600 S Elm · Hope, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- ARV discount +2.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT RENTAL PROPERTY 2 Bed, 2 Bath with approx. 1392 Sq. Ft. of living space. Central AC & Heat. Property also has a Garage Apartment that has kitchen, living area, 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. PROPERTY TO BE SOLD AS-IS.
Key facts
- Central ac
- Heat
- Garage apartment
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#161 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, schools F, crime F.
- Hope School District (town): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #221 of 238 in AR (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Hempstead County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hempstead County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 267 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 267 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.68%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,046
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- 11.19%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Cherry Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,372 (-1%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $55 | 67 |
| 722 E 6th St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,430 (+3%) | 14mo | $142,000 | $99 | 53 |
| 613 S Walnut St | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,216 (-13%) | 15mo | $17,500 | $14 | 52 |
| 1301 Peach St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,542 (+11%) | 3mo | $171,500 | $111 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $4,972
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $29,233
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71801
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,080 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $535/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $305
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $355 | -5% $330 | +0% $305 | +5% $280 | +10% $255 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $220 | -5% $262 | +0% $305 | +5% $348 | +10% $390 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $350 | -0.5pp $328 | base $305 | +0.5pp $282 | +1.0pp $258 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2025-09-23$89,000 New Listing 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
GREAT RENTAL PROPERTY 2 Bed, 2 Bath with approx. 1392 Sq. Ft. of living space. Central AC & Heat. Property also has a Garage Apartment that has kitchen, living area, 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. PROPERTY TO BE SOLD AS-IS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $535 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $570 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$35/yr (+$3/mo · 6.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,961
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$535
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,037
- − Management
- −$1,037
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $2,333
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$560
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,099/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hope School District
- NCES district ID
- 0507840
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,285
- Composite
- 13.71/100
- National rank
- #9495
- State rank
- #221 of 238 in AR
Livability — Hope
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #13723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hope, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,907
Population outlook (Hempstead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,807 people
- By 2030
- 19,949 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 18,236 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 16,466 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 12,676 · -39.1%
- By 2100
- 9,314 · -55.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Hempstead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.2% · R 68.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: -19.1pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.22%
- Current HPI
- 136.8593
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-09-23 Listed $89,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $535 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…