443 Hill Meadow Dr · Virginia Beach, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for investors! This solid 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom townhouse in Virginia Beach is priced accordingly and offers strong potential as a flip and resale or an excellent addition to a rental portfolio. The property features a functional layout and good bones, making it an ideal project for investors looking to add value. Property is being sold strictly As-Is. Estate sale. Normal financing will not qualify. Cash or appropriate alternative financing only. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, bases, and major roadways.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Hvac
- Soft-close cabinetry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Rehabilitated
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: 2 off-street spaces (driveway)
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric service
- Home design: Attached townhouse; 2 stories (2 living levels); Slab foundation
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Storage shed; Back yard with privacy wood fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with bath; One bedroom with ensuite
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan; Dual entry bath (bedroom and hall); One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (15.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $229k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
- Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Birdneck Elementary (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #866 of 1,108 statewide, top 80%, 646 students, 76% FRL); First Colonial High (math 76% / reading 81%, grade A-, #75 of 319 statewide, top 25%, 1,797 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 28% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Va Beach City Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 208 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; list at $270k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.95%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,096
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451 Hill Meadow Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,324 (0%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $204 | 97 |
| 443 Hill Meadow Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+2%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $200 | 96 |
| 400 Hill Meadow Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 1,321 (-0%) | 10mo | $268,000 | $203 | 86 |
| 483 Hill Meadow Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 1,321 (-0%) | 11mo | $270,000 | $204 | 85 |
| 1504 Hill Meadow Ct | 0.05mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,384 (+4%) | 7mo | $241,000 | $174 | 78 |
| 408 Hill Meadow Dr | 0.06mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,201 (-9%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $187 | 74 |
| 490 Hill Meadow Dr | 0.11mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,456 (+10%) | 11mo | $259,000 | $178 | 62 |
| 620 Lake Point Cir | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (+3%) | 12mo | $400,000 | $292 | 56 |
| 320 Garcia Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 1,522 (+15%) | 9mo | $365,000 | $240 | 52 |
| 1381 Old Virginia Beach Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,200 (-9%) | 12mo | $242,500 | $202 | 50 |
| 263 Sykes Ave Unit B | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,522 (+15%) | 13mo | $390,000 | $256 | 46 |
| 231 Sykes Ave #231 | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 1,522 (+15%) | 11mo | $365,000 | $240 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-27,342
- Equity at exit
- $40,258
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $24,250
- Equity at exit
- $23,345
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23454
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 208
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,294 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$161 /mo · $1,933/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$482
- Net cashflow
- $123
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $276 | -5% $199 | +0% $123 | +5% $46 | +10% $-30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-58 | -5% $32 | +0% $123 | +5% $213 | +10% $304 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $259 | -0.5pp $192 | base $123 | +0.5pp $53 | +1.0pp $-18 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 Oakshire Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,220 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1483 Old Virginia Beach Rd Unit A Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 640 Beachcomber Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $3,100 | $2.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1441 Reynard Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1080 | $2,495 | $2.31 | 3d | 19 | 0.41mi |
| 233 Sykes Ave Unit A Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $2,450 | $1.65 | 12d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1441 Laskin Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1226 | $3,400 | $2.77 | 5d | 9 | 0.52mi |
| 464 Lisa Sq Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $1,510 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1334 Linkhorn Cir Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1532 | $3,400 | $2.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 356 Chesire Ct S Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,958 | $1.63 | 3d | 6 | 0.72mi |
| 1225 Old Virginia Beach Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,775 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 501 Ocean Trace Arch #104 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,650 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1997 Eastwood Villa Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1117 | $2,209 | $1.98 | 17d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 400 Coastal Walk Pl #105 Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 18d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 400 Coastal Walk Pl Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $2,600 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 408 Coastal Walk Pl #103 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1409 | $2,200 | $1.56 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 333 N Birdneck Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $2,850 | $2.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1821 Durham W Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $2,500 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 400 Eden Roc Cir Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1114 | $3,192 | $2.87 | 3d | 18 | 1.18mi |
| 226 Birch Lake Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 947 | $1,961 | $2.07 | 3d | 11 | 1.28mi |
| 952 Maximus Sq Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2100 Westminster Ln Unit 00 0816AB Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,409 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2100 Westminster Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,569 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 940 Old Virginia Beach Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1509 Colonnade Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $2,190 | $2.04 | 12d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1005 Barnacle Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,850 | $1.99 | 5d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 901 Old Virginia Beach Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $1,750 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 912 C Ave Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1367 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 12d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 912 C Ave Unit C Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1367 | $3,500 | $2.56 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-30status Under Contract
-
2026-04-21historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-17$270,000 Active
-
2026-03-04historical 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Great opportunity for investors! This solid 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom townhouse in Virginia Beach is priced accordingly and offers strong potential as a flip and resale or an excellent addition to a rental portfolio. The property features a functional layout and good bones, making it an ideal project for investors looking to add value. Property is being sold strictly As-Is. Estate sale. Normal financing will not qualify. Cash or appropriate alternative financing only. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, bases, and major roadways.
-
2026-03-04soldstatus $175,000
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Great opportunity for investors! This solid 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom townhouse in Virginia Beach is priced accordingly and offers strong potential as a flip and resale or an excellent addition to a rental portfolio. The property features a functional layout and good bones, making it an ideal project for investors looking to add value. Property is being sold strictly As-Is. Estate sale. Normal financing will not qualify. Cash or appropriate alternative financing only. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, bases, and major roadways.
-
2026-03-02soldstatus $175,000 Sold 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Great opportunity for investors! This solid 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom townhouse in Virginia Beach is priced accordingly and offers strong potential as a flip and resale or an excellent addition to a rental portfolio. The property features a functional layout and good bones, making it an ideal project for investors looking to add value. Property is being sold strictly As-Is. Estate sale. Normal financing will not qualify. Cash or appropriate alternative financing only. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, bases, and major roadways.
-
2026-02-11status Under Contract 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Great opportunity for investors! This solid 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom townhouse in Virginia Beach is priced accordingly and offers strong potential as a flip and resale or an excellent addition to a rental portfolio. The property features a functional layout and good bones, making it an ideal project for investors looking to add value. Property is being sold strictly As-Is. Estate sale. Normal financing will not qualify. Cash or appropriate alternative financing only. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, bases, and major roadways.
-
2026-01-23$190,000 Active 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Great opportunity for investors! This solid 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom townhouse in Virginia Beach is priced accordingly and offers strong potential as a flip and resale or an excellent addition to a rental portfolio. The property features a functional layout and good bones, making it an ideal project for investors looking to add value. Property is being sold strictly As-Is. Estate sale. Normal financing will not qualify. Cash or appropriate alternative financing only. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, bases, and major roadways.
-
2000-06-23soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,933 · $161/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,214 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- +$281/yr (+$23/mo · 14.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,529
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$1,933
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,202
- − Management
- −$2,202
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable loss
- −$3,137
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$753
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,227/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Va Beach City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103840
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,452
- Composite
- 63.81/100
- National rank
- #594
- State rank
- #10 of 131 in VA
Livability — Virginia Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Virginia Beach, VA
- County
- Virginia Beach City · 448,227 people
- City population
- 448,227
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,178
- Household income
- $102,796
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1696.0
Population outlook (Virginia Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 480,401 people
- By 2030
- 491,221 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 504,882 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 508,847 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 504,831 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 465,867 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Virginia Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -385.89%
- Current HPI
- 328.85
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.62%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+440.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-04-21 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $270,000 REINMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2026-03-02 Sold (MLS) $175,000 REINMLS
- 2026-02-11 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $190,000 REINMLS
- 2000-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,933 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…