616 N Choctaw Ave · El Reno, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$176,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1 house 4 unit, 1 house 2 units, 1 house 3 bed 1 bath. 4040 total sq ft. - 3 homes and 1 lot
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 111 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 4,040 (assessor); Located in the Hickox addition; Occupied; Active MLS status; Directions: From E Wade St, turn right onto S Choctaw Ave. The property will be on your right.
- Financial info: Loan qualification allowed; Not assumable
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Home design: Two-story single family residence; Residential property, existing construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Combination foundation
- Exterior features: Front porch; Corner and interior lot characteristics
Interior
- Bedrooms: 8 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 7 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Three living areas; Three dining areas; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $176k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (9.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.8% in El Reno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#95 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- El Reno (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #232 of 270 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 280 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 260 units permitted in Canadian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Canadian County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.38%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,736
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202 S Barker Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,214 (-1%) | 13mo | $229,000 | $103 | 56 |
| 301 S Barker Ave | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,254 (+1%) | 18mo | $220,000 | $98 | 51 |
| 600 S Macomb Ave | 0.73mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,292 (+3%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $107 | 50 |
| 509 S Hadden Ave | 0.74mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,200 (-1%) | 20mo | $70,000 | $32 | 38 |
| 111 S Macomb Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 1,940 (-13%) | 20mo | $117,000 | $60 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-15,214
- Equity at exit
- $26,242
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $9,324
- Equity at exit
- $15,217
Cash invested: $49,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73036
- Home prices YoY
- -3.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 280
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,589 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$923
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $948/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $180
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $279 | -5% $229 | +0% $180 | +5% $130 | +10% $80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $54 | -5% $117 | +0% $180 | +5% $242 | +10% $305 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $268 | -0.5pp $224 | base $180 | +0.5pp $134 | +1.0pp $88 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,000
- Closing costs
- $5,280
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605 W Clarke St El Reno, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $1,395 | $0.79 | 2d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1031 S Ellison Ave El Reno, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 2d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1802 S Dille Ave El Reno, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2712 | $1,595 | $0.59 | 2d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $176,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $176,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $176,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $176,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-03-19price $176,000
-
2026-03-13price $179,000
-
2026-02-23price $193,000
-
2026-02-11$200,000 Active
-
2018-09-01historical
-
2018-08-02status Active
-
2018-07-23status Pending
-
2018-06-18price $2
-
2018-05-31historical
-
2018-05-22price $59,900
-
2018-05-22price $59,900
-
2018-03-16$89,900 Active
-
2018-03-16$89,900 Active
-
2007-12-19historical
-
2007-01-10historical
-
2006-06-21$175,000
-
2004-11-17$147,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $948 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,584 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- +$636/yr (+$53/mo · 67.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,063
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,859
- − Property taxes
- −$948
- − Insurance
- −$880
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,525
- − Management
- −$1,525
- − Depreciation
- −$5,120
- Taxable loss
- −$794
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$191
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,347/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- El Reno
- NCES district ID
- 4010650
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,689
- Composite
- 12.01/100
- National rank
- #9664
- State rank
- #232 of 270 in OK
Livability — El Reno
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #10933
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- El Reno, OK
- County
- Canadian County · 154,341 people
- City population
- 21,387
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,387
- Household income
- $59,915
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 580.0
Population outlook (Canadian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,062 people
- By 2030
- 195,170 · +12.1%
- By 2040
- 239,293 · +37.5%
- By 2050
- 285,457 · +64.0%
- By 2075
- 403,766 · +132.0%
- By 2100
- 498,766 · +186.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Native American 8% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Canadian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.4) · D 28.8% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.9pp toward D · 2008: -52.2pp · 2024: -40.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.4 2020: R+43.3 2016: R+51.2 2012: R+54.4 2008: R+52.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -11.37%
- Current HPI
- 334.5896
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.19%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+19.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $176,000 MLSOK
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $179,000 MLSOK
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $193,000 MLSOK
- 2026-02-11 Listed $200,000 MLSOK
- 2018-09-01 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2018-08-02 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2018-07-23 Pending — MLSOK
- 2018-06-18 Price Changed $2 MLSOK
- 2018-05-31 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2018-05-22 Price Changed $59,900 MLSOK
- 2018-05-22 Price Changed $59,900 MLSOK
- 2018-03-16 Listed $89,900 MLSOK
- 2018-03-16 Listed $89,900 MLSOK
- 2007-12-19 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2007-01-10 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2006-06-21 Listed $175,000 MLSOK
- 2004-11-17 Listed $147,000 MLSOK
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $948 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…