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916 E Pacific St
D- Composite 38.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

916 E Pacific St · Springfield, MO 65803
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,614 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1946 6,970 sqft lot Est $176k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 916 E Pacific -- a charming and move-in-ready home! Boasting over 1,600 square feet of well-designed living space and an attached 3 car garage, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence offering comfort and functionality. Whether you're a growing family, a first-time buyer, or simply looking for more space, this home checks all the boxes. The new roof and new HVAC system should provide a low maintenance living experience for a long time. This is a fantastic opportunity you don't want to miss!

Key facts

  • New roof
  • New hvac system
  • 6,970 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW HVAC SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: head east on Division St, turn right on N National, then left on Pacific
  • Financial info: Tax details available but excluded
  • HOA & community: HOA details not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 3 spaces
  • Security: Security details not provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Construction details not provided; Year built not provided
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.16 acres; Subdivision: North Springfield OP

Interior

  • Kitchen: Standard kitchen (appliance specifics not provided)
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the main level
  • Flooring: Flooring details not provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: One-level living
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry/utility details not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-276/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $175k (2.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (23.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Boyd Elem. (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #982 of 1,115 statewide, top 89%, 175 students, 78% FRL); Pipkin Middle (math 20% / reading 29%, grade F, #324 of 391 statewide, top 83%, 340 students, 82% FRL); Central High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #92 of 521 statewide, top 20%, 1,464 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 46% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 401 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,778 (23.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.55%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$175,926
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1441 N Collins Dr 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,660 (+3%) 3mo $344,900 $208 73
1050 E Locust St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,784 (+10%) 2mo $185,999 $104 72
1430 N Collins Dr 0.26mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,646 (+2%) 8mo $352,900 $214 70
2136 N Washington Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,646 (+2%) 5mo $59,900 $36 62
1216 E Commercial St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,389 (-14%) 3mo $55,000 $40 57
1134 N Clay Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,550 (-4%) 9mo $160,000 $103 54
1414 N Clay Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,376 (-15%) 7mo $149,900 $109 54
2225 N National Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,512 (-6%) 8mo $79,000 $52 50
2055 N Ramsey Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,807 (+12%) 3mo $210,000 $116 49
2217 N National Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,459 (-10%) 2mo $159,900 $110 48
2003 N Jefferson Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,470 (-9%) 9mo $129,900 $88 46
1301 E Locust St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,384 (-14%) 12mo $159,900 $116 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-28,804
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-19,947
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65803

Home prices YoY
-29.8%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
401
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,368 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,083/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$-23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,397
Max offer price $174,939
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $78 -5% $28 +0% $-23 +5% $-74 +10% $-124
Rent -10% $-131 -5% $-77 +0% $-23 +5% $31 +10% $85
Rate -1.0pp $67 -0.5pp $23 base $-23 +0.5pp $-69 +1.0pp $-117

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1442 N Texas Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1626 $1,400 $0.86 45d 1 0.21mi
1439 N Texas Ave Springfield, MO 4.0 2.0 1608 $1,195 $0.74 45d 1 0.21mi
1306 N Frisco Ave Apt A Springfield, MO 2.0 1.5–2.0 970 $995 $1.03 15d 19 0.39mi
1339 E Division St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1186 $1,350 $1.14 25d 1 0.46mi
1530 N Robberson Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1122 $1,425 $1.27 45d 1 0.57mi
2153 N National Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1163 $1,195 $1.03 15d 1 0.65mi
916 N Pickwick Ave Springfield, MO 4.0 3.0 1827 $1,700 $0.93 15d 1 0.93mi
2221 N Weller Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,395 $1.15 15d 1 0.93mi
2230 N Campbell Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1084 $1,095 $1.01 45d 1 0.99mi
616 W Webster St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.5 1178 $1,050 $0.89 15d 1 1.05mi
501 W Central St Springfield, MO 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,200 $1.10 25d 1 1.08mi
138 Park Central Sq Springfield, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1083 $2,489 $2.30 15d 8 1.47mi
1014 E Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 45d 1 1.50mi
1112 E Walnut St Apt 2 Springfield, MO 4.0 2.0 2240 $2,450 $1.09 45d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    remarks 499-char remark
  2. 2026-06-07
    listed $179,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,083 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,736 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$653/yr (+$54/mo · 60.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,413
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$1,083
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,313
− Management
−$1,313
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable loss
−$3,425
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$822
After-tax cash flow
$546/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
42,882
Household income
$50,572
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.08%
Current HPI
205.0439
Rent YoY
▲ 4.24%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+163.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Pending SOMO
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $179,000 SOMO
  • 2025-12-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-11-25 Relisted SOMO
  • 2025-10-27 Pending SOMO
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $68,000 SOMO
  • 2025-10-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,083 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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