3551 Washington St St · Midway, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all investors and builders! Prime opportunity in Sanford to secure a 13,939 sq ft oversized lot with endless development potential. This generously sized parcel offers the perfect canvas for new construction, redevelopment, or long-term hold. With nearly 14,000 sq ft of land, there's ample space to maximize your vision, whether you're looking to build a custom home, explore income-producing possibilities, or add to your investment portfolio. Located in a growing area with convenient access to major roadways, shopping, and local amenities, this property is positioned for future appreciation and strong demand. Sold AS-IS. Opportunities like this don't last bring your vision and secure
Key facts
- New construction
- Investment portfolio
- Oversized lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Attached property
- Exterior features: Lot of about 0.32 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances specified
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $366 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.1% in Midway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 561 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.05%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $239,112
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2236 Sipes Ave | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+9%) | 13mo | $268,000 | $254 | 58 |
| 2228 Sipes Ave | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+9%) | 14mo | $258,000 | $244 | 57 |
| 2426 Water St | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,070 (+10%) | 14mo | $267,000 | $250 | 50 |
| 2340 Jitway Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+11%) | 21mo | $240,000 | $222 | 49 |
| 2480 Randall St | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,070 (+10%) | 14mo | $272,000 | $254 | 47 |
| 2601 E 20th St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 960 (-1%) | 22mo | $218,000 | $227 | 46 |
| 2471 E 20th St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 876 (-10%) | 12mo | $231,000 | $264 | 43 |
| 2840 E 21st St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 902 (-7%) | 22mo | $170,000 | $188 | 42 |
| 2517 Daffadil Ter | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,097 (+13%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $228 | 36 |
| 2493 Daffadil Ter | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,099 (+13%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $246 | 35 |
| 2524 Daffadil Ter | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,099 (+13%) | 7mo | $260,900 | $237 | 31 |
| 2469 Daffadil Ter | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,099 (+13%) | 24mo | $289,800 | $264 | 15 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,782
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $12,851
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32771
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 561
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,559 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,561/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $366
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $439 | -5% $402 | +0% $366 | +5% $329 | +10% $292 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $242 | -5% $304 | +0% $366 | +5% $427 | +10% $489 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $431 | -0.5pp $399 | base $366 | +0.5pp $332 | +1.0pp $298 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3320 Lincoln St Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $700 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2340 Broadway St Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $800 | $0.74 | 18d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2441 Church St Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1057 | $1,550 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2561 Daffadil Ter Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2628 Daffadil Ter Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $1,995 | $1.82 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2420 Daffadil Ter Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $1,850 | $1.69 | 18d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1711 Roseberry Ln Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $2,150 | $2.18 | 5d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 131 Langston Dr Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1082 | $1,697 | $1.57 | 20d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,999 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,999 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,999 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,999 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,999 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,999 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,999 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,999 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,999 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,999 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,999 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $129,999
-
2026-04-17status Active
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-03-31$153,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,561 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,561 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,707
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,561
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,497
- − Management
- −$1,497
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $2,439
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$585
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,802/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seminole
- NCES district ID
- 1201710
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,478
- Composite
- 51.05/100
- National rank
- #1769
- State rank
- #13 of 73 in FL
Livability — Midway
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midway, FL
- County
- Seminole County · 436,154 people
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,606
- Household income
- $77,868
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2645.0
Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 515,494 people
- By 2030
- 545,713 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 598,068 · +16.0%
- By 2050
- 640,663 · +24.3%
- By 2075
- 724,461 · +40.5%
- By 2100
- 755,530 · +46.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Seminole
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.8pp no change · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.8 2016: R+1.6 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -281.27%
- Current HPI
- 299.2738
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.38%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-15.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $129,999 realMLS
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-04-16 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $153,000 realMLS
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,561 · -7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…