🏷️ Likely Rental
Bldg C-9 Via Pendio Dr Unit C-9 · Lake Ozark, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$3,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Escape to the Private Quarters Club at Porto Cima, where you can enjoy the benefits of a second home without the burden of maintenance. Located on the stunning Shawnee Bend peninsula of the Lake of the Ozarks, this exclusive residence offers deeded ownership (fee simple) with 21 annual days of use. This fully furnished, 1,750 sq. ft. residence is situated directly on the 18th hole of the Jack Nicklaus-signature golf course. The interior boasts 2 master bedrooms, 2 baths, hardwood floors, leather living room furnishings, and Jacuzzi tubs. Relax on your outdoor deck with a golf course view! When "in residence, " you, your spouse, and children under 23 enjoy cart-fee-only golf on a course ranked by Golf Digest as one of the nation’s top private courses. You also gain access to the 17,000 sq. ft. clubhouse, fitness facilities, and the Yacht Club, which features a swimming pool, tennis courts, and a full-service marina. Experience true concierge living with pre-arrival services including villa stocking and tee time reservations. Plus, expand your horizons with affiliation to Elite Alliance locations around the world. 2026 dates booked: 07/27-08/03 (S1), 04/20-04/27 (S2), 11/23-11/30 (S3)
Key facts
- Golf course view
- Fitness facilities
- 17
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath timeshare listed at $4k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $4k).
- Recommended offer: $3k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 645.7% vs local median 0.1% in Lake Ozark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#283 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Camdenton R-III (rural): math 46% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #68 of 324 in MO (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 331 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 272 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $24 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $105 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $980 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($3k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 77.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 645.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2283.44%
- DSCR
- 102.60
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $468,827
- List price
- $3,500
- Delta
- -99.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 121.81×
- Total profit
- $118,394
- Equity at exit
- $522
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 263.05×
- Total profit
- $256,807
- Equity at exit
- $303
Cash invested: $980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65079
- Home prices YoY
- -21.9%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,700 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$18
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$4 /mo · $52/yr
- Insurance
- −$1
- HOA
- −$244
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$567
- Net cashflow
- $1,865
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $875
- Closing costs
- $105
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 Arrowhead Beach Rd Lake Ozark, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1778 | $2,700 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $244 · $2,928/yr
- Likely covers
- pooldoorman
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $3,500 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $3,500 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $3,500 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $3,500 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $3,500 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $3,500 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $3,500 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $3,500 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $3,500 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $3,500 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $3,500 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $3,500 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $3,500 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $3,500 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $3,500 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $3,500 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-02-26price $3,500 1217-char remark
Show marketing remark (1217 chars)
Escape to the Private Quarters Club at Porto Cima, where you can enjoy the benefits of a second home without the burden of maintenance. Located on the stunning Shawnee Bend peninsula of the Lake of the Ozarks, this exclusive residence offers deeded ownership (fee simple) with 21 annual days of use. This fully furnished, 1,750 sq. ft. residence is situated directly on the 18th hole of the Jack Nicklaus-signature golf course. The interior boasts 2 master bedrooms, 2 baths, hardwood floors, leather living room furnishings, and Jacuzzi tubs. Relax on your outdoor deck with a golf course view! When "in residence, " you, your spouse, and children under 23 enjoy cart-fee-only golf on a course ranked by Golf Digest as one of the nation’s top private courses. You also gain access to the 17,000 sq. ft. clubhouse, fitness facilities, and the Yacht Club, which features a swimming pool, tennis courts, and a full-service marina. Experience true concierge living with pre-arrival services including villa stocking and tee time reservations. Plus, expand your horizons with affiliation to Elite Alliance locations around the world. 2026 dates booked: 07/27-08/03 (S1), 04/20-04/27 (S2), 11/23-11/30 (S3)
-
2025-12-31$5,000 Active 1217-char remark
Show marketing remark (1217 chars)
Escape to the Private Quarters Club at Porto Cima, where you can enjoy the benefits of a second home without the burden of maintenance. Located on the stunning Shawnee Bend peninsula of the Lake of the Ozarks, this exclusive residence offers deeded ownership (fee simple) with 21 annual days of use. This fully furnished, 1,750 sq. ft. residence is situated directly on the 18th hole of the Jack Nicklaus-signature golf course. The interior boasts 2 master bedrooms, 2 baths, hardwood floors, leather living room furnishings, and Jacuzzi tubs. Relax on your outdoor deck with a golf course view! When "in residence, " you, your spouse, and children under 23 enjoy cart-fee-only golf on a course ranked by Golf Digest as one of the nation’s top private courses. You also gain access to the 17,000 sq. ft. clubhouse, fitness facilities, and the Yacht Club, which features a swimming pool, tennis courts, and a full-service marina. Experience true concierge living with pre-arrival services including villa stocking and tee time reservations. Plus, expand your horizons with affiliation to Elite Alliance locations around the world. 2026 dates booked: 07/27-08/03 (S1), 04/20-04/27 (S2), 11/23-11/30 (S3)
-
2016-11-23$7,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$196
- − Property taxes
- −$52
- − Insurance
- −$18
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,592
- − Management
- −$2,592
- − HOA
- −$2,928
- − Depreciation
- −$102
- Taxable income
- $23,920
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,741
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,637/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camdenton R-III
- NCES district ID
- 2906990
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▲ 10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,496
- Composite
- 39.96/100
- National rank
- #3838
- State rank
- #68 of 324 in MO
Livability — Lake Ozark
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #283
- US rank
- #13152
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,240
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,585 people
- By 2030
- 44,476 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 43,513 · -2.4%
- By 2050
- 41,705 · -6.5%
- By 2075
- 36,903 · -17.2%
- By 2100
- 30,164 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.4% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.8pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+54.2 2012: R+39.3 2008: R+28.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.58%
- Current HPI
- 173.0265
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
-54.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $3,500 LOBR
- 2025-12-31 Listed $5,000 LOBR
- 2016-11-23 Listed $7,700 LOBR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…