301 Norwood Ave · Laurence Harbor, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$429,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 301 Norwood Avenue. This is an incredible opportunity to own in an area where home values continue to rise! This spacious home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, thoughtfully laid out to provide both comfort and functionality. The main level features a convenient primary bedroom, along with newer flooring that enhances the home's modern feel. The kitchen is equipped with beautiful maple cabinetry and flows seamlessly into a large family room with vaulted ceilings and abundant natural light, which is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Situated on a desirable fenced in corner lot, the property also includes a covered porch for relaxing outdoors and a storage shed for added convenience. Ideally located just minutes from shopping, public transportation, major highways, and the Jersey Shore, this home offers both accessibility and lifestyle. Whether you're a homeowner or investor, this is a fantastic opportunity you won't want to miss!
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Fenced in corner lot
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $429k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-762/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $418k (2.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $362k (15.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $362k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in Laurence Harbor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#253 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety D-.
- Old Bridge Township School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #202 of 472 in NJ (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 70 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,971 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (1,193 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,624/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 875% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Middlesex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $295k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.63%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $470,665
- List price
- $429,000
- Delta
- -4.60%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 231 Hillcrest Ave | 0.10mi | 4/1.0 | 1,286 (-1%) | 4mo | $415,000 | $323 | 86 |
| 763 Prospect Ave | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,494 (+15%) | 0mo | $520,000 | $348 | 64 |
| 835 Summerfield Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,252 (-4%) | 13mo | $430,000 | $343 | 53 |
| 107 Boulevard West Blvd | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,422 (+9%) | 2mo | $485,000 | $341 | 52 |
| 537 Prospect Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,453 (+11%) | 18mo | $427,000 | $294 | 51 |
| 75 Shoreland Cir | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,392 (+7%) | 14mo | $520,000 | $374 | 49 |
| 145 Twilight Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,272 (-2%) | 17mo | $540,000 | $425 | 46 |
| 367-367 Laurence Pkwy | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,492 (+14%) | 21mo | $390,000 | $261 | 45 |
| 269 Garfield Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,156 (-11%) | 7mo | $405,000 | $350 | 44 |
| 890 State Route 35 Hwy | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,428 (+10%) | 21mo | $295,000 | $207 | 41 |
| 165 Bayview Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,216 (-7%) | 20mo | $415,000 | $341 | 40 |
| 70 Woodshore W | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,420 (+9%) | 10mo | $599,900 | $422 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-81,937
- Equity at exit
- $63,965
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-109,336
- Equity at exit
- $37,092
Cash invested: $120,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08879
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,624 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,250
- Tax from tax record
- −$498 /mo · $5,977/yr
- Insurance
- −$179
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$761
- Net cashflow
- $-63
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $107,250
- Closing costs
- $12,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Lake Ave Keyport, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $3,300 | $3.67 | 1d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 171 Center St Keyport, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $3,300 | $2.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $429,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $429,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $429,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $429,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $429,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $449,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $449,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $449,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $449,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $449,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $449,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $449,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $449,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-07historical Under Contract - Attorney Review 979-char remark
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Welcome to 301 Norwood Avenue. This is an incredible opportunity to own in an area where home values continue to rise! This spacious home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, thoughtfully laid out to provide both comfort and functionality. The main level features a convenient primary bedroom, along with newer flooring that enhances the home's modern feel. The kitchen is equipped with beautiful maple cabinetry and flows seamlessly into a large family room with vaulted ceilings and abundant natural light, which is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Situated on a desirable fenced in corner lot, the property also includes a covered porch for relaxing outdoors and a storage shed for added convenience. Ideally located just minutes from shopping, public transportation, major highways, and the Jersey Shore, this home offers both accessibility and lifestyle. Whether you're a homeowner or investor, this is a fantastic opportunity you won't want to miss!
-
2026-04-30$459,000 Active 977-char remark
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Welcome to 301 Norwood Avenue. This is an incredible opportunity to own in an area where home values continue to rise! This spacious home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, thoughtfully laid out to provide both comfort and functionality. The main level features a convenient primary bedroom, along with newer flooring that enhances the home's modern feel. The kitchen is equipped with beautiful maple cabinetry and flows seamlessly into a large family room with vaulted ceilings and abundant natural light, which is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Situated on a desirable fenced in corner lot, the property also includes a covered porch for relaxing outdoors and a storage shed for added convenience. Ideally located just minutes from shopping, public transportation, major highways, and the Jersey Shore, this home offers both accessibility and lifestyle. Whether you're a homeowner or investor, this is a fantastic opportunity you won't want to miss!
-
2026-04-30$459,000 Active 979-char remark
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Welcome to 301 Norwood Avenue. This is an incredible opportunity to own in an area where home values continue to rise! This spacious home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, thoughtfully laid out to provide both comfort and functionality. The main level features a convenient primary bedroom, along with newer flooring that enhances the home's modern feel. The kitchen is equipped with beautiful maple cabinetry and flows seamlessly into a large family room with vaulted ceilings and abundant natural light, which is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Situated on a desirable fenced in corner lot, the property also includes a covered porch for relaxing outdoors and a storage shed for added convenience. Ideally located just minutes from shopping, public transportation, major highways, and the Jersey Shore, this home offers both accessibility and lifestyle. Whether you're a homeowner or investor, this is a fantastic opportunity you won't want to miss!
-
2026-04-29historical $459,000 979-char remark
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Welcome to 301 Norwood Avenue. This is an incredible opportunity to own in an area where home values continue to rise! This spacious home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, thoughtfully laid out to provide both comfort and functionality. The main level features a convenient primary bedroom, along with newer flooring that enhances the home's modern feel. The kitchen is equipped with beautiful maple cabinetry and flows seamlessly into a large family room with vaulted ceilings and abundant natural light, which is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Situated on a desirable fenced in corner lot, the property also includes a covered porch for relaxing outdoors and a storage shed for added convenience. Ideally located just minutes from shopping, public transportation, major highways, and the Jersey Shore, this home offers both accessibility and lifestyle. Whether you're a homeowner or investor, this is a fantastic opportunity you won't want to miss!
-
2026-04-28historical $459,000 977-char remark
Show marketing remark (977 chars)
Welcome to 301 Norwood Avenue. This is an incredible opportunity to own in an area where home values continue to rise! This spacious home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, thoughtfully laid out to provide both comfort and functionality. The main level features a convenient primary bedroom, along with newer flooring that enhances the home's modern feel. The kitchen is equipped with beautiful maple cabinetry and flows seamlessly into a large family room with vaulted ceilings and abundant natural light, which is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Situated on a desirable fenced in corner lot, the property also includes a covered porch for relaxing outdoors and a storage shed for added convenience. Ideally located just minutes from shopping, public transportation, major highways, and the Jersey Shore, this home offers both accessibility and lifestyle. Whether you're a homeowner or investor, this is a fantastic opportunity you won't want to miss!
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2019-10-24soldstatus $295,000
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2019-10-11soldstatus $295,000 Sold
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2019-10-11soldstatus $295,000 Closed
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2019-10-11soldstatus $295,000 Sold
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2019-09-04historical
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2019-09-03historical
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2019-09-03status Pending
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2019-08-29price $294,999
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2019-08-29price $294,999
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2019-08-29price $294,999
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2019-06-28price $284,999
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2019-06-28price $284,999
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2019-06-28price $284,999
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2019-05-02price $290,000
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2019-05-02price $290,000
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2019-05-02price $290,000
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2019-04-11status Active
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2019-04-08historical
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2019-03-25$300,000 Active
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2019-03-25$300,000 Active
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2019-03-25$300,000 Active
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2006-06-20soldstatus $337,000
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2006-06-01soldstatus $33,700
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2006-01-16$336,900
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1983-06-01soldstatus $21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,977 · $498/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,329 · $694/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,353/yr (+$196/mo · 39.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,489
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,031
- − Property taxes
- −$5,977
- − Insurance
- −$2,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,479
- − Management
- −$3,479
- − Depreciation
- −$12,480
- Taxable loss
- −$8,101
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,944
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,182/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Old Bridge Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3409270
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,654
- Composite
- 38.85/100
- National rank
- #4104
- State rank
- #202 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Laurence Harbor
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #253
- US rank
- #7081
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Laurence Harbor, NJ
- County
- Middlesex County · 714,427 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,556
- Household income
- $92,786
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 875.0
Population outlook (Middlesex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 901,713 people
- By 2030
- 930,661 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 986,276 · +9.4%
- By 2050
- 1,038,920 · +15.2%
- By 2075
- 1,159,418 · +28.6%
- By 2100
- 1,221,973 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Scotch-Irish 2% Russian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Middlesex
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.0) · D 52.5% · R 44.5% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.8pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 8.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.0 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+19.8 2012: D+27.0 2008: D+21.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -193.57%
- Current HPI
- 328.4992
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.64%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+2085.7% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — CJMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $459,000 MOMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $459,000 CJMLS
- 2026-04-29 Coming Soon $459,000 CJMLS
- 2026-04-28 Coming Soon $459,000 MOMLS
- 2019-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $295,000 Public Records
- 2019-10-11 Sold (MLS) $295,000 GSMLS
- 2019-10-11 Sold (MLS) $295,000 CJMLS
- 2019-10-11 Sold (MLS) $295,000 MOMLS
- 2019-09-04 Delisted — CJMLS
- 2019-09-03 Delisted — GSMLS
- 2019-09-03 Pending — MOMLS
- 2019-08-29 Price Changed $294,999 GSMLS
- 2019-08-29 Price Changed $294,999 CJMLS
- 2019-08-29 Price Changed $294,999 MOMLS
- 2019-06-28 Price Changed $284,999 GSMLS
- 2019-06-28 Price Changed $284,999 CJMLS
- 2019-06-28 Price Changed $284,999 MOMLS
- 2019-05-02 Price Changed $290,000 GSMLS
- 2019-05-02 Price Changed $290,000 CJMLS
- 2019-05-02 Price Changed $290,000 MOMLS
- 2019-04-11 Relisted — MOMLS
- 2019-04-08 Delisted — MOMLS
- 2019-03-25 Listed $300,000 GSMLS
- 2019-03-25 Listed $300,000 CJMLS
- 2019-03-25 Listed $300,000 MOMLS
- 2006-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $337,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-01 Sold (MLS) $33,700 CJMLS
- 2006-01-16 Listed $336,900 CJMLS
- 1983-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,977 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…