77 3rd St · Gloversville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity on the edge of town. 77 3rd St in Gloversville offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and 1,296 sq ft of space ready for its next chapter. This property features hardwood floors in some areas, a newer roof, and low-maintenance vinyl siding. The layout provides a solid starting point for a full interior renovation. The home will require significant work throughout and is being sold as-is. Utilities are not currently on, and the property is best suited for cash buyers. Whether you're looking for your next project or an addition to your portfolio, this is a straightforward opportunity
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Interior renovation
- Vinyl siding
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $964 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 35.2% vs local median 8.7% in Gloversville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#70 in NY, #1,048 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, employment F.
- Gloversville City School District (town): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #565 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $32k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1893 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1893 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 35.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 103.33%
- DSCR
- 5.60
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,798
- List price
- $40,000
- Delta
- -70.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Highland Ter | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+0%) | 6mo | $176,900 | $136 | 67 |
| 72 Park St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,272 (-2%) | 4mo | $131,000 | $103 | 59 |
| 51 Orchard St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,386 (+7%) | 18mo | $90,000 | $65 | 53 |
| 50 Summer St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,470 (+13%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $75 | 52 |
| 46 Bloomingdale Ave | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,292 (-0%) | 22mo | $170,000 | $132 | 39 |
| 65 Park St | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,142 (-12%) | 4mo | $99,000 | $87 | 34 |
| 105 Division St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,403 (+8%) | 20mo | $118,000 | $84 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.43×
- Total profit
- $83,270
- Equity at exit
- $36,035
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.59×
- Total profit
- $197,041
- Equity at exit
- $77,711
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12078
- Home prices YoY
- 12.2%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,352/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $964
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Fremont St Gloversville, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1612 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 43d | 3 | 0.67mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $40,000 Pending 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Contingent 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Contingent 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Contingent 52 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $40,000 Contingent 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Contingent 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Contingent 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Contingent 46 DOM
-
2026-04-14$40,000 Active 601-char remark
Show marketing remark (601 chars)
Opportunity on the edge of town. 77 3rd St in Gloversville offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and 1,296 sq ft of space ready for its next chapter. This property features hardwood floors in some areas, a newer roof, and low-maintenance vinyl siding. The layout provides a solid starting point for a full interior renovation. The home will require significant work throughout and is being sold as-is. Utilities are not currently on, and the property is best suited for cash buyers. Whether you're looking for your next project or an addition to your portfolio, this is a straightforward opportunity
-
2026-03-24price $42,500
-
2026-03-03price $45,000
-
2025-12-03price $55,000
-
2025-09-25price $59,400
-
2024-06-26soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,352 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,352 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$1,352
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,584
- − Management
- −$1,584
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $11,675
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,802
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gloversville City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612270
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,775
- Composite
- 28.2/100
- National rank
- #6806
- State rank
- #565 of 590 in NY
Livability — Gloversville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #1048
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gloversville, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,087
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,132 people
- By 2030
- 49,114 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 44,373 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 39,321 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 28,503 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 19,268 · -62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 32.1% · R 67.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+31.4 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 34.22%
- Current HPI
- 315.1368
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+25.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Listed $40,000 Global MLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $42,500 CNYIS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $45,000 CNYIS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $55,000 CNYIS
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $59,400 CNYIS
- 2024-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,352 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…