Athena Plan · Sonterra, TX 76537

$229,990

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,522 sqft · SingleFamily · 956 Days on market

Good condition ↓ 8% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +5.6/30.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.1/5.0
• Schools +2.1/10.0
• 1% rule +1.1/10.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

Key facts

• 2 garage spots
• Listed 956 days

🏗️ New construction. The $229,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $304,278.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-634 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (7.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (19.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $186k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Jarrell ISD (rural): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #713 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Jarrell El (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,277 of 4,322 statewide, top 77%, 785 students, 62% FRL); Jarrell Middle (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,258 of 1,662 statewide, top 77%, 741 students, 64% FRL); Jarrell H S (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 868 students, 58% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 773 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 7,543 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (1,425 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Williamson County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 956 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $185,945 (19.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 956 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.61% ✗
• Cap rate: 3.79%
• Cash-on-cash: -8.93%
• DSCR: 0.60
• GRM: 13.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $304,278
• List price: $229,990
• Delta: -24.41%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
360 Enforcer Loop	0.13mi	3/2.0	1,522 (0%)	3mo	$234,891	$154	92
329 Enforcer Loop	0.19mi	3/2.0	1,522 (0%)	1mo	$268,190	$176	91
101 Dirty Harry Dr	0.10mi	3/2.0	1,412 (-7%)	0mo	$257,044	$182	83
381 Enforcer Loop	0.09mi	3/2.5	1,605 (+6%)	6mo	$259,741	$162	80
335 Enforcer Loop	0.17mi	3/2.5	1,605 (+6%)	4mo	$268,020	$167	77
200 Escape Way	0.32mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,531 (+1%)	3mo	$274,990	$180	77
265 Escape Way	0.33mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,531 (+1%)	3mo	$268,990	$176	76
225 Firefox Way	0.35mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,531 (+1%)	3mo	$259,990	$170	75
124 Perfect World Loop	0.40mi	3/2.0	1,422 (-7%)	2mo	$229,000	$161	69
240 Alcatraz Loop	0.27mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,606 (+6%)	6mo	$265,105	$165	68
240 Line Of Fire Way	0.50mi	3/2.0	1,367 (-10%)	5mo	$234,900	$172	56
725 Bronco Billy Dr	0.53mi	3/2.5	1,698 (+12%)	4mo	$252,500	$149	51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -35.5%
• Equity multiple: -0.12×
• Total profit: $-95,096
• Equity at exit: $45,369

10-year hold

• IRR: -70.4%
• Equity multiple: -0.83×
• Total profit: $-155,735
• Equity at exit: $26,308

Cash invested: $85,198 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 76537

• Home prices YoY: -14.4%
• Rents YoY: -1.7%
• Active inventory: 773
• Price-to-rent: 10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,859 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,596
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$380 /mo · $4,564/yr
• Insurance: −$127
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$390
• Net cashflow: $-634

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,662

Max offer price $212,562

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-424	-5% $-529	+0% $-634	+5% $-739	+10% $-844
Rent	-10% $-781	-5% $-707	+0% $-634	+5% $-560	+10% $-487
Rate	-1.0pp $-481	-0.5pp $-556	base $-634	+0.5pp $-713	+1.0pp $-793

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $76,069
• Closing costs: $9,128
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 38 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
125 Kellys Heroes Way Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1641	$1,650	$1.01	45d	1	0.11mi
137 Kellys Heroes Way Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1214	$1,695	$1.40	45d	1	0.12mi
241 Alcatraz Loop Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1288	$1,895	$1.47	19d	1	0.23mi
409 Line of Fire Way Jarrell, TX	4.0	3.0	2240	$1,995	$0.89	0d	1	0.36mi
104 Perfect World Loop Jarrell, TX	4.0	2.0	1751	$1,885	$1.08	4d	1	0.39mi
104 Perfect World Loop Jarrell, TX	4.0	2.0	1751	$1,885	$1.08	6d	1	0.39mi
120 Perfect World Loop Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1913	$1,875	$0.98	25d	1	0.42mi
376 Rae Ln Unit A Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,695	$1.41	23d	1	0.42mi
420 Perfect World Loop Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1242	$1,500	$1.21	6d	1	0.50mi
340 The Bad Way Jarrell, TX	4.0	2.0	1616	$1,695	$1.05	25d	1	0.52mi
340 The Bad Way Jarrell, TX	4.0	2.0	1616	$1,695	$1.05	45d	1	0.52mi
112 Dollars Dr Jarrell, TX	4.0	2.5	1950	$1,745	$0.89	45d	1	0.58mi
637 The Ugly Way Jarrell, TX	4.0	2.0	1688	$1,795	$1.06	45d	1	0.65mi
125 Unforgiven Ln Jarrell, TX	4.0	2.0	1600	$1,700	$1.06	4d	1	0.66mi
125 Drifter Ln Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1753	$1,845	$1.05	6d	1	0.70mi
465 Unforgiven Ln Jarrell, TX	4.0	2.0	1531	$1,750	$1.14	19d	1	0.74mi
149 Vulcan Dr Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1450	$1,799	$1.24	25d	1	0.78mi
195 Outlaw Dr Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1573	$1,799	$1.14	46d	1	0.78mi
873 Circle Way Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1450	$1,650	$1.14	16d	1	0.81mi
117 Galaxy Way Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1276	$1,650	$1.29	22d	1	0.84mi
621 Xanadu Dr Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1586	$1,750	$1.10	6d	1	0.91mi
600 Shimek St Unit 19A Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1357	$1,650	$1.22	19d	1	1.06mi
324 Circle Way Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.5	1661	$1,650	$0.99	12d	1	1.09mi
1100 Jackson Ln Jarrell, TX	4.0	2.5	1839	$1,745	$0.95	6d	1	1.14mi
244 Circle Way Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1242	$1,545	$1.24	21d	1	1.15mi
108 Igneous Ln Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1534	$1,800	$1.17	14d	1	1.15mi
104 Hellfighters Way Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.5	1619	$2,000	$1.24	45d	1	1.25mi
224 Amber Ln Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1133	$1,475	$1.30	22d	1	1.26mi
449 Stone Water Ln Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.5	1674	$1,900	$1.14	45d	1	1.28mi
140 Amber Ln Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1584	$1,749	$1.10	19d	1	1.29mi
236 Geode Ln Jarrell, TX	4.0	3.0	1981	$1,995	$1.01	23d	1	1.31mi
121 Old Stagecoach Rd Jarrell, TX	4.0	2.0	1531	$1,800	$1.18	45d	1	1.33mi
504 Rusty DR Lot Rusty Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.5	1900	$1,870	$0.98	0d	1	1.36mi
417 Sapphire Ln Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1537	$1,499	$0.98	25d	1	1.36mi
140 Calcite Ln Jarrell, TX	3.0	2.0	1401	$1,650	$1.18	25d	1	1.38mi
105 McLintock Rd Jarrell, TX	3.0–5.0	2.0–3.5	1773	$2,055	$1.16	0d	1	1.41mi
201 Fighting Seabees Run Jarrell, TX	4.0	2.0	1667	$1,900	$1.14	9d	1	1.46mi
313 McLintock Rd Jarrell, TX	4.0	2.0	1855	$2,000	$1.08	4d	1	1.46mi

Listing history 37 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $229,990 Active 956 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $229,990 Active 953 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $229,990 Active 952 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $229,990 Active 951 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $229,990 Active 950 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $229,990 Active 948 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $229,990 Active 944 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $229,990 Active 943 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $229,990 Active 942 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $229,990 Active 939 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $260,990 Active 938 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $260,990 Active 937 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $260,990 Active 936 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $260,990 Active 935 DOM
15. 2025-12-03
    price $260,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

16. 2025-10-16
    price $259,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

17. 2025-10-02
    price $276,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

18. 2025-09-04
    price $275,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

19. 2025-08-03
    price $274,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

20. 2025-07-02
    price $303,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

21. 2025-06-04
    price $302,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

22. 2025-05-02
    price $301,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

23. 2025-04-01
    price $300,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

24. 2025-02-01
    price $297,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

25. 2024-12-31
    price $296,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

26. 2024-11-29
    price $295,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

27. 2024-11-02
    price $294,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

28. 2024-10-02
    price $293,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

29. 2024-08-23
    price $292,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

30. 2024-08-02
    price $291,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

31. 2024-07-04
    price $292,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

32. 2024-05-02
    price $291,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

33. 2024-04-02
    price $290,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

34. 2024-03-02
    price $289,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

35. 2024-02-02
    price $288,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

36. 2023-12-02
    price $287,990 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

37. 2023-11-08
    listed $284,990 Active 510-char remark

    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Enter through the front porch into a foyer with two bedrooms and a full bath located near the front of the home. The laundry room and coat closet are also accessible from this hallway. At the center of the home, the kitchen opens to the dining area and great room, creating a spacious main living space. Toward the back, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and a primary bath. A patio is accessible through the great room, and the two-car garage connects to the home through a hallway near the foyer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,313
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,044
• − Property taxes: −$4,564
• − Insurance: −$1,521
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,785
• − Management: −$1,785
• − Depreciation: −$8,852
• Taxable loss: −$13,238
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,177
• After-tax cash flow: $-4,429/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-family home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a modern kitchen, two bathrooms, and well-maintained exterior and interior. The property has potential for further value increases through painting, landscaping, smart home features, and kitchen appliance upgrades.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can improve the kitchen's functionality and appeal to potential buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value. ↑
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants. ↑
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can improve the kitchen's functionality and appeal to potential buyers/tenants. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jarrell ISD
• NCES district ID: 4824600
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 28% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $57,132
• Composite: 21.47/100
• National rank: #8335
• State rank: #713 of 826 in TX

Livability — Sonterra

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Williamson County · 680,029 people
• City population: 12,526
• Metro: Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
• Population (ZIP): 16,272
• Household income: $98,199
• Rent vs Own: 20.5% rent · 79.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 225.0

Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 699,027 people
• By 2030: 795,537 · +13.8%
• By 2040: 990,683 · +41.7%
• By 2050: 1,184,292 · +69.4%
• By 2075: 1,623,825 · +132.3%
• By 2100: 1,924,153 · +175.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: White 48% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 14% Black 7% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 30% Puerto Rican 5%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 13% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 69% English-only · Spanish 26% Chinese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Williamson

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 50.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +10.6pp toward D · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -2.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+2.5 2020: D+1.4 2016: R+9.9 2012: R+21.5 2008: R+13.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -31.03%
• Current HPI: 184.8935
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.73%
• Metro: Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-8.4% since first listed

23 events — show timeline

• 2025-12-03 Price Changed $260,990 Zillow
• 2025-10-16 Price Changed $259,990 Zillow
• 2025-10-02 Price Changed $276,990 Zillow
• 2025-09-04 Price Changed $275,990 Zillow
• 2025-08-03 Price Changed $274,990 Zillow
• 2025-07-02 Price Changed $303,990 Zillow
• 2025-06-04 Price Changed $302,990 Zillow
• 2025-05-02 Price Changed $301,990 Zillow
• 2025-04-01 Price Changed $300,990 Zillow
• 2025-02-01 Price Changed $297,990 Zillow
• 2024-12-31 Price Changed $296,990 Zillow
• 2024-11-29 Price Changed $295,990 Zillow
• 2024-11-02 Price Changed $294,990 Zillow
• 2024-10-02 Price Changed $293,990 Zillow
• 2024-08-23 Price Changed $292,990 Zillow
• 2024-08-02 Price Changed $291,990 Zillow
• 2024-07-04 Price Changed $292,990 Zillow
• 2024-05-02 Price Changed $291,990 Zillow
• 2024-04-02 Price Changed $290,990 Zillow
• 2024-03-02 Price Changed $289,990 Zillow
• 2024-02-02 Price Changed $288,990 Zillow
• 2023-12-02 Price Changed $287,990 Zillow
• 2023-11-08 Listed $284,990 Zillow