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1218 Kinyon St
B Composite 70.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

1218 Kinyon St · South Bend, IN 46616
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 836 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1925 5,120 sqft lot Est $120k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great 2 bedroom and 1 bath home. Full basement with an extra lot for a great big yard. Detached garage. Perfect starter home or investment property. Move in ready. Showings to start June 19th 2026.

Key facts

  • Extra lot
  • Full basement
  • Detached garage

Tags

FULL BASEMENTEXTRA LOTDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 128

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Four total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
  • South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Muessel Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #989 of 994 statewide, top 100%, 241 students, 88% FRL); Adams High School (math 28% / reading 57%, grade F, #195 of 369 statewide, top 53%, 1,976 students, 56% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 42 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.83%
Cash-on-cash
12.62%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$119,548
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1109 Beale St 0.23mi 3/1.0 840 (+0%) 2mo $142,000 $169 87
1501 N Adams St 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (+0%) 0mo $134,900 $161 75
1811 N Brookfield St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 852 (+2%) 1mo $89,900 $106 65
925 Sancome Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 864 (+3%) 1mo $108,000 $125 61
2021 Hollywood Pl 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 908 (+9%) 0mo $150,000 $165 58
1118 N Brookfield St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (+3%) 1mo $159,900 $185 56
1133 N Brookfield St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-5%) 0mo $112,900 $143 54
2022 Hollywood Pl 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 746 (-11%) 2mo $175,500 $235 52
1521 Van Buren St 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-5%) 1mo $60,000 $76 51
1650 N Brookfield St 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-14%) 1mo $50,000 $69 48
1119 College St 0.65mi 3/1.0 960 (+15%) 3mo $121,000 $126 43
814 Sancome Ave 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 748 (-10%) 2mo $56,000 $75 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.49% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$3,600
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$42,903
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46616

Home prices YoY
-17.9%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,246 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $944
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $308 -5% $273 +0% $239 +5% $204 +10% $170
Rent -10% $140 -5% $190 +0% $239 +5% $288 +10% $337
Rate -1.0pp $289 -0.5pp $264 base $239 +0.5pp $213 +1.0pp $187

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1214 Queen St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,300 $1.23 14d 1 0.07mi
1308 Kinyon St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 44d 1 0.09mi
1428 Kessler Blvd South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 936 $1,000 $1.07 44d 1 0.13mi
1033 Beale St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 840 $1,250 $1.49 22d 1 0.23mi
937 Roosevelt St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $1,060 $1.47 44d 1 0.25mi
929 Beale St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $975 $1.35 44d 1 0.30mi
1201 Woodward Ave South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 960 $1,675 $1.74 44d 1 0.45mi
1237 Wilber St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 880 $1,200 $1.36 44d 1 0.48mi
1710 Johnson St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 44d 1 0.56mi
1630 Obrien St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,400 $1.25 14d 1 0.62mi
2013 Elwood Ave South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 720 $999 $1.39 44d 1 0.64mi
1314 Johnson St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 902 $1,150 $1.27 14d 1 0.64mi
910 Allen St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 22d 1 0.68mi
1709 Huey St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $995 $1.38 22d 1 0.71mi
1505 Huey St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 864 $1,425 $1.65 22d 1 0.72mi
344 Parkovash Ave South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 950 $1,900 $2.00 14d 1 0.74mi
736 Lawndale Ave Unit 1 South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1072 $1,200 $1.12 14d 1 0.83mi
1614 Fremont St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $850 $1.18 22d 1 0.87mi
1046 N Elmer St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,025 $0.98 22d 1 0.92mi
2527 Riverside Dr South Bend, IN 3.0 1.5 1048 $1,595 $1.52 22d 1 0.96mi
1141 Fremont St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 760 $1,100 $1.45 22d 1 1.00mi
717 Huey St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 672 $1,050 $1.56 44d 1 1.12mi
729 N Elmer St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 672 $1,100 $1.64 14d 1 1.16mi
2823 Calhoun St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $1,249 $1.73 44d 1 1.16mi
125 W Marion St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 672 $1,350 $2.01 14d 5 1.33mi
716 N Niles Ave South Bend, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 732 $1,750 $2.39 14d 11 1.41mi
2417 Linden Ave South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 197-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $99,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,957
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,498
− Insurance
−$1,166
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,197
− Management
−$1,197
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$1,397
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$335
After-tax cash flow
$2,530/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Bend Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1810290
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,935
Composite
14.21/100
National rank
#9452
State rank
#284 of 301 in IN

Livability — South Bend

Score
64/100
State rank
#365
US rank
#13730

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Bend, IN
County
Saint Joseph County · 189,048 people
City population
99,767
Metro
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
Population (ZIP)
5,979
Household income
$58,537
Rent vs Own
42.6% rent · 57.4% own
Severe rent burden
339.0

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
273,186 people
By 2030
273,594 · +0.1%
By 2040
271,641 · -0.6%
By 2050
269,187 · -1.5%
By 2075
263,136 · -3.7%
By 2100
245,659 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 14% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Portuguese 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.53%
Current HPI
237.0154
Rent YoY
▲ 6.49%
Metro
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+86.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $99,900 IRMLS
  • 2023-05-05 Sold (MLS) $99,900 IRMLS
  • 2023-04-04 Pending IRMLS
  • 2023-03-31 Listed $99,900 IRMLS
  • 2019-05-24 Sold (MLS) $25,500 IRMLS
  • 2019-04-15 Listed $27,900 IRMLS
  • 2017-07-02 Listed $39,900 IRMLS
  • 2014-07-01 Listed $29,900 IRMLS
  • 2009-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $53,641 Public Records

Property tax history

-31.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $7 · -98.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…