 1d 1 0.59mi
3 Goshen St Hartford, CT 3.0 1.0 1168 $2,100 $1.80 1d 1 0.94mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $310,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $310,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $310,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $310,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $310,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,534 · $461/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,084 · $507/mo
Expected delta
+$550/yr (+$46/mo · 9.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,868
− Mortgage interest
−$17,365
− Property taxes
−$5,534
− Insurance
−$1,550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,389
− Management
−$2,389
− Depreciation
−$9,018
Taxable loss
−$8,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,011
After-tax cash flow
$-985/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hartford School District
NCES district ID
0901920
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$30,521
Composite
13.54/100
National rank
#9514
State rank
#150 of 153 in CT

Livability — Hartford

Score
76/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#3553

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hartford, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
121,162
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
26,458
Household income
$52,110
Rent vs Own
61.6% rent · 38.4% own
Severe rent burden
1897.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 60% White 19% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 36% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
American 6% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
36% English-only · Spanish 49% Russian/Polish/Slavic 8% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.02%
Current HPI
356.5892
Rent YoY
▲ 1.47%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+282.7% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $310,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-06-12 Coming Soon $310,000 Smart MLS
  • 2022-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
  • 2022-03-09 Sold (MLS) $250,000 Smart MLS
  • 2021-11-19 Listed $234,900 Smart MLS
  • 2021-10-09 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2021-07-18 Price Changed $244,000 Smart MLS
  • 2021-05-29 Price Changed $249,000 Smart MLS
  • 2021-05-28 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2021-04-17 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2021-04-10 Price Changed $234,900 Smart MLS
  • 2021-04-10 Listed $134,900 Smart MLS
  • 2020-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2013-02-22 Sold (MLS) $76,500 Smart MLS
  • 2012-10-16 Listed $78,900 Smart MLS
  • 2012-03-23 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2011-09-23 Listed $139,800 Smart MLS
  • 2008-12-30 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2008-06-20 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2008-06-19 Listed $164,900 Smart MLS
  • 2008-03-10 Listed $189,900 Smart MLS
  • 2004-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $156,000 Public Records
  • 2004-09-10 Sold (MLS) $156,000 Smart MLS
  • 2004-05-16 Listed $164,000 Smart MLS
  • 1997-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,534 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…