81278 Basswood Ln · Agenda, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$72,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
(159/DW) Looking for a recreational headquarters or a fixer upper? Here it is! Situated on a 9.07+/- wooded acre parcel on Basswood Lane northeast of Butternut is this 1987 14x70? mobile home. It is in need of some updates, TLC, and is being sold ?as is?. Currently no working septic system. The home has metal siding and a rubber membrane roof. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 bath and a roomy kitchen/living room area. The mobile home is on blocks and is skirted. Small open-sided storage area. Gravel drive. $72,900.
Key facts
- Wooded acre parcel
- Metal siding
- Gravel drive
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $73k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Butternut School District (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #369 of 426 in WI (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($504 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
- Ashland County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $73k implies a 811% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.36%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $74,704
- List price
- $72,900
- Delta
- -2.41%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
5.4% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $41,598
- Equity at exit
- $43,102
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.14×
- Total profit
- $104,948
- Equity at exit
- $75,913
Cash invested: $20,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54514
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,004 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$382
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $204/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $363
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,225
- Closing costs
- $2,187
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $72,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $72,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $72,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $72,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $72,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $72,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-05-15historical 511-char remark
Show marketing remark (511 chars)
(159/DW) Looking for a recreational headquarters or a fixer upper? Here it is! Situated on a 9.07+/- wooded acre parcel on Basswood Lane northeast of Butternut is this 1987 14x70? mobile home. It is in need of some updates, TLC, and is being sold ?as is?. Currently no working septic system. The home has metal siding and a rubber membrane roof. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 bath and a roomy kitchen/living room area. The mobile home is on blocks and is skirted. Small open-sided storage area. Gravel drive. $72,900.
-
2025-11-14$72,900 Active 511-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
(159/DW) Looking for a recreational headquarters or a fixer upper? Here it is! Situated on a 9.07+/- wooded acre parcel on Basswood Lane northeast of Butternut is this 1987 14x70’ mobile home. It is in need of some updates, TLC, and is being sold “as is”. Currently no working septic system. The home has metal siding and a rubber membrane roof. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 bath and a roomy kitchen/living room area. The mobile home is on blocks and is skirted. Small open-sided storage area. Gravel drive. $72,900. 2025 taxes: $564. (PAR W ½ E ½ NW ¼, 10-41N-1W. Full legal description on file in listing office. )
-
2025-11-14$72,900 Active 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
(159/DW) Looking for a recreational headquarters or a fixer upper? Here it is! Situated on a 9.07+/- wooded acre parcel on Basswood Lane northeast of Butternut is this 1987 14x70’ mobile home. It is in need of some updates, TLC, and is being sold “as is”. Currently no working septic system. The home has metal siding and a rubber membrane roof. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 bath and a roomy kitchen/living room area. The mobile home is on blocks and is skirted. Small open-sided storage area. Gravel drive. $72,900. 2025 taxes: $564. (PAR W ½ E ½ NW ¼, 10-41N-1W. Full legal description on file in listing office. )
-
2006-01-27soldstatus $8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $204 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $776 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$572/yr (+$48/mo · 280.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,046
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,084
- − Property taxes
- −$204
- − Insurance
- −$364
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$964
- − Management
- −$964
- − Depreciation
- −$2,121
- Taxable income
- $3,346
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$803
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,557/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Butternut School District
- NCES district ID
- 5501920
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▲ 15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,700
- Composite
- 30.01/100
- National rank
- #11635
- State rank
- #369 of 426 in WI
Livability — Agenda
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,810
Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,204 people
- By 2030
- 14,639 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 13,198 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 11,841 · -22.1%
- By 2075
- 9,755 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 8,675 · -42.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 46.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.4pp toward R · 2008: 37.1pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+11.0 2016: D+8.9 2012: D+30.8 2008: D+37.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.40%
- Current HPI
- 168.3677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+811.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listing Removed — RANWW
- 2025-11-14 Listed $72,900 GNMLS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $72,900 RANWW
- 2006-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $204 · +14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…