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200 Back St
B+ Composite 78.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +7.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$65,000

200 Back St · Winthrop, ME 04265
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 836 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1962 2.00 ac lot ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Location! This comfortable two bedroom ranch style home is situated on over 2 private acres. Beautiful level backyard with deck and fire pit. Open concept floor plan with Applianced kitchen, dining area and large Livingroom. Plus an enclosed front porch. Perfect for an office or den. Paved driveway and oversized one car garage for vehicles and storage. Updated systems and easy maintenance vinyl siding and metal roof.

Key facts

  • 2 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1962

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 2.1% in Winthrop — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#76 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • RSU 02 (rural): math 83% / reading 87% proficiency, ranked #52 of 112 in ME (top 46%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 460 units permitted in Kennebec County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $910 appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Kennebec County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.91%
Cap rate
14.21%
Cash-on-cash
28.26%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.4% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.4%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$29,879
Equity at exit
$23,551
10-year hold
IRR
33.4%
Equity multiple
5.14×
Total profit
$75,312
Equity at exit
$32,378

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04265

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,239 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$182 /mo · $2,186/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$429

Break-even live

Break-even rent $696
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $465 -5% $447 +0% $429 +5% $410 +10% $392
Rent -10% $331 -5% $380 +0% $429 +5% $478 +10% $527
Rate -1.0pp $461 -0.5pp $445 base $429 +0.5pp $412 +1.0pp $395

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-01-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-08
    listed $65,000 Active
  3. 2024-07-22
    price $65,000
  4. 2024-07-08
    price $79,900
  5. 2021-10-15
    soldstatus $135,000 Closed 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    Great Location! This comfortable two bedroom ranch style home is situated on over 2 private acres. Beautiful level backyard with deck and fire pit. Open concept floor plan with Applianced kitchen, dining area and large Livingroom. Plus an enclosed front porch. Perfect for an office or den. Paved driveway and oversized one car garage for vehicles and storage. Updated systems and easy maintenance vinyl siding and metal roof.

  6. 2021-08-31
    status Pending 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    Great Location! This comfortable two bedroom ranch style home is situated on over 2 private acres. Beautiful level backyard with deck and fire pit. Open concept floor plan with Applianced kitchen, dining area and large Livingroom. Plus an enclosed front porch. Perfect for an office or den. Paved driveway and oversized one car garage for vehicles and storage. Updated systems and easy maintenance vinyl siding and metal roof.

  7. 2021-08-26
    price $135,000 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    Great Location! This comfortable two bedroom ranch style home is situated on over 2 private acres. Beautiful level backyard with deck and fire pit. Open concept floor plan with Applianced kitchen, dining area and large Livingroom. Plus an enclosed front porch. Perfect for an office or den. Paved driveway and oversized one car garage for vehicles and storage. Updated systems and easy maintenance vinyl siding and metal roof.

  8. 2021-08-26
    status Active 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    Great Location! This comfortable two bedroom ranch style home is situated on over 2 private acres. Beautiful level backyard with deck and fire pit. Open concept floor plan with Applianced kitchen, dining area and large Livingroom. Plus an enclosed front porch. Perfect for an office or den. Paved driveway and oversized one car garage for vehicles and storage. Updated systems and easy maintenance vinyl siding and metal roof.

  9. 2021-08-05
    status Pending - Continue to Show 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    Great Location! This comfortable two bedroom ranch style home is situated on over 2 private acres. Beautiful level backyard with deck and fire pit. Open concept floor plan with Applianced kitchen, dining area and large Livingroom. Plus an enclosed front porch. Perfect for an office or den. Paved driveway and oversized one car garage for vehicles and storage. Updated systems and easy maintenance vinyl siding and metal roof.

  10. 2021-08-02
    listed $140,000 Active 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    Great Location! This comfortable two bedroom ranch style home is situated on over 2 private acres. Beautiful level backyard with deck and fire pit. Open concept floor plan with Applianced kitchen, dining area and large Livingroom. Plus an enclosed front porch. Perfect for an office or den. Paved driveway and oversized one car garage for vehicles and storage. Updated systems and easy maintenance vinyl siding and metal roof.

  11. 2008-04-28
    listed $89,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,186 · $182/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,186 · $182/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,868
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$2,186
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,189
− Management
−$1,189
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,446
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,067
After-tax cash flow
$4,077/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
RSU 02
NCES district ID
2314776
Math proficiency
83% ▲ 56.00%
Reading proficiency
87% ▲ 34.00%
Median HH income
$52,565
Composite
72.04/100
National rank
#208
State rank
#52 of 112 in ME

Livability — Winthrop

Score
69/100
State rank
#76
US rank
#8395

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment D Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
6,153
Population (ZIP)
645

Population outlook (Kennebec County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
115,421 people
By 2030
111,852 · -3.1%
By 2040
103,757 · -10.1%
By 2050
95,710 · -17.1%
By 2075
78,172 · -32.3%
By 2100
59,500 · -48.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 18% Romanian 12% Scotch-Irish 2%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kennebec

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 50.2% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-17.5pp toward R · 2008: 14.8pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+13.5 2008: D+14.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.40%
Current HPI
207.7241
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-27.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-17 Pending MREIS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $65,000 MREIS
  • 2024-07-22 Price Changed $65,000 MREIS
  • 2024-07-08 Price Changed $79,900 MREIS
  • 2021-10-15 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MREIS
  • 2021-08-31 Pending MREIS
  • 2021-08-26 Price Changed $135,000 MREIS
  • 2021-08-26 Relisted MREIS
  • 2021-08-05 Pending MREIS
  • 2021-08-02 Listed $140,000 MREIS
  • 2008-04-28 Listed $89,900 MREIS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,186 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…