156 Main St N · Waltham, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
See the potential...opportunity knocks in this two bed, one bath home in the center of Waltham. Permanent siding, forced heat & air. Unfinished lower level has experienced water intrusion, sump basket & pump are working. Front deck also needing repair. Large concrete pad is present for a future garage. Just 5 minutes to Hayfield & 15 to Austin. Build equity here!
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1947
- Listed 58 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($941 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#634 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Hayfield Public School District (rural): math 29% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #254 of 301 in MN (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Mower County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $70k implies a 382% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.42%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $26,586
- Equity at exit
- $31,504
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.54×
- Total profit
- $69,207
- Equity at exit
- $48,610
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55982
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $941 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $766/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $69,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-21$75,000 Active 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
See the potential...opportunity knocks in this two bed, one bath home in the center of Waltham. Permanent siding, forced heat & air. Unfinished lower level has experienced water intrusion, sump basket & pump are working. Front deck also needing repair. Large concrete pad is present for a future garage. Just 5 minutes to Hayfield & 15 to Austin. Build equity here!
-
2018-12-10historical 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
2 bedroom home on a large lot at the end of Main st. Large concrete pad is already present for your future garage. Home currently has mold issue and is in need of repairs.
-
2018-04-23soldstatus $14,500 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
2 bedroom home on a large lot at the end of Main st. Large concrete pad is already present for your future garage. Home currently has mold issue and is in need of repairs.
-
2017-12-01$15,300 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
2 bedroom home on a large lot at the end of Main st. Large concrete pad is already present for your future garage. Home currently has mold issue and is in need of repairs.
-
2007-11-30soldstatus $40,500
-
2007-10-15historical
-
2007-07-19$41,500
-
2007-07-17$41,500
-
2007-06-29historical
-
2006-06-29$99,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $766 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $774 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$8/yr (+$1/mo · 1.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,296
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$766
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$904
- − Management
- −$904
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $2,424
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$582
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,828/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hayfield Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2713590
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,819
- Composite
- 30.11/100
- National rank
- #6336
- State rank
- #254 of 301 in MN
Livability — Waltham
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #634
- US rank
- #15181
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waltham, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 523
Population outlook (Mower County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,967 people
- By 2030
- 40,204 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 40,509 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 40,841 · +2.2%
- By 2075
- 42,029 · +5.2%
- By 2100
- 42,272 · +5.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Portuguese 11% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mower
- 2024 margin
- R (+10.5) · D 43.9% · R 54.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.1pp toward R · 2008: 23.6pp · 2024: -10.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.5 2020: R+5.8 2016: R+7.8 2012: D+22.7 2008: D+23.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.02%
- Current HPI
- 283.613
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
-24.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-23 Sold (MLS) $14,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-01 Listed $15,300 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-30 Sold (MLS) $40,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-15 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-19 Listed $41,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-17 Listed $41,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-29 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-29 Listed $99,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $766 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…