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2211 W 3rd St
D Composite 43.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.9/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,000

2211 W 3rd St · Waterloo, IA 50701
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,589 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1942 6,100 sqft lot Est $173k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this 3 bedroom 2 bath home walking distance to the local park, public pool, and golf course. This home has everything you want from the inviting living room with beautiful hardwood floors, coved ceilings and a charming fireplace to the spacious dining room to host all your friends and family. The spectacular primary suite on the second floor with vaulted ceilings, an attached bath, a separate sitting room with additional space for an office, offers that perfect oasis to end your day or enjoy your morning coffee. Updates include: Rainsoft water softener and filtration system, vinyl windows, furnace/central air, garage doors, and spray foam insulation in the attic and upstairs walls.

Key facts

  • Spacious dining room
  • Cozy fireplace
  • Coved ceilings

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSCOVED CEILINGSCOZY FIREPLACESPACIOUS DINING ROOMWALKING DISTANCE TO PARKRAINSOFT WATER SOFTENER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential single-family home; R-2 zoning
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Basement: block construction, unfinished
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Alley access with paved road

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Hardwood flooring; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the lower level; Unfinished block basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $164k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-580/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (5.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (13.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Kingsley Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #273 of 616 statewide, top 51%, 343 students, 53% FRL); Hoover Middle School (math 68% / reading 72%, grade A, #112 of 246 statewide, top 45%, 883 students, 59% FRL); West High School (math 55% / reading 63%, grade C+, #273 of 336 statewide, top 81%, 1,652 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Waterloo Community School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 285 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $141,308 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.26%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$173,201
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
520 Kingsley Ave 0.27mi 4/2.0 1,655 (+4%) 3mo $162,000 $98 78
411 Kingsley Ave 0.38mi 4/3.0 1,541 (-3%) 7mo $167,500 $109 68
928 Kingsley Ave Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,412 (-11%) 1mo $89,000 $63 65
217 Reber Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,582 (-0%) 8mo $123,000 $78 61
203 Kingbard Blvd 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,632 (+3%) 7mo $154,900 $95 60
215 Frederic Ave 0.64mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,506 (-5%) 3mo $210,500 $140 52
418 Bayard St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,456 (-8%) 5mo $35,000 $24 44
928 Kimball Ave. Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,425 (-10%) 5mo $183,000 $128 44
1318 W 2nd St 0.64mi 4/2.0 1,804 (+14%) 6mo $53,000 $29 42
129 Graceline Blvd 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,796 (+13%) 8mo $210,000 $117 40
150 Hawthorne Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,363 (-14%) 3mo $187,000 $137 30
2033 Casper Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,360 (-14%) 8mo $159,000 $117 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.8% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.4%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-28,469
Equity at exit
$24,453
10-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-23,810
Equity at exit
$14,180

Cash invested: $45,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50701

Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
285
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,413 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$860
Tax from tax record
$236 /mo · $2,836/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$-48

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,474
Max offer price $155,456
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $44 -5% $-2 +0% $-48 +5% $-95 +10% $-141
Rent -10% $-160 -5% $-104 +0% $-48 +5% $7 +10% $63
Rate -1.0pp $34 -0.5pp $-7 base $-48 +0.5pp $-91 +1.0pp $-134

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,000
Closing costs
$4,920
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2539 W 3rd St Waterloo, IA 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,695 $1.41 22d 1 0.30mi
1014 Fletcher Ave Waterloo, IA 4.0 3.5 2123 $2,450 $1.15 45d 1 0.43mi
719 Marsh St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1224 $1,100 $0.90 22d 1 0.50mi
616 Kimball Ave Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1302 $1,100 $0.84 45d 1 0.54mi
1427 W 2nd St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,250 $1.00 45d 1 0.57mi
416 Sunnyside Ave Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1200 $825 $0.69 45d 1 0.95mi
418 Sunnyside Ave Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1200 $675 $0.56 45d 1 0.95mi
905 Baltimore St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.5 1392 $1,025 $0.74 45d 1 0.96mi
2215 Falls Ave Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,400 $1.09 45d 1 1.04mi
1247 Doreen Ave Waterloo, IA 4.0 1.0 1288 $1,500 $1.16 22d 1 1.08mi
1141 Lantern Sq Waterloo, IA 2.0–3.0 1.5 1119 $1,200 $1.07 22d 5 1.45mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $164,000 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $164,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $164,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,836 · $236/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,836 · $236/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,957
− Mortgage interest
−$9,187
− Property taxes
−$2,836
− Insurance
−$820
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,357
− Management
−$1,357
− Depreciation
−$4,771
Taxable loss
−$3,370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$809
After-tax cash flow
$228/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterloo Community School District
NCES district ID
1930480
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$42,545
Composite
43.72/100
National rank
#2950
State rank
#276 of 289 in IA

Livability — Waterloo

Score
81/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterloo, IA
County
Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
City population
69,066
Metro
Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
Population (ZIP)
30,232
Household income
$61,475
Rent vs Own
32.8% rent · 67.2% own
Severe rent burden
1377.0

Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
139,716 people
By 2030
142,853 · +2.2%
By 2040
147,843 · +5.8%
By 2050
153,247 · +9.7%
By 2075
167,977 · +20.2%
By 2100
177,320 · +26.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 11% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Italian 3% American 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.19%
Current HPI
162.8951
Rent YoY
▲ 3.80%
Metro
Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+46.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $164,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-06-17 Sold (MLS) $170,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-05-05 Listed $142,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2016-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
  • 2016-05-20 Sold (MLS) $112,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2015-12-30 Listed $112,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,836 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…