1818 S Olive St · Pine Bluff, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check out this 3 bed -1.5 bath ready to go! Located in a busy commercial area, this home could be used as an office or a nice family home! Home has some updates such as new roof, AC and windows in 2023. Large rooms and tall ceilings! Home could easily be converted to a 2 bath as well. Includes a laundry area, carport, and a bonus room added to front of home! Call or text to set up a showing appointment!
Key facts
- Ac
- Laundry area
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA fee frequency: Annual
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; 2 to 3 car capacity
- Utilities: Public sewer; Municipal electric (Entergy); Natural gas
- Home design: Wood exterior
- Construction: Crawl space foundation; 3-tab shingle roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Bedrooms: Laundry listed as a room
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heat (gas); Central cooling (electric)
- Interior features: Gas logs fireplace; Vinyl flooring; Formal living room; Bonus room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 8.9% in Pine Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#483 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Pine Bluff School District (urban): math 6% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #236 of 238 in AR (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 211 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.31%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $51,467
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- 53.50%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 315 W 15th Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,856 (-3%) | 0mo | $3,500 | $2 | 82 |
| 511 W 20th Ave | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,829 (-4%) | 11mo | $22,000 | $12 | 71 |
| 1840 S Oak St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 2,110 (+11%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $47 | 68 |
| 402 W 15th Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,778 (-7%) | 10mo | $97,500 | $55 | 68 |
| 906 W 15th Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,963 (+3%) | 13mo | $22,500 | $11 | 67 |
| 817 S Walnut St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,682 (-12%) | 4mo | $9,000 | $5 | 45 |
| 1000 W 12th | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,688 (-11%) | 16mo | $129,900 | $77 | 41 |
| 1612 W 15th Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,772 (-7%) | 23mo | $14,000 | $8 | 35 |
| 300 W 11th Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,710 (-10%) | 22mo | $76,500 | $45 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $13,366
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $45,264
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71603
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Active inventory
- 211
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,125 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $359/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $411
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $456 | -5% $434 | +0% $411 | +5% $389 | +10% $367 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $322 | -5% $367 | +0% $411 | +5% $456 | +10% $500 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $451 | -0.5pp $431 | base $411 | +0.5pp $391 | +1.0pp $370 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 S Beech St Pine Bluff, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $850 | $0.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-26$79,000 New Listing 408-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $359 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $506 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- +$146/yr (+$12/mo · 40.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,495
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$359
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,080
- − Management
- −$1,080
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $3,858
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$926
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,009/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pine Bluff School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500026
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,374
- Composite
- 5.86/100
- National rank
- #10014
- State rank
- #236 of 238 in AR
Livability — Pine Bluff
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #483
- US rank
- #25645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Bluff, AR
- County
- Jefferson County · 29,578 people
- City population
- 29,578
- Metro
- Pine Bluff, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,578
- Household income
- $53,130
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 657.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,110 people
- By 2030
- 58,519 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 49,740 · -21.2%
- By 2050
- 42,331 · -32.9%
- By 2075
- 29,591 · -53.1%
- By 2100
- 21,047 · -66.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 33% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.43%
- Current HPI
- 206.5994
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pine Bluff, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Listed $79,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $359 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…