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316 E Post Office St
B Composite 71.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$79,900

316 E Post Office St · Eagle Lake, TX 77434
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,545 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 229 Days on market
Built 1950 $52/sqft · 51% below area ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect investment property or first time home buyer in Great Location. quiet subdivision, Spacious kitchen open floor plan to the dining room and living area. The home includes an open two-car garage and spacious back yard.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Spacious back yard

Tags

SPACIOUS KITCHENOPEN FLOOR PLANTWO-CAR GARAGESPACIOUS BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.7% in Eagle Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#913 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rice CISD (rural): math 34% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #574 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Colorado County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
9.94%
Cash-on-cash
13.01%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$164,558
List price
$79,900
Delta
-51.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
404 Clark St N 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,612 (+4%) 2mo $249,000 $154 62
719 Partridge Ln 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,513 (-2%) 5mo $284,200 $188 49
610 N Walnut Ave 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,716 (+11%) 14mo $129,000 $75 44
1017 Glen Lake Ct 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,372 (-11%) 7mo $185,000 $135 40
512 N Mccarty Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,327 (-14%) 18mo $265,000 $200 40
509 Hubbards Ferry Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,464 (-5%) 10mo $115,000 $79 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$18,254
Equity at exit
$28,535
10-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
3.36×
Total profit
$52,779
Equity at exit
$38,912

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77434

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,225 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$273 /mo · $3,273/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$243

Break-even live

Break-even rent $918
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $288 -5% $265 +0% $243 +5% $220 +10% $197
Rent -10% $146 -5% $194 +0% $243 +5% $291 +10% $339
Rate -1.0pp $283 -0.5pp $263 base $243 +0.5pp $222 +1.0pp $201

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,900 Active 229 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 227 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 226 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 225 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 224 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 223 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 222 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 221 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 218 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 217 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 216 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 214 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 212 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 211 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 210 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 209 DOM
  17. 2026-04-30
    price $79,900 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Perfect investment property or first time home buyer in Great Location. quiet subdivision, Spacious kitchen open floor plan to the dining room and living area. The home includes an open two-car garage and spacious back yard.

  18. 2026-04-14
    price $89,000 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Perfect investment property or first time home buyer in Great Location. quiet subdivision, Spacious kitchen open floor plan to the dining room and living area. The home includes an open two-car garage and spacious back yard.

  19. 2026-04-05
    price $95,000 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Perfect investment property or first time home buyer in Great Location. quiet subdivision, Spacious kitchen open floor plan to the dining room and living area. The home includes an open two-car garage and spacious back yard.

  20. 2026-02-28
    price $109,000 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Perfect investment property or first time home buyer in Great Location. quiet subdivision, Spacious kitchen open floor plan to the dining room and living area. The home includes an open two-car garage and spacious back yard.

  21. 2026-01-23
    price $99,900 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Perfect investment property or first time home buyer in Great Location. quiet subdivision, Spacious kitchen open floor plan to the dining room and living area. The home includes an open two-car garage and spacious back yard.

  22. 2026-01-16
    price $109,900 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Perfect investment property or first time home buyer in Great Location. quiet subdivision, Spacious kitchen open floor plan to the dining room and living area. The home includes an open two-car garage and spacious back yard.

  23. 2026-01-03
    price $114,900 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Perfect investment property or first time home buyer in Great Location. quiet subdivision, Spacious kitchen open floor plan to the dining room and living area. The home includes an open two-car garage and spacious back yard.

  24. 2025-11-11
    price $115,000 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Perfect investment property or first time home buyer in Great Location. quiet subdivision, Spacious kitchen open floor plan to the dining room and living area. The home includes an open two-car garage and spacious back yard.

  25. 2025-11-03
    listed $125,000 Active 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Perfect investment property or first time home buyer in Great Location. quiet subdivision, Spacious kitchen open floor plan to the dining room and living area. The home includes an open two-car garage and spacious back yard.

  26. 2023-06-28
    historical
  27. 2023-04-28
    price $114,900
  28. 2023-03-24
    price $119,000
  29. 2023-02-08
    price $125,000
  30. 2022-12-29
    listed $135,000 Active
  31. 2021-04-24
    historical
  32. 2021-03-30
    listed $125,000 Active
  33. 2020-03-03
    historical
  34. 2020-01-26
    listed $90,000 Active
  35. 2019-03-18
    soldstatus
  36. 2007-07-17
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,273 · $273/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,273 · $273/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,699
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$3,273
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,176
− Management
−$1,176
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$1,874
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$450
After-tax cash flow
$2,462/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rice CISD
NCES district ID
4836970
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$39,704
Composite
27.72/100
National rank
#6907
State rank
#574 of 826 in TX

Livability — Eagle Lake

Score
62/100
State rank
#913
US rank
#16344

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing B+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eagle Lake, TX
Population (ZIP)
4,037

Population outlook (Colorado County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,932 people
By 2030
20,803 · -0.6%
By 2040
20,518 · -2.0%
By 2050
20,325 · -2.9%
By 2075
20,086 · -4.0%
By 2100
18,228 · -12.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 58% White 22% Black 19% Two or more races 16% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 32%

Political lean MEDSL · Colorado

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.1% · R 78.3%
2008→2024 swing
-17.9pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -57.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.2 2020: R+50.6 2016: R+51.2 2012: R+49.3 2008: R+39.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.30%
Current HPI
179.6872
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.2% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $79,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $89,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-05 Price Changed $95,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-28 Price Changed $109,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $99,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $109,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-03 Price Changed $114,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $115,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $125,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-06-28 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-04-28 Price Changed $114,900 HARMLS
  • 2023-03-24 Price Changed $119,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-02-08 Price Changed $125,000 HARMLS
  • 2022-12-29 Listed $135,000 HARMLS
  • 2021-04-24 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2021-03-30 Listed $125,000 HARMLS
  • 2020-03-03 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2020-01-26 Listed $90,000 HARMLS
  • 2019-03-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-07-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,273 · +17.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…