916 E Pacific St · Springfield, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 916 E Pacific -- a charming and move-in-ready home! Boasting over 1,600 square feet of well-designed living space and an attached 3 car garage, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence offering comfort and functionality. Whether you're a growing family, a first-time buyer, or simply looking for more space, this home checks all the boxes. The new roof and new HVAC system should provide a low maintenance living experience for a long time. This is a fantastic opportunity you don't want to miss!
Key facts
- New roof
- New hvac system
- 6,970 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: head east on Division St, turn right on N National, then left on Pacific
- Financial info: Tax details available but excluded
- HOA & community: HOA details not provided
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 3 spaces
- Security: Security details not provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Construction details not provided; Year built not provided
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.16 acres; Subdivision: North Springfield OP
Interior
- Kitchen: Standard kitchen (appliance specifics not provided)
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the main level
- Flooring: Flooring details not provided
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-level living
- Laundry & utility: Laundry/utility details not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-276/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $175k (2.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (23.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $137k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Boyd Elem. (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #982 of 1,115 statewide, top 89%, 175 students, 78% FRL); Pipkin Middle (math 20% / reading 29%, grade F, #324 of 391 statewide, top 83%, 340 students, 82% FRL); Central High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #92 of 521 statewide, top 20%, 1,464 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 46% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 401 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.55%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $175,926
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1441 N Collins Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,660 (+3%) | 3mo | $344,900 | $208 | 73 |
| 1050 E Locust St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,784 (+10%) | 2mo | $185,999 | $104 | 72 |
| 1430 N Collins Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,646 (+2%) | 8mo | $352,900 | $214 | 70 |
| 2136 N Washington Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,646 (+2%) | 5mo | $59,900 | $36 | 62 |
| 1216 E Commercial St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,389 (-14%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $40 | 57 |
| 1134 N Clay Ave | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,550 (-4%) | 9mo | $160,000 | $103 | 54 |
| 1414 N Clay Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,376 (-15%) | 7mo | $149,900 | $109 | 54 |
| 2225 N National Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,512 (-6%) | 8mo | $79,000 | $52 | 50 |
| 2055 N Ramsey Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,807 (+12%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $116 | 49 |
| 2217 N National Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,459 (-10%) | 2mo | $159,900 | $110 | 48 |
| 2003 N Jefferson Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (-9%) | 9mo | $129,900 | $88 | 46 |
| 1301 E Locust St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,384 (-14%) | 12mo | $159,900 | $116 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-28,804
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-19,947
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65803
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 401
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,368 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,083/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $-23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $78 | -5% $28 | +0% $-23 | +5% $-74 | +10% $-124 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-131 | -5% $-77 | +0% $-23 | +5% $31 | +10% $85 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $67 | -0.5pp $23 | base $-23 | +0.5pp $-69 | +1.0pp $-117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1442 N Texas Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1626 | $1,400 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1439 N Texas Ave Springfield, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,195 | $0.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1306 N Frisco Ave Apt A Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 970 | $995 | $1.03 | 15d | 19 | 0.39mi |
| 1339 E Division St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1530 N Robberson Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,425 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2153 N National Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1163 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 916 N Pickwick Ave Springfield, MO | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1827 | $1,700 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2221 N Weller Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2230 N Campbell Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,095 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 616 W Webster St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1178 | $1,050 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 501 W Central St Springfield, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 138 Park Central Sq Springfield, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1083 | $2,489 | $2.30 | 15d | 8 | 1.47mi |
| 1014 E Walnut St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 1112 E Walnut St Apt 2 Springfield, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2240 | $2,450 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-07remarks 499-char remark
-
2026-06-07$179,000 Pending 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,083 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,736 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$653/yr (+$54/mo · 60.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,413
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$1,083
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,313
- − Management
- −$1,313
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$3,425
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$822
- After-tax cash flow
- $546/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield R-XII
- NCES district ID
- 2928860
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,886
- Composite
- 32.45/100
- National rank
- #5717
- State rank
- #174 of 324 in MO
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #4121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, MO
- County
- Greene County · 244,327 people
- City population
- 223,044
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,882
- Household income
- $50,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,054 people
- By 2030
- 335,135 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 366,186 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 397,431 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 477,035 · +49.5%
- By 2100
- 520,828 · +63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.08%
- Current HPI
- 205.0439
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.24%
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+163.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Pending — SOMO
- 2026-06-04 Listed $179,000 SOMO
- 2025-12-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-11-25 Relisted — SOMO
- 2025-10-27 Pending — SOMO
- 2025-10-17 Listed $68,000 SOMO
- 2025-10-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,083 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…