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C- Composite 54.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$176,000

616 N Choctaw Ave · El Reno, OK 73036
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 112 Days on market
Built 1960 0.29 ac lot Est $219k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

1 house 4 unit, 1 house 2 units, 1 house 3 bed 1 bath. 4040 total sq ft. - 3 homes and 1 lot

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 111 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 4,040 (assessor); Located in the Hickox addition; Occupied; Active MLS status; Directions: From E Wade St, turn right onto S Choctaw Ave. The property will be on your right.
  • Financial info: Loan qualification allowed; Not assumable
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Home design: Two-story single family residence; Residential property, existing construction
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Combination foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Corner and interior lot characteristics

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 8 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 7 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Three living areas; Three dining areas; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $176k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (9.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.8% in El Reno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#95 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • El Reno (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #232 of 270 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 280 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 260 units permitted in Canadian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Canadian County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $158,857 (9.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.38%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$218,736
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 S Barker Ave 0.46mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,214 (-1%) 13mo $229,000 $103 56
301 S Barker Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 2,254 (+1%) 18mo $220,000 $98 51
600 S Macomb Ave 0.73mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,292 (+3%) 1mo $245,000 $107 50
509 S Hadden Ave 0.74mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,200 (-1%) 20mo $70,000 $32 38
111 S Macomb Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 1,940 (-13%) 20mo $117,000 $60 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-15,214
Equity at exit
$26,242
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$9,324
Equity at exit
$15,217

Cash invested: $49,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73036

Home prices YoY
-3.3%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
280
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,589 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$923
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $948/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$334
Net cashflow
$180

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,361
Max offer price $176,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $279 -5% $229 +0% $180 +5% $130 +10% $80
Rent -10% $54 -5% $117 +0% $180 +5% $242 +10% $305
Rate -1.0pp $268 -0.5pp $224 base $180 +0.5pp $134 +1.0pp $88

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,000
Closing costs
$5,280
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
605 W Clarke St El Reno, OK 3.0 2.0 1768 $1,395 $0.79 2d 1 0.26mi
1031 S Ellison Ave El Reno, OK 3.0 2.0 1601 $1,500 $0.94 2d 1 1.19mi
1802 S Dille Ave El Reno, OK 4.0 2.0 2712 $1,595 $0.59 2d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $176,000 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $176,000 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $176,000 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $176,000 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-03-19
    price $176,000
  6. 2026-03-13
    price $179,000
  7. 2026-02-23
    price $193,000
  8. 2026-02-11
    listed $200,000 Active
  9. 2018-09-01
    historical
  10. 2018-08-02
    status Active
  11. 2018-07-23
    status Pending
  12. 2018-06-18
    price $2
  13. 2018-05-31
    historical
  14. 2018-05-22
    price $59,900
  15. 2018-05-22
    price $59,900
  16. 2018-03-16
    listed $89,900 Active
  17. 2018-03-16
    listed $89,900 Active
  18. 2007-12-19
    historical
  19. 2007-01-10
    historical
  20. 2006-06-21
    listed $175,000
  21. 2004-11-17
    listed $147,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$948 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,584 · $132/mo
Expected delta
+$636/yr (+$53/mo · 67.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,063
− Mortgage interest
−$9,859
− Property taxes
−$948
− Insurance
−$880
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,525
− Management
−$1,525
− Depreciation
−$5,120
Taxable loss
−$794
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$191
After-tax cash flow
$2,347/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
El Reno
NCES district ID
4010650
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$44,689
Composite
12.01/100
National rank
#9664
State rank
#232 of 270 in OK

Livability — El Reno

Score
67/100
State rank
#95
US rank
#10933

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
El Reno, OK
County
Canadian County · 154,341 people
City population
21,387
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
21,387
Household income
$59,915
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
580.0

Population outlook (Canadian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,062 people
By 2030
195,170 · +12.1%
By 2040
239,293 · +37.5%
By 2050
285,457 · +64.0%
By 2075
403,766 · +132.0%
By 2100
498,766 · +186.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Native American 8% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Canadian

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.4) · D 28.8% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
+11.9pp toward D · 2008: -52.2pp · 2024: -40.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.4 2020: R+43.3 2016: R+51.2 2012: R+54.4 2008: R+52.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -11.37%
Current HPI
334.5896
Rent YoY
▲ 4.19%
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+19.7% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $176,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $179,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $193,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $200,000 MLSOK
  • 2018-09-01 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2018-08-02 Relisted MLSOK
  • 2018-07-23 Pending MLSOK
  • 2018-06-18 Price Changed $2 MLSOK
  • 2018-05-31 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2018-05-22 Price Changed $59,900 MLSOK
  • 2018-05-22 Price Changed $59,900 MLSOK
  • 2018-03-16 Listed $89,900 MLSOK
  • 2018-03-16 Listed $89,900 MLSOK
  • 2007-12-19 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2007-01-10 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2006-06-21 Listed $175,000 MLSOK
  • 2004-11-17 Listed $147,000 MLSOK

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $948 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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