5732 Daybrook Ct · Lowesville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$167,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investors and DIY enthusiasts take note! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a beautiful, private 1.61-acre lot in the Cedarbrook community. While the home features significant mechanical updates--including a septic system, HVAC, and a newer roof--the interior requires some flooring repairs/flooring TLC. This property is priced to reflect the needed cosmetic updates, offering a fantastic opportunity to build sweat equity in the East Lincoln school district. Sold as-is. Spacious 1.61-acre lot at the end of a private gravel road. This property adjoins large, quiet parcels to the rear and side, offering enhanced privacy. Please note: access is via a privately maintained drive shared with neigh
Key facts
- 1.61 acre lot
- Built 2000
- Listed 133 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with $240 annual fee (about $20/month)
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel off-street parking
- Utilities: Utilities: Other
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Residential property; Located in Cedarbrook subdivision; Facing: See Remarks
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Built: (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; No patio or porch; No fencing; Has view; Private road frontage
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Accessible full bath
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Electric heating; Fireplace(s); Central air
- Interior features: Pantry; Furnished; Hardwood flooring; Crawl space foundation
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $167k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (7.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 1.7% in Lowesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#285 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Lincoln County Schools (rural): math 57% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #42 of 178 in NC (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Catawba Springs Elementary (math 78% / reading 71%, grade A, #58 of 1,410 statewide, top 5%, 529 students, 30% FRL); East Lincoln Middle (math 55% / reading 59%, grade B, #68 of 475 statewide, top 15%, 728 students, 34% FRL); East Lincoln High (math 65% / reading 73%, grade B, #131 of 535 statewide, top 25%, 1,047 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 697 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lincoln County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.08%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-14,518
- Equity at exit
- $24,900
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $3,353
- Equity at exit
- $14,439
Cash invested: $46,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28164
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Active inventory
- 163
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,548 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$876
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $718/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$20
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $198
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $292 | -5% $245 | +0% $198 | +5% $151 | +10% $103 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $76 | -5% $137 | +0% $198 | +5% $259 | +10% $320 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $282 | -0.5pp $240 | base $198 | +0.5pp $155 | +1.0pp $111 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,750
- Closing costs
- $5,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $20 · $240/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $167,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $167,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $167,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $167,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $167,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $167,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $167,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $167,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $167,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $167,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $167,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $167,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $167,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-03-07price $167,000
-
2026-02-05$169,000 Active
-
2025-12-10price $169,900
-
2025-11-24$180,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $718 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,369 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$652/yr (+$54/mo · 90.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,577
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,355
- − Property taxes
- −$718
- − Insurance
- −$835
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,486
- − Management
- −$1,486
- − HOA
- −$240
- − Depreciation
- −$4,858
- Taxable loss
- −$401
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$96
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,470/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702680
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▲ 7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,203
- Composite
- 47.7/100
- National rank
- #2242
- State rank
- #42 of 178 in NC
Livability — Lowesville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #285
- US rank
- #12234
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,991
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 86,972 people
- By 2030
- 89,467 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 93,107 · +7.1%
- By 2050
- 94,304 · +8.4%
- By 2075
- 95,190 · +9.4%
- By 2100
- 90,096 · +3.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Serbian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.7) · D 26.8% · R 72.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.3pp · 2024: -45.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.7 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+47.7 2012: R+38.9 2008: R+33.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.85%
- Current HPI
- 261.6464
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-7.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $167,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $169,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $169,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-24 Listed $180,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $718 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…