3805 Victory Dr · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$96,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Presenting an exceptional Investment Property, Great Opportunity in the heart of Shreveport's vibrant area. Offering high visibility and strong traffic -2 car covered carport. New roof and central heat and air. Each unit has 1 bedroom, full living room, and full bath
Key facts
- Living room
- Full bath
- High visibility
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($968/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.6% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $667 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.33%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $126,437
- List price
- $96,500
- Delta
- -23.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 E Elmwood St | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,117 (-7%) | 2mo | $89,500 | $80 | 68 |
| 3850 Greenway Pl | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,132 (-6%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $159 | 59 |
| 3880 Greenway | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,278 (+6%) | 8mo | $149,900 | $117 | 58 |
| 330 Wilder Pl | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,293 (+8%) | 8mo | $179,000 | $138 | 56 |
| 257 E Dudley Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,035 (-14%) | 5mo | $137,500 | $133 | 55 |
| 550 Stephenson St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 1,255 (+4%) | 7mo | $128,000 | $102 | 54 |
| 3712 Greenway Pl | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,254 (+4%) | 8mo | $174,600 | $139 | 52 |
| 3646 Greenway Pl | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,312 (+9%) | 4mo | $179,900 | $137 | 47 |
| 326 Albany Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 1,355 (+13%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $139 | 46 |
| 226 Albert Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,112 (-8%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $117 | 45 |
| 731 Ratcliff St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,280 (+6%) | 9mo | $145,000 | $113 | 45 |
| 479 Ockley | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 1,024 (-15%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $132 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-9,854
- Equity at exit
- $14,388
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $712
- Equity at exit
- $8,344
Cash invested: $27,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71104
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,036 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$506
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $475/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $81
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $135 | -5% $108 | +0% $81 | +5% $53 | +10% $26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1 | -5% $40 | +0% $81 | +5% $122 | +10% $163 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $129 | -0.5pp $105 | base $81 | +0.5pp $56 | +1.0pp $30 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,125
- Closing costs
- $2,895
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 E Slattery Blvd Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1047 | $1,000 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3516 Alexander Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1355 | $1,250 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 229 Stephenson St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,300 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 336 Atkins Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $900 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 553 Gladstone Blvd Unit A Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $700 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3840 Creswell Ave Unit 1 Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3846 Creswell Ave Unit 3848 Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $1,125 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 314 Kings Hwy Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $700 | $0.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3307 Creswell Ave Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3305 Creswell Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1307 | $1,350 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 561 Forest Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1358 | $1,350 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 926 Elmwood St Unit 928 Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $695 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 140 Wilkinson St Unit 140 Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 140 Wilkinson St Unit 142 Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1174 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 140 E Wilkinson St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1174 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 315 Robinson Pl Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1161 | $800 | $0.69 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3820 Fairfield Ave Unit 37 Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1084 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2515 Centenary Blvd Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,500 | $2.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3730 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 783 | $1,088 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 640 Kirby Pl Unit 640 Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $600 | $0.71 | 22d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3827 Maryland Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,400 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 810 Rutherford St Unit A Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 342 Prospect St Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $650 | $0.81 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 315 Dalzell St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1372 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2618 Roosevelt Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3802 Baltimore Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,025 | $0.82 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 642 Robinson Pl Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,275 | $0.85 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 204 Boulevard St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,195 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 546 Dalzell St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 216 Pennsylvania Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1199 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3100 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1001 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 202 E College St Apt 2 Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $600 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2721 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 431 College St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2717 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $950 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 320 College St Unit A Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $650 | $0.81 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 406 College St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $900 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 818 E Washington St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 103 E Merrick St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $900 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2615 Judith Pl Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $96,500 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $96,500 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $96,500 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $96,500 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $96,500 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $96,500 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $96,500 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $96,500 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $96,500 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $96,500 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $96,500 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $96,500 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $96,500 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $96,500 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $96,500 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-03-06price $96,500 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
Presenting an exceptional Investment Property, Great Opportunity in the heart of Shreveport's vibrant area. Offering high visibility and strong traffic -2 car covered carport. New roof and central heat and air. Each unit has 1 bedroom, full living room, and full bath
-
2026-02-06price $99,500 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
Presenting an exceptional Investment Property, Great Opportunity in the heart of Shreveport's vibrant area. Offering high visibility and strong traffic -2 car covered carport. New roof and central heat and air. Each unit has 1 bedroom, full living room, and full bath
-
2025-12-12$105,000 Active 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
Presenting an exceptional Investment Property, Great Opportunity in the heart of Shreveport's vibrant area. Offering high visibility and strong traffic -2 car covered carport. New roof and central heat and air. Each unit has 1 bedroom, full living room, and full bath
-
1980-02-22soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $475 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $531 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$55/yr (+$5/mo · 11.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AH · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,434
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,406
- − Property taxes
- −$475
- − Insurance
- −$2,307
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$995
- − Management
- −$995
- − Depreciation
- −$2,807
- Taxable loss
- −$550
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$132
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,100/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,975
- Household income
- $56,833
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 759.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Lithuanian 4% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.61%
- Current HPI
- 104.3781
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.56%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-8.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $96,500 NTREIS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $99,500 NTREIS
- 2025-12-12 Listed $105,000 NTREIS
- 1980-02-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $475 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…