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1804 W Tepee St #19
C- Composite 50.21
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$36,000

1804 W Tepee St #19 · Apache Junction, AZ 85120
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured · 47 Days on market
Built 1979 Good condition Est $64k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordable, move-in ready living with scenic views - welcome home! This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is located in a gated Active Adult community and offers beautiful mountain views right from your doorstep. Well-maintained and ready for its next owner, the home includes a refrigerator, washer, and dryer for added convenience. Outside, you'll find a storage shed and two covered carport spaces. Enjoy a welcoming community with amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, and fitness center, perfect for relaxing and staying active. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a low-maintenance retreat, this home offers comfort, value, and lifestyle!

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1979

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Land lease of $640 per month; No association fees included; Community amenities: Pool, Fitness Center, Gated

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold property
  • Construction: Metal siding and wood frame construction; Metal roof; Building area reported by owner
  • Exterior features: Gravel/stone front; Shed(s) on the property; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator included
  • Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: High-speed internet available; Eat-in kitchen; Full bathroom in primary bedroom
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $36k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $995 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 39.5% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Four Peaks Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #898 of 1,109 statewide, top 83%, 498 students, 73% FRL); Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $249 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $34,920 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.37%
Cap rate
39.46%
Cash-on-cash
118.45%
DSCR
6.27
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$64,288
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1804 W Tepee St #64 0.01mi 2/1.5 784 (0%) 16mo $39,000 $50 84
1784 N Main Dr 0.16mi 2/1.0 833 (+6%) 4mo $249,995 $300 79
1804 W Tepee St #34 0.01mi 2/1.5 840 (+7%) 16mo $27,000 $32 72
1030 N Delaware Dr #17 0.58mi 2/1.0 780 (-0%) 8mo $16,000 $21 66
2338 W Shiprock St 0.36mi 2/1.5 721 (-8%) 9mo $250,000 $347 60
1644 N Desert View Dr N 0.51mi 2/2.0 846 (+8%) 7mo $271,500 $321 53
929 N Delaware Dr #25 0.54mi 1/1.0 (-1) 730 (-7%) 8mo $27,000 $37 52
1776 N San Marcos Dr 0.61mi 2/1.0 841 (+7%) 14mo $385,000 $458 48
1325 N Delaware Dr 0.37mi 2/1.5 896 (+14%) 12mo $25,000 $28 47
1150 N Delaware Dr #24 0.58mi 2/2.0 896 (+14%) 2mo $28,000 $31 44
2292 N Ironwood Dr #89 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 672 (-14%) 14mo $55,000 $82 38
985 W Roundup St 0.61mi 2/2.0 896 (+14%) 12mo $330,000 $368 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.25×
Total profit
$52,948
Equity at exit
$5,368
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.91×
Total profit
$109,973
Equity at exit
$3,113

Cash invested: $10,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85120

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
468
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,574 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$189
Tax est. 1.5%
$45 /mo · $540/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$995

Break-even live

Break-even rent $315
Max offer price $36,000
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,020 -5% $1,007 +0% $995 +5% $983 +10% $970
Rent -10% $871 -5% $933 +0% $995 +5% $1,057 +10% $1,119
Rate -1.0pp $1,013 -0.5pp $1,004 base $995 +0.5pp $986 +1.0pp $976

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,000
Closing costs
$1,080
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2185 W Ohio St Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 5d 1 0.71mi
455 N Delaware Dr Unit 7 Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,900 $1.79 26d 1 0.78mi
135 N Palo Verde Dr Apache Junction, AZ 1.0 1.0 750 $915 $1.22 21d 1 0.95mi
135 N Palo Verde Dr Unit 8 Apache Junction, AZ 1.0 1.0 750 $925 $1.23 25d 1 0.95mi
1440 N Idaho Rd Apache Junction, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1010 $1,900 $1.88 26d 3 1.14mi
455 S Delaware Dr Unit 179 Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.0 1060 $2,395 $2.26 26d 1 1.38mi
455 S Delaware Dr Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.0 1060 $2,048 $1.93 22d 2 1.38mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $36,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $36,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $36,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $36,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $36,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $36,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $36,000 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $36,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $36,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $36,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $36,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $36,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $36,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $36,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-05
    listed $36,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥111°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,893
− Mortgage interest
−$2,017
− Property taxes
−$540
− Insurance
−$180
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,511
− Management
−$1,511
− Depreciation
−$1,047
Taxable income
$12,086
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,901
After-tax cash flow
$9,039/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready mobile home in a gated community offers a good condition with modern updates and scenic views. Minor touch-ups and maintenance can further enhance its appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, which is important for renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, which is important for renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
NCES district ID
0400790
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,930
Composite
15.34/100
National rank
#9325
State rank
#195 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Apache Junction

Score
66/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#11242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Apache Junction, AZ
County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
56,611
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
31,191
Household income
$57,786
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
686.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.31%
Current HPI
313.4666
Rent YoY
▼ -3.50%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $36,000 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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