501 Lake Louise Cir #204 · Bonita Springs, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 32 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Lake view end-unit condo near Vanderbilt Beach with rental flexibility in a guard-gated Naples community—ideal as a primary residence, seasonal getaway, or investment property. This 3BR/2BA home features Eastern lake views, vaulted ceilings, plantation shutters, and a private lanai with electric hurricane shutters. The updated kitchen includes quartz countertops, custom wood cabinetry, soft-close drawers, and a glass backsplash. Tile flooring in main areas offers easy maintenance. Flexible layout includes a primary suite with walk-in closet, guest bedroom, and third bedroom/den with impact glass window—perfect for a home office or additional guests. Key features: end unit, lake
Key facts
- Glass backsplash
- Quartz countertops
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Part of a complex with 44 units; 8 units in the building; 2 units per floor; 1 floor in building configuration
- Financial info: Condo fee paid quarterly
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA (professional management); Quarterly condo fee; Amenities include bike and jog path, community pool, community spa/hot tub, sidewalks, streetlights, and tennis court; Maintenance covers insurance, irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, legal/accounting, manager, master association fee, security, and street lights; Total annual recurring HOA fees provided; Total one-time HOA fees provided; Gated community
Exterior
- Parking: 1 assigned parking space; Guest parking; Detached 1-car garage
- Security: Gated with guard at gate and patrolled community
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential low-rise (1–3 stories); 2-story end unit; Rear exposure to the east; Part of the RETREAT development
- Construction: Concrete block construction; Built in 1988
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Stucco exterior; Impact resistant windows; Single hung and sliding windows; Electric shutters; Gated community with guard at gate and patrol; Regular lot; Paved road; Deeded restrictions: No commercial, No RV; Lakefront view/waterfront on a lake; Reclaimed irrigation
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry; Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator/Freezer
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (split bedroom layout)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with shower only
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; Pantry; Vaulted ceiling; Walk-in closet; Window coverings; Den/Study; Great room; Guest room; Screened lanai/porch; Unfurnished; 3 ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in residence; Auto garage door
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $310k).
- Recommended offer: $273k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 1.7% in Bonita Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#428 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: cost of living C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Naples Park Elementary School (math 67% / reading 57%, grade B, #608 of 2,144 statewide, top 29%, 395 students, 48% FRL); Gulf Coast High School (math 57% / reading 68%, grade B-, #93 of 667 statewide, top 14%, 2,447 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 55% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 595 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,878/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($98k/yr) (locally 1006% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $79k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $175k; list at $310k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.17%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $5,351
- Equity at exit
- $46,222
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $40,656
- Equity at exit
- $26,803
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34110
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 595
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,878 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,402/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$740
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,024
- Net cashflow
- $1,090
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 505 Lake Louise Cir #101 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $5,500 | $3.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 513 Lake Louise Cir #202 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $5,300 | $3.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 298 Emerald Bay Cir Unit K6 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $4,750 | $3.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 306 Emerald Bay Cir Unit J5 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $5,900 | $3.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 306 Emerald Bay Cir Unit J8 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $4,000 | $2.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 386 Emerald Bay Cir Unit G4 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $2,500 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 526 Lake Louise Cir Unit 4-403 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $6,500 | $3.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 15161 Cedarwood Ln Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $4,000 | $3.16 | 23d | 3 | 0.40mi |
| 341 Emerald Bay Cir Unit T5 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1611 | $4,500 | $2.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 15191 Cedarwood Ln #2602 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $2,300 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1001 Arbor Lake Dr Naples, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1755 | $5,500 | $3.13 | 23d | 2 | 0.42mi |
| 290 Naples Cove Dr Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $3,400 | $2.56 | 23d | 3 | 0.43mi |
| 285 Naples Cove Dr #1103 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $2,475 | $1.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 270 Naples Cove Dr #3506 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1475 | $2,500 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 15400 Cedarwood Ln Unit 1-201 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $6,000 | $4.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 15400 Cedarwood Ln #102 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $6,300 | $4.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 15415 Cedarwood Ln Unit 3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 817 Carrick Bend Cir #101 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $5,995 | $3.61 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 360 Horse Creek Dr Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1589 | $5,250 | $3.30 | 14d | 4 | 0.81mi |
| 784 Carrick Bend Cir #101 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1515 | $3,500 | $2.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 340 Horse Creek Dr #304 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $2,950 | $2.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 28940 Bermuda Pointe Cir #102 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $5,500 | $5.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 320 Horse Creek Dr #105 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $5,600 | $4.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 480 Bermuda Cove Way Unit 1-104 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $4,250 | $3.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 300 Horse Creek Dr #408 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $5,500 | $3.84 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1025 Tarpon Cove Dr #203 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $5,500 | $4.49 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 28720 Bermuda Bay Way #205 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $2,200 | $2.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 430 Cove Tower Dr #302 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1623 | $6,500 | $4.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 430 Cove Tower Dr #1202 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $7,800 | $5.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 975 Tarpon Cove Dr #204 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $5,500 | $4.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 774 Wiggins Lake Dr #106 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $6,500 | $4.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 420 Cove Tower Dr #802 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $4,750 | $2.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 425 Cove Tower Dr #902 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1854 | $9,400 | $5.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 651 Wiggins Lake Dr #102 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $6,500 | $4.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 28712 Carmel Way Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1626 | $9,250 | $5.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 13105 Vanderbilt Dr Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $5,450 | $3.92 | 23d | 2 | 1.05mi |
| 13105 Vanderbilt Dr #808 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $5,500 | $3.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 13105 Vanderbilt Dr #808 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $5,500 | $3.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 437 Wiggins Lake Ct #201 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1283 | $4,500 | $3.51 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1390 Sweetwater Cv #203 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1279 | $2,200 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $740 · $8,880/yr
- Likely covers
- electricsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-05-06status Pending With Contingencies
-
2026-04-16price $310,000
-
2026-04-06status Active
-
2026-03-06historical
-
2026-02-03price $364,900
-
2026-01-02price $379,000
-
2025-11-24$389,000 Active
-
2015-05-14$179,900
-
2009-03-27historical
-
2008-09-09$219,500
-
2004-04-30soldstatus $175,000
-
2004-04-27soldstatus $175,000
-
2004-03-29price $179,900
-
2004-03-29historical
-
1997-04-03soldstatus $110,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,402 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,573 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,171/yr (+$98/mo · 83.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AH · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 32 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $58,538
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$1,402
- − Insurance
- −$3,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,683
- − Management
- −$4,683
- − HOA
- −$8,880
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable income
- $9,132
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,192
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,889/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bonita Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #428
- US rank
- #7576
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- City population
- 64,727
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,630
- Household income
- $97,564
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1006.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -172.68%
- Current HPI
- 267.4644
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.06%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+181.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-05-06 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $310,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-06 Relisted — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-03-06 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $364,900 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $379,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-11-24 Listed $389,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2015-05-14 Listed $179,900 FORTMLS
- 2009-03-27 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2008-09-09 Listed $219,500 NAPLESMLS
- 2004-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2004-04-27 Sold (MLS) $175,000 FORTMLS
- 2004-03-29 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2004-03-29 Price Changed $179,900 FORTMLS
- 1997-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,402 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…