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1107 14th St
B+ Composite 79.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

1107 14th St · Lynchburg, VA 24504
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1978 5,380 sqft lot Est $119k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home is in the heart of Lynchburg with so much potential on a private lot and off street parking. The home offers a great floorplan and an opportunity to put the details in a home that you are looking for. Being sold as-is. Come make this home into your own.

Key facts

  • Private lot
  • Off street parking
  • Great floorplan

Tags

PRIVATE LOTOFF STREET PARKINGGREAT FLOORPLAN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation; Built with vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 4.0% in Lynchburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 91/100 on livability (#1 in VA, #58 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
  • Lynchburg City Public School District (urban): math 36% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #104 of 131 in VA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Heritage High (math 32% / reading 77%, grade C-, #281 of 319 statewide, top 90%, 1,073 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 61% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 472 units permitted in Lynchburg city in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lynchburg County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $65k implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.76%
Cap rate
15.08%
Cash-on-cash
31.37%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$119,040
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1107 14th St 0.00mi 2/1.0 768 (0%) 0mo $55,000 $72 100
1613 13th St 0.32mi 2/1.0 736 (-4%) 13mo $138,000 $188 67
1506 Monroe St 0.10mi 2/1.0 825 (+7%) 19mo $138,500 $168 67
2024 Poplar St 0.52mi 2/1.0 741 (-4%) 11mo $115,000 $155 61
1214 Pierce St. St 0.28mi 2/1.0 854 (+11%) 13mo $104,900 $123 57
1130 Tyree St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 792 (+3%) 0mo $65,539 $83 57
1112 Virginia St 0.72mi 2/1.0 768 (0%) 13mo $149,900 $195 56
1504 Garfield Ave Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 757 (-1%) 12mo $126,100 $167 53
2204 Preston St 0.69mi 2/1.0 750 (-2%) 15mo $115,900 $155 52
1911 Bransford St 0.40mi 1/1.0 (-1) 880 (+15%) 9mo $135,000 $153 44
626 Florida Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 663 (-14%) 18mo $27,000 $41 33
214 Pine St 0.62mi 2/1.0 883 (+15%) 21mo $133,000 $151 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$21,565
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
36.3%
Equity multiple
4.60×
Total profit
$65,475
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24504

Home prices YoY
-12.7%
Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,143 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $727/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$475

Break-even live

Break-even rent $542
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $512 -5% $493 +0% $475 +5% $457 +10% $438
Rent -10% $385 -5% $430 +0% $475 +5% $520 +10% $565
Rate -1.0pp $508 -0.5pp $492 base $475 +0.5pp $458 +1.0pp $441

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1810 Laurel St Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 720 $995 $1.38 44d 1 0.23mi
1106 Pierce St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 1018 $875 $0.86 21d 1 0.34mi
900 Polk St Unit A Lynchburg, VA 3.0 1.0 1100 $895 $0.81 14d 1 0.35mi
1308 Clay St Apt 2 Lynchburg, VA 1.0 1.0 750 $995 $1.33 21d 1 0.40mi
1401 Kemper St Lynchburg, VA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1118 $707 $0.63 21d 6 0.47mi
1217 Church St Unit 210 Lynchburg, VA 1.0 1.0 635 $1,150 $1.81 14d 1 0.50mi
1500 Main St Lynchburg, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0 1182 $1,600 $1.35 14d 6 0.59mi
801 Church St Unit 6 Lynchburg, VA 1.0 1.0 675 $1,200 $1.78 44d 1 0.64mi
801 Church St Unit 8 Lynchburg, VA 2.0 2.0 875 $1,850 $2.11 14d 1 0.64mi
51 11th St Lynchburg, VA 1.0 1.0 608 $1,295 $2.13 14d 1 0.70mi
317 Polk St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 925 $1,650 $1.78 44d 1 0.72mi
723 Jefferson St Lynchburg, VA 1.0 1.0 723 $1,095 $1.51 14d 1 0.79mi
2107 Park Ave Unit 4 Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 800 $785 $0.98 14d 1 0.82mi
612 Commerce St Lynchburg, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 716 $1,250 $1.74 14d 2 0.82mi
2021 Rose Ln Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 836 $1,095 $1.31 21d 1 0.84mi
2336 Aragon St Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 1042 $995 $0.95 14d 1 0.86mi
317 Grove St Unit A Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 44d 1 0.95mi
318 Wadsworth St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 1.0 943 $995 $1.06 21d 1 0.97mi
1625 Shaffer St Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 895 $850 $0.95 44d 1 0.99mi
1705 1st St Unit A Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 21d 1 0.99mi
2734 Fort Ave Lynchburg, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 875 $1,450 $1.66 44d 1 1.03mi
905 Centerdale St Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 780 $895 $1.15 14d 1 1.05mi
2518 Carter St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 1091 $1,500 $1.37 44d 1 1.07mi
2205 Easley Ave Lynchburg, VA 2.0 2.0 870 $1,400 $1.61 44d 1 1.13mi
216 Kenyon St Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 1114 $995 $0.89 44d 1 1.18mi
803 Mansfield Ave Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 21d 1 1.43mi
2245 Landover Pl Lynchburg, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 925 $870 $0.94 44d 2 1.50mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-23
    listed $64,900 Active
  3. 1988-09-30
    soldstatus $22,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$727 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$727 · $61/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,717
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$727
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,097
− Management
−$1,097
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$4,947
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,187
After-tax cash flow
$4,513/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lynchburg City Public School District
NCES district ID
5102340
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$39,097
Composite
40.4/100
National rank
#3730
State rank
#104 of 131 in VA

Livability — Lynchburg

Score
91/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#58

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lynchburg, VA
County
Lynchburg City · 97,036 people
City population
97,036
Metro
Lynchburg, VA
Population (ZIP)
9,632
Household income
$52,571
Rent vs Own
46.4% rent · 53.6% own
Severe rent burden
552.0

Population outlook (Lynchburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
87,977 people
By 2030
93,626 · +6.4%
By 2040
106,145 · +20.7%
By 2050
120,783 · +37.3%
By 2075
162,249 · +84.4%
By 2100
191,358 · +117.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 40% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lynchburg

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -7.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.9 2020: D+2.6 2016: R+9.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: R+4.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.39%
Current HPI
229.4423
Rent YoY
▲ 4.56%
Metro
Lynchburg, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+188.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending LMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $64,900 LMLS
  • 1988-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $727 · +61.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…