10132 Tamworth Dr · Dellwood, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- ARV discount +5.3/15.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located close to plenty of places to shop or to grab a bite to eat! This home has been occupied by one owner for the last twenty years! Quiet street with tons of potential! Looking for a great property to add to your portfolio or a fix and flip this property is perfect for you!
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1954
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (Single phase, Ameren); Natural gas connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family home; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Full basement
- Exterior features: Back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing gas oven; Range hood; Refrigerator; Water heater
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $100 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (10.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $134k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 10.4% in Dellwood — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#239 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lemasters Elem. (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,058 of 1,115 statewide, top 96%, 295 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $150k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.86%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $142,803
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10201 Doane Dr | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,014 (-13%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $123 | 69 |
| 1715 Hudson Rd | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,145 (-1%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $109 | 68 |
| 9863 Eastdell Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,126 (-3%) | 1mo | $139,900 | $124 | 67 |
| 1646 Hudson Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (-13%) | 2mo | $164,500 | $162 | 55 |
| 10418 Quaker Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,014 (-13%) | 2mo | $64,900 | $64 | 55 |
| 9866 Dennis Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (-11%) | 3mo | $124,900 | $121 | 55 |
| 10515 Alliance Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (-13%) | 0mo | $112,900 | $111 | 52 |
| 10257 Dacey Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,014 (-13%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $118 | 50 |
| 10129 Ventura Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,055 (-9%) | 2mo | $129,900 | $123 | 50 |
| 1923 Nashua Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (-13%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $148 | 49 |
| 4 S Dellwood Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,086 (-6%) | 2mo | $98,900 | $91 | 49 |
| 10269 Dacey Dr | 0.56mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (-13%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $167 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $33,472
- Equity at exit
- $74,169
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.55×
- Total profit
- $106,913
- Equity at exit
- $119,869
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,343 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $100
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1654 Mowbry Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1547 Babcock Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,480 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 10304 Bon Oak Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 10329 Chesley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 9868 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,175 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 9840 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,095 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 9850 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,175 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 9839 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,095 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 9845 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 12d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 10124 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,400 | $1.77 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 10239 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1733 Kappel Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 7d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $995 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 62 Capitol Hill Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,250 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9750 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9725 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,485 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 9827 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 7d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9823 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $900 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9812 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,495 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9717 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,323 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 502 Averill Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,250 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 920 Hutton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,195 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 104 Fenwick Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2008 Kappel Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,175 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 338 La Motte Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,150 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1550 Northwinds Estates Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 877 | $1,050 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 9547 Glen Owen Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $985 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 536 Ames Pl Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1305 | $1,750 | $1.34 | 1d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 307 Coppinger Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,095 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 650 Robert Ave Ferguson, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,224 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 415 Ames Pl Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,400 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 945 Edgehill Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,575 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 13 N Hartnett Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,400 | $1.23 | 10d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2257 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2259 Ainsworth Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,776 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$149,900 Active
-
2026-05-22historical $149,900
-
2022-09-15soldstatus
-
2022-09-14soldstatus Closed 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Located close to plenty of places to shop or to grab a bite to eat! This home has been occupied by one owner for the last twenty years! Quiet street with tons of potential! Looking for a great property to add to your portfolio or a fix and flip this property is perfect for you!
-
2022-07-22status Pending 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Located close to plenty of places to shop or to grab a bite to eat! This home has been occupied by one owner for the last twenty years! Quiet street with tons of potential! Looking for a great property to add to your portfolio or a fix and flip this property is perfect for you!
-
2022-06-28$70,000 Active 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Located close to plenty of places to shop or to grab a bite to eat! This home has been occupied by one owner for the last twenty years! Quiet street with tons of potential! Looking for a great property to add to your portfolio or a fix and flip this property is perfect for you!
-
2001-09-24soldstatus $68,000
-
1989-06-01soldstatus $53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,350 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,454 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$104/yr (+$9/mo · 7.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,117
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,289
- − Management
- −$1,289
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$1,319
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$317
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,516/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverview Gardens
- NCES district ID
- 2926670
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,759
- Composite
- 4.22/100
- National rank
- #10058
- State rank
- #324 of 324 in MO
Livability — Dellwood
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #239
- US rank
- #11618
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dellwood, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 18,381
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+182.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $149,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $149,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-09-14 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-22 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-28 Listed $70,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 1989-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2022): $1,350 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…