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3805 Victory Dr
B- Composite 66.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$96,500

3805 Victory Dr · Shreveport, LA 71104
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,203 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 188 Days on market
Built 1950 8,102 sqft lot $80/sqft · 24% below area Est $126k · 24% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Presenting an exceptional Investment Property, Great Opportunity in the heart of Shreveport's vibrant area. Offering high visibility and strong traffic -2 car covered carport. New roof and central heat and air. Each unit has 1 bedroom, full living room, and full bath

Key facts

  • Living room
  • Full bath
  • High visibility

Tags

HIGH VISIBILITYSTRONG TRAFFIC COUNTSDUPLEXCORNER LOTLIVING ROOMFULL BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($968/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.6% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $667 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
9.19%
Cash-on-cash
10.33%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$126,437
List price
$96,500
Delta
-23.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
225 E Elmwood St 0.25mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,117 (-7%) 2mo $89,500 $80 68
3850 Greenway Pl 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,132 (-6%) 8mo $180,000 $159 59
3880 Greenway 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,278 (+6%) 8mo $149,900 $117 58
330 Wilder Pl 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,293 (+8%) 8mo $179,000 $138 56
257 E Dudley Dr 0.23mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,035 (-14%) 5mo $137,500 $133 55
550 Stephenson St 0.63mi 2/1.0 1,255 (+4%) 7mo $128,000 $102 54
3712 Greenway Pl 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,254 (+4%) 8mo $174,600 $139 52
3646 Greenway Pl 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,312 (+9%) 4mo $179,900 $137 47
326 Albany Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 1,355 (+13%) 2mo $189,000 $139 46
226 Albert Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 1,112 (-8%) 6mo $130,000 $117 45
731 Ratcliff St 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,280 (+6%) 9mo $145,000 $113 45
479 Ockley 0.58mi 2/1.0 1,024 (-15%) 2mo $135,000 $132 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-9,854
Equity at exit
$14,388
10-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$712
Equity at exit
$8,344

Cash invested: $27,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71104

Home prices YoY
-32.2%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,036 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$506
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $475/yr
Insurance
$40
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $934
Max offer price $96,500
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $135 -5% $108 +0% $81 +5% $53 +10% $26
Rent -10% $-1 -5% $40 +0% $81 +5% $122 +10% $163
Rate -1.0pp $129 -0.5pp $105 base $81 +0.5pp $56 +1.0pp $30

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,125
Closing costs
$2,895
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
219 E Slattery Blvd Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1047 $1,000 $0.96 44d 1 0.15mi
3516 Alexander Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1355 $1,250 $0.92 14d 1 0.33mi
229 Stephenson St Shreveport, LA 2.0 2.5 1500 $1,300 $0.87 14d 1 0.40mi
336 Atkins Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 912 $900 $0.99 44d 1 0.67mi
553 Gladstone Blvd Unit A Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 850 $700 $0.82 44d 1 0.68mi
3840 Creswell Ave Unit 1 Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,000 $0.83 44d 1 0.69mi
3846 Creswell Ave Unit 3848 Shreveport, LA 2.0 2.0 1374 $1,125 $0.82 14d 1 0.71mi
314 Kings Hwy Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 1200 $700 $0.58 44d 1 0.72mi
3307 Creswell Ave Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 1 0.72mi
3305 Creswell Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1307 $1,350 $1.03 22d 1 0.73mi
561 Forest Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1358 $1,350 $0.99 22d 1 0.73mi
926 Elmwood St Unit 928 Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 900 $695 $0.77 44d 1 0.96mi
140 Wilkinson St Unit 140 Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 22d 1 0.97mi
140 Wilkinson St Unit 142 Shreveport, LA 3.0 3.0 1174 $1,300 $1.11 22d 1 0.97mi
140 E Wilkinson St Shreveport, LA 3.0 3.0 1174 $1,300 $1.11 22d 1 0.99mi
315 Robinson Pl Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1161 $800 $0.69 14d 1 1.02mi
3820 Fairfield Ave Unit 37 Shreveport, LA 2.0 2.0 1084 $1,050 $0.97 44d 1 1.03mi
2515 Centenary Blvd Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1200 $2,500 $2.08 14d 1 1.04mi
3730 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 783 $1,088 $1.39 22d 1 1.06mi
640 Kirby Pl Unit 640 Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 850 $600 $0.71 22d 1 1.06mi
3827 Maryland Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,400 $1.36 44d 1 1.07mi
810 Rutherford St Unit A Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 14d 1 1.08mi
342 Prospect St Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 800 $650 $0.81 22d 1 1.12mi
315 Dalzell St Shreveport, LA 2.0 2.5 1372 $1,100 $0.80 44d 1 1.15mi
2618 Roosevelt Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 845 $1,000 $1.18 22d 1 1.16mi
3802 Baltimore Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,025 $0.82 22d 1 1.17mi
642 Robinson Pl Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,275 $0.85 22d 1 1.18mi
204 Boulevard St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1028 $1,195 $1.16 44d 1 1.23mi
546 Dalzell St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $875 $0.88 22d 1 1.26mi
216 Pennsylvania Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1199 $1,250 $1.04 22d 1 1.26mi
3100 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 1001 $1,400 $1.40 22d 1 1.26mi
202 E College St Apt 2 Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 800 $600 $0.75 44d 1 1.30mi
2721 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,200 $0.96 45d 1 1.30mi
431 College St Shreveport, LA 2.0 2.0 1100 $850 $0.77 14d 1 1.31mi
2717 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1250 $950 $0.76 44d 1 1.31mi
320 College St Unit A Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 800 $650 $0.81 22d 1 1.32mi
406 College St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1215 $900 $0.74 44d 1 1.33mi
818 E Washington St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 22d 1 1.33mi
103 E Merrick St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1200 $900 $0.75 45d 1 1.34mi
2615 Judith Pl Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,600 $1.10 14d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $96,500 Active 188 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $96,500 Active 185 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $96,500 Active 184 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $96,500 Active 183 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $96,500 Active 182 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $96,500 Active 180 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $96,500 Active 179 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $96,500 Active 178 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $96,500 Active 177 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $96,500 Active 174 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $96,500 Active 173 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $96,500 Active 172 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $96,500 Active 171 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $96,500 Active 170 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $96,500 Active 169 DOM
  16. 2026-03-06
    price $96,500 267-char remark
    Show marketing remark (267 chars)

    Presenting an exceptional Investment Property, Great Opportunity in the heart of Shreveport's vibrant area. Offering high visibility and strong traffic -2 car covered carport. New roof and central heat and air. Each unit has 1 bedroom, full living room, and full bath

  17. 2026-02-06
    price $99,500 267-char remark
    Show marketing remark (267 chars)

    Presenting an exceptional Investment Property, Great Opportunity in the heart of Shreveport's vibrant area. Offering high visibility and strong traffic -2 car covered carport. New roof and central heat and air. Each unit has 1 bedroom, full living room, and full bath

  18. 2025-12-12
    listed $105,000 Active 267-char remark
    Show marketing remark (267 chars)

    Presenting an exceptional Investment Property, Great Opportunity in the heart of Shreveport's vibrant area. Offering high visibility and strong traffic -2 car covered carport. New roof and central heat and air. Each unit has 1 bedroom, full living room, and full bath

  19. 1980-02-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$475 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$531 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$55/yr (+$5/mo · 11.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AH · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,434
− Mortgage interest
−$5,406
− Property taxes
−$475
− Insurance
−$2,307
− Repairs & maintenance
−$995
− Management
−$995
− Depreciation
−$2,807
Taxable loss
−$550
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$132
After-tax cash flow
$1,100/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caddo Parish
NCES district ID
2200300
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$39,227
Composite
22.23/100
National rank
#8148
State rank
#53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

Score
59/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shreveport, LA
County
Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
City population
164,123
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
Population (ZIP)
12,975
Household income
$56,833
Rent vs Own
54.7% rent · 45.3% own
Severe rent burden
759.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
243,190 people
By 2030
237,231 · -2.5%
By 2040
222,502 · -8.5%
By 2050
206,516 · -15.1%
By 2075
165,706 · -31.9%
By 2100
122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Lithuanian 4% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.61%
Current HPI
104.3781
Rent YoY
▲ 3.56%
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $96,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $99,500 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $105,000 NTREIS
  • 1980-02-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $475 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…